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Identifying an appropriate covariance function is one of the primary interests in spatial and spatio-temporal statistics because it allows researchers to analyze the dependence structure of the random process. For this purpose, spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-04 Jongwook Kim , Chunfeng Huang , Nicholas Bussberg

Many computer simulations are stochastic and exhibit input dependent noise. In such situations, heteroskedastic Gaussian processes (hetGPs) make ideal surrogates as they estimate a latent, non-constant variance. However, existing hetGP…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-03 Parul V. Patil , Robert B. Gramacy , Cayelan C. Carey , R. Quinn Thomas

We consider a parameter estimation problem for one dimensional stochastic heat equations, when data is sampled discretely in time or spatial component. We prove that, the real valued parameter next to the Laplacian (the drift), and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-17 Igor Cialenco , Yicong Huang

We propose an interdisciplinary framework that combines Bayesian predictive inference, a well-established tool in Machine Learning, with Formal Methods rooted in the computer science community. Bayesian predictive inference allows for…

Computation · Statistics 2025-08-21 Laura Vana , Ennio Visconti , Laura Nenzi , Annalisa Cadonna , Gregor Kastner

We construct an asymptotic approximation to the solution of a transmission problem for a body containing a region occupied by many small inclusions. The cluster of inclusions is characterised by two small parameters that determine the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2016-07-22 Michael Nieves

In this paper we develop non-asymptotic Gaussian approximation results for the sampling distribution of suprema of empirical processes when the indexing function class $\mathcal{F}_n$ varies with the sample size $n$ and may not be Donsker.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-06 Alexander Giessing

Stochastic processes have found numerous applications in science, as they are broadly used to model a variety of natural phenomena. Due to their intrinsic randomness and uncertainty, they are, however, difficult to characterize. Here, we…

We propose sequential Monte Carlo based algorithms for maximum likelihood estimation of the static parameters in hidden Markov models with an intractable likelihood using ideas from approximate Bayesian computation. The static parameter…

Computation · Statistics 2013-11-19 Sinan Yildirim , Sumeetpal Singh , Thomas Dean , Ajay Jasra

In the analysis of multivariate spatial and univariate spatio-temporal data, it is commonly recognized that asymmetric dependence may exist, which can be addressed using an asymmetric (matrix or space-time, respectively) covariance function…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-29 Drew Yarger

Random fields play a central role in the analysis of spatially correlated data and, as a result, have a significant impact on a broad array of scientific applications. This paper studies the cepstral random field model, providing recursive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-01-17 Tucker S. McElroy , Scott H. Holan

The log-Gaussian Cox process is a flexible and popular class of point pattern models for capturing spatial and space-time dependence for point patterns. Model fitting requires approximation of stochastic integrals which is implemented…

Computation · Statistics 2018-10-24 Shinichiro Shirota , Sudipto Banerjee

This paper develops an asymptotic likelihood theory for triangular arrays of stationary Gaussian time series depending on a multidimensional unknown parameter. We give sufficient conditions for the associated sequence of statistical models…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-14 Carsten H. Chong , Fabian Mies

Gibbsian structure in random point fields has been a classical tool for studying their spatial properties. However, exact Gibbs property is available only in a relatively limited class of models, and it does not adequately address many…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-26 Ujan Gangopadhyay , Subhro Ghosh , Kin Aun Tan

Gaussian process modulated Poisson processes provide a flexible framework for modelling spatiotemporal point patterns. So far this had been restricted to one dimension, binning to a pre-determined grid, or small data sets of up to a few…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-04 S. T. John , James Hensman

Our article considers a Gaussian variational approximation of the posterior density in a high-dimensional state space model. The variational parameters to be optimized are the mean vector and the covariance matrix of the approximation. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-20 Matias Quiroz , David J. Nott , Robert Kohn

This article studies some numerical approximations of the homogenized matrix for stochastic linear elliptic partial differential equations in divergence form. We focus on the case when the underlying random field is a small perturbation of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2011-02-21 Ronan Costaouec

Extreme environmental events frequently exhibit spatial and temporal dependence. These data are often modeled using max stable processes (MSPs). MSPs are computationally prohibitive to fit for as few as a dozen observations, with supposed…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-02 Emily C. Hector , Brian J. Reich

Various processes can be modelled as quasi-reaction systems of stochastic differential equations, such as cell differentiation and disease spreading. Since the underlying data of particle interactions, such as reactions between proteins or…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-06 Matteo Framba , Veronica Vinciotti , Ernst C. Wit

Spatially varying coefficient (SVC) models are a type of regression model for spatial data where covariate effects vary over space. If there are several covariates, a natural question is which covariates have a spatially varying effect and…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-12 Jakob A. Dambon , Fabio Sigrist , Reinhard Furrer

The increasing use of vine copulas in high-dimensional settings, where the number of parameters is often of the same order as the sample size, calls for asymptotic theory beyond the traditional fixed-$p$, large-$n$ framework. We establish…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-28 Jana Gauss , Thomas Nagler