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Augmenting mechanistic ordinary differential equation (ODE) models with machine-learnable structures is an novel approach to create highly accurate, low-dimensional models of engineering systems incorporating both expert knowledge and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-06-22 Sandor Beregi , David A. W. Barton , Djamel Rezgui , Simon A. Neild

Out-of-distribution (OOD) data poses serious challenges in deployed machine learning models, so methods of predicting a model's performance on OOD data without labels are important for machine learning safety. While a number of methods have…

Neural simulation-based inference is a powerful class of machine-learning-based methods for statistical inference that naturally handles high-dimensional parameter estimation without the need to bin data into low-dimensional summary…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2025-06-16 ATLAS Collaboration

The use of machine learning algorithms to predict behaviors of complex systems is booming. However, the key to an effective use of machine learning tools in multi-physics problems, including combustion, is to couple them to physical and…

Numerical simulation of ordinary differential equations (ODEs) can be challenging when the system exhibits high accelerations and rapidly changing dynamics. Under these conditions the ODE solver often needs to take very small time steps in…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-11 Andrew Tagg , Andrew Frandsen , Andrew Ning

The great performances of deep learning are undeniable, with impressive results over a wide range of tasks. However, the output confidence of these models is usually not well-calibrated, which can be an issue for applications where…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-06-11 Azadeh Sadat Mozafari , Hugo Siqueira Gomes , Wilson Leão , Christian Gagné

Probabilistic models often use neural networks to control their predictive uncertainty. However, when making out-of-distribution (OOD)} predictions, the often-uncontrollable extrapolation properties of neural networks yield poor uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-19 Pierre Segonne , Yevgen Zainchkovskyy , Søren Hauberg

We present a novel probabilistic programming framework that couples directly to existing large-scale simulators through a cross-platform probabilistic execution protocol, which allows general-purpose inference engines to record and control…

Occupancy prediction, aiming at predicting the occupancy status within voxelized 3D environment, is quickly gaining momentum within the autonomous driving community. Mainstream occupancy prediction works first discretize the 3D environment…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-11-01 Jiabao Wang , Zhaojiang Liu , Qiang Meng , Liujiang Yan , Ke Wang , Jie Yang , Wei Liu , Qibin Hou , Ming-Ming Cheng

Rapid access to accurate equation-of-state (EOS) data is crucial in the warm-dense matter regime, as it is employed in various applications, such as providing input for hydrodynamic codes to model inertial confinement fusion processes. In…

Computational Physics · Physics 2023-12-12 Timothy J. Callow , Jan Nikl , Eli Kraisler , Attila Cangi

Neutron stars provide a unique laboratory for studying matter at extreme pressures and densities. While there is no direct way to explore their interior structure, X-rays emitted from these stars can indirectly provide clues to the equation…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2023-02-15 Delaney Farrell , Pierre Baldi , Jordan Ott , Aishik Ghosh , Andrew W. Steiner , Atharva Kavitkar , Lee Lindblom , Daniel Whiteson , Fridolin Weber

Observing system uncertainty experiments (OSUEs) have been recently proposed as a cost-effective way to perform probabilistic assessment of retrievals for NASA's Orbiting Carbon Observatory-2 (OCO-2) mission. One important component in the…

Applications · Statistics 2020-11-03 Pulong Ma , Anirban Mondal , Bledar Konomi , Jonathan Hobbs , Joon Song , Emily Kang

When studying high-dimensional dynamical systems such as macromolecules, quantum systems and polymers, a prime concern is the identification of the most probable states and their stationary probabilities or free energies. Often, these…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-01-01 Hao Wu , Frank Noé

Machine-learning models in high-energy physics are often trained on simulated data, where fully simulated samples are computationally expensive while fast simulation provides large statistics at reduced realism. In this work, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Matthias Schott , Lucie Flek

Testing and evaluation is an important step before the large-scale application of the autonomous driving systems (ADSs). Based on the three level of scenario abstraction theory, a testing can be performed within a logical scenario, followed…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-24 Xinzheng Wu , Junyi Chen , Jianfeng Wu , Longgao Zhang , Tian Xia , Yong Shen

Operations research practitioners frequently want to model complicated functions that are are difficult to encode in their underlying optimisation framework. A common approach is to solve an approximate model, and to use a simulation to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-06 Michael Forbes , Mitchell Harris , Marijn Jansen , Femke van der Schoot , Thomas Taimre

Today, modern unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) are equipped with increasingly advanced capabilities that can run applications enabled by machine learning techniques, which require computationally intensive operations such as matrix…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-10-29 Wei Chong Ng , Wei Yang Bryan Lim , Jer Shyuan Ng , Suttinee Sawadsitang , Zehui Xiong , Dusit Niyato

Uncertainty estimation is a key component in any deployed machine learning system. One way to evaluate uncertainty estimation is using "out-of-distribution" (OoD) detection, that is, distinguishing between the training data distribution and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-03 Haiwen Huang , Joost van Amersfoort , Yarin Gal

Identifying the obstacle space is crucial for path planning. However, generating an accurate obstacle space remains a significant challenge due to various sources of uncertainty, including motion, behavior, and perception limitations. Even…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Jun Xiang , Jun Chen

A common setting for scientific inference is the ability to sample from a high-fidelity forward model (simulation) without having an explicit probability density of the data. We propose a simulation-based maximum likelihood deconvolution…