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The pseudo-marginal algorithm is a variant of the Metropolis--Hastings algorithm which samples asymptotically from a probability distribution when it is only possible to estimate unbiasedly an unnormalized version of its density.…
Extreme value functionals of stochastic processes are inverse functionals of the first passage time -- a connection that renders their probability distribution functions equivalent. Here, we deepen this link and establish a framework for…
This paper studies large sample properties of a Bayesian approach to inference about slope parameters $\gamma$ in linear regression models with a structural break. In contrast to the conventional approach to inference about $\gamma$ that…
In this paper we mainly study the dynamical complexity of Birkhoff ergodic average under the simultaneous observation of any number of continuous functions. These results can be as generalizations of [6,35] etc. to study Birkhorff ergodic…
The Birkhoff Ergodic Theorem concludes that time averages, that is, Birkhoff averages, $\Sigma_{n=1}^N f(x_n)/N$ of a function $f$ along an ergodic trajectory $(x_n)$ of a function $T$ converges to the space average $\int f d\mu$, where…
We review the authors' recent work \cite{BDIK1,BDIK2,BDIK3} where we obtain the uniform large $s$ asymptotics for the Fredholm determinant $D(s,\gamma):=\det(I-\gamma K_s\upharpoonright_{L^2(-1,1)})$, $0\leq\gamma\leq 1$. The operator $K_s$…
This paper considers a semiparametric approach within the general Bayesian linear model where the innovations consist of a stationary, mean zero Gaussian time series. While a parametric prior is specified for the linear model coefficients,…
We find asymptotic formulas for error probabilities of two-fold Pearson goodness-of-fit test as functions of two critical levels. These results may be reformulated in terms of tails of two-dimensional distributions of the Bessel process.…
We provide a new method to approximate a (possibly discontinuous) function using Christoffel-Darboux kernels. Our knowledge about the unknown multivariate function is in terms of finitely many moments of the Young measure supported on the…
The third part of the paper concludes the proof of the main result --- the description of the ergodic decomposition of infinite Pickrell measures. First it is shown that the scaling limit of radial parts of finite-dimensional infinite…
The hard edge Pearcey process is universal in random matrix theory and many other stochastic models. This paper deals with the gap probability for the thinned/unthinned hard edge Pearcey process over the interval $(0,s)$ by working on the…
We study the convergence of probability measures in terms of moments by applying operators to their Bessel generating functions. We consider a general setting of applying operators such as the Dunkl operator to formal power series that are…
Discrete random probability measures are a key ingredient of Bayesian nonparametric inferential procedures. A sample generates ties with positive probability and a fundamental object of both theoretical and applied interest is the…
The classical Birkhoff ergodic theorem in its most popular version says that the time average along a single typical trajectory of a dynamical system is equal to the space average with respect to the ergodic invariant distribution. This…
We study Fredholm determinants of a class of integral operators, whose kernels can be expressed as double contour integrals of a special type. Such Fredholm determinants appear in various random matrix and statistical physics models. We…
A remarkable theorem of Besicovitch is that an integrable function $f$ on $\mathbb{R}^2$ is strongly differentiable if and only if its associated strong maximal function $M_S f$ is finite a.e. We provide an analogue of Besicovitch's result…
We show that common choices of kernel functions for a highly accurate and massively scalable nearest-neighbour based GP regression model (GPnn: \cite{GPnn}) exhibit gradual convergence to asymptotic behaviour as dataset-size $n$ increases.…
We prove that Fredholm determinants of the form det(1-K_s), where K_s is the restriction of either the discrete Bessel kernel or the discrete {}_2F_1 kernel to {s,s+1,...}, can be expressed through solutions of discrete Painleve II and V…
In this paper we study the Bessel process R_t^{(\mu)} with index \mu\neq 0 starting from x>0 and killed when it reaches a positive level a, where x>a>0. We provide sharp estimates of the transition probability density p_a^{(\mu)}(t,x,y) for…
A compound Poisson process whose parameters are all unknown is observed at finitely many equispaced times. Nonparametric estimators of the jump and L\'evy distributions are proposed and functional central limit theorems using the uniform…