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For a given carbon budget over several decades, different transformation rates for the energy system yield starkly different results. Here we consider a budget of 33 GtCO2 for the cumulative carbon dioxide emissions from the European…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-12-07 Marta Victoria , Kun Zhu , Tom Brown , Gorm B. Andresen , Martin Greiner

The balancing provided by hydropower reservoirs is essential in the transition towards a decarbonised European energy system, but the resource might be impacted by future climate change. In this work, we first analyse the hydropower…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-09-07 Ebbe Kyhl Gøtske , Marta Victoria

Cost optimal scenarios derived from models of a highly renewable electricity system depend on the specific input data, cost assumptions and system constraints. Here this influence is studied using a techno-economic optimisation model for a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-08-21 David P. Schlachtberger , Tom Brown , Mirko Schäfer , Stefan Schramm , Martin Greiner

Efforts to reduce climate change, but also falling prices and significant technology developments currently drive an increased weather-dependent electricity production from renewable electricity sources. In light of the changing climate, it…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-06-10 Smail Kozarcanin , Hailiang Liu , Gorm Bruun Andresen

We use three ensemble members of the EURO-CORDEX project and their data on surface wind speeds, solar irradiation as well as water runoff with a spatial resolution of 12 km and a temporal resolution of 3 hours under representative…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-11-09 Markus Schlott , Alexander Kies , Tom Brown , Stefan Schramm , Martin Greiner

Hydrogen and carbon capture and storage are pivotal to decarbonize the European energy system in a broad range of pathway scenarios. Yet, their timely uptake in different sectors and distribution across countries are affected by supply…

Uncertainties surrounding the energy transition often lead modelers to present large sets of scenarios that are challenging for policymakers to interpret and act upon. An alternative approach is to define a few qualitative storylines from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-14 Florian Joseph Baader , Stefano Moret , Wolfram Wiesemann , Iain Staffell , André Bardow

The use of wind and solar generation is fundamental to the decarbonisation of the United Kingdom electricity system. However, the optimal level of renewable energy as a proportion of total demand is still being debated. In this paper,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-07-25 Anthony D Stephens , David R Walwyn

Conventional feasibility studies of deep decarbonisation are often limited in their temporal scope, and are thus unable to draw conclusions about grid reliability over multi-decadal time periods. To address this problem, we introduce…

General Economics · Economics 2025-11-20 J. Dunsmore , L. M. Arthur , R. S. Kemp

The decarbonisation of the energy system is crucial for achieving climate goals and is inherently linked to the decarbonisation of industry. Despite this, few studies explore the simultaneous impacts of decarbonising both sectors. This…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-10-31 Quentin Raillard-Cazanove , Thibaut Knibiehly , Robin Girard

The transition to net-zero emissions in Europe is determined by a patchwork of country-level and EU-wide policy, creating coordination challenges in an interconnected system. We use an optimisation model to map out near-optimal energy…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-30 Koen van Greevenbroek , Aleksander Grochowicz , Marianne Zeyringer , Fred Espen Benth

Energy system models underpin decisions by energy system planners and operators. Energy system modelling faces a transformation: accounting for changing meteorological conditions imposed by climate change. To enable that transformation, a…

In this paper, we aim to analyse the impact of hydrogen production decarbonisation and electrification scenarios on the infrastructure development, generation mix, $CO_{2}$ emissions, and system costs of the European power system,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-12-12 Germán Morales-España , Ricardo Hernández-Serna , Diego A. Tejada-Arango , Marcel Weeda

To reach ambitious European CO$_2$ emission reduction targets, most scenarios of future European electricity systems rely on large shares of wind and solar photovoltaic power generation. We interpolate between two concepts for balancing the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-06-19 David P. Schlachtberger , Tom Brown , Stefan Schramm , Martin Greiner

The retirement of unabated coal power plants, the plummeting cost of renewable energy technologies, along with more aggressive public policies and regulatory reforms, are occurring at an unprecedented speed to decarbonize the power and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-19 Jian Shi , Dan Wang , Chenye Wu , Zhu Han

The residual load and excess power generation of 27 European countries with a 100% penetration of variable renewable energy sources are explored in order to quantify the benefit of power transmission between countries. Estimates are based…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-02-13 Rolando A. Rodriguez , Sarah Becker , Gorm B. Andresen , Dominik Heide , Martin Greiner

The transformation of the energy system has raised concerns about the reliability of fully renewable energy systems. We address this question for a 2050 European energy system using an economically optimal adequacy assessment. Our results…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-02 David Franzmann , Nils Ludwig , Jochen Linßen , Detlef Stolten , Heidi Heinrichs

To achieve ambitious greenhouse gas emission reduction targets in time, the planning of future energy systems needs to accommodate societal preferences, e.g. low levels of acceptance for transmission expansion or onshore wind turbines, and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-10-30 Fabian Neumann , Tom Brown

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change proposes different mitigation strategies to achieve the net emissions reductions that would be required to follow a pathway that limits global warming to 1.5{\deg}C with no or limited overshoot.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-12-10 Jonathan Dumas

This article evaluates the types of typical renewable energy technologies separately. Switching from fossil-fuel-based technology to green energies is time-consuming and requires a high investment cost. In addition, the production of energy…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-04-26 Hamid Zakernezhad , Ali Soleimani , Milad Mohabbati
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