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We investigate R-optimal designs for multi-response regression models with multi-factors, where the random errors in these models are correlated. Several theoretical results are derived for Roptimal designs, including scale invariance,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-08 Pengqi Liu , Lucy Gao , Julie Zhou

Data reduction is a fundamental challenge of modern technology, where classical statistical methods are not applicable because of computational limitations. We consider multiple linear regression for an extraordinarily large number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-30 Torsten Glemser , Rainer Schwabe

A meta-model of the input-output data of a computationally expensive simulation is often employed for prediction, optimization, or sensitivity analysis purposes. Fitting is enabled by a designed experiment, and for computationally expensive…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-01 Andrew Gill , David J. Warne , Antony M. Overstall , Clare McGrory , James M. McGree

Dynamical modelling lies at the heart of our understanding of physical systems. Its role in science is deeper than mere operational forecasting, in that it allows us to evaluate the adequacy of the mathematical structure of our models.…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-05 Hailiang Du , Leonard A. Smith

Valid uncertainty quantification after model selection remains challenging in high-dimensional linear regression, especially within the possibilistic inferential model (PIM) framework. We develop possibilistic inferential models for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-23 Yaohui Lin

In this paper, we derive copula-based and empirical dependency models (DMs) for simulating non-independent variables, and then propose a new way for determining the distribution of the model outputs conditional on every subset of inputs.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-12 Matieyendou Lamboni

Local variable selection aims to test for the effect of covariates on an outcome within specific regions. We outline a challenge that arises in the presence of non-linear effects and model misspecification. Specifically, for common…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-02 David Rossell , Arnold Kisuk Kseung , Ignacio Saez , Michele Guindani

The kernel-based method has been successfully applied in linear system identification using stable kernel designs. From a Gaussian process perspective, it automatically provides probabilistic error bounds for the identified models from the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-20 Mingzhou Yin , Roy S. Smith

This paper shows that the problem of testing hypotheses in moment condition models without any assumptions about identification may be considered as a problem of testing with an infinite-dimensional nuisance parameter. We introduce a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-24 Isaiah Andrews , Anna Mikusheva

Fractional polynomial models are potentially useful for response surfaces investigations. With the availability of routines for fitting nonlinear models in statistical packages they are increasingly being used. However, as in all…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-29 Luzia A. Trinca , Steven G. Gilmour

Nonlinear machine-learning models are increasingly used to discover causal relationships in time-series data, yet the interpretation of their outputs remains poorly understood. In particular, causal scores produced by regularized neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Valentina Kuskova , Dmitry Zaytsev , Michael Coppedge

For a broad class of nonlinear regression models we investigate the local E- and c-optimal design problem. It is demonstrated that in many cases the optimal designs with respect to these optimality criteria are supported at the Chebyshev…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Holger Dette , Viatcheslav B. Melas , Andrey Pepelyshev

Many important quantities of interest are only partially identified from observable data: the data can limit them to a set of plausible values, but not uniquely determine them. This paper develops a unified framework for covariate-assisted…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-15 Eli Ben-Michael

Reliable predictions from systems biology models require knowing whether parameters can be estimated from available data, and with what certainty. Identifiability analysis reveals whether parameters are learnable in principle (structural…

This work presents an algorithm for determining the parameters of a nonlinear dynamic model of the respiratory system in patients undergoing assisted ventilation. Using the pressure and flow signals measured at the mouth, the model's…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-01 Diego A. Riva , Carolina A. Evangelista , Paul F. Puleston , Luis Corsiglia , Nahuel Dargains

Sensitivity indices when the inputs of a model are not independent are estimated by local polynomial techniques. Two original estimators based on local polynomial smoothers are proposed. Both have good theoretical properties which are…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-12-18 Sébastien Da Veiga , François Wahl , Fabrice Gamboa

We make an observation that facilitates exact likelihood-based inference for the parameters of the popular ARFIMA model without requiring stationarity by allowing the upper bound $\bar{d}$ for the memory parameter $d$ to exceed $0.5$:…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-10 Maryclare Griffin , Gennady Samorodnitsky , David S. Matteson

Global sensitivity metrics are essential tools for assessing parameter importance in complex models, particularly when precise information about parameter values is unavailable. In many cases, such metrics are used to provide parameter…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-19 Huiyan Zou , Allison L. Lewis

We address the problem of optimal experimental design (OED) for Bayesian nonlinear inverse problems governed by PDEs. The goal is to find a placement of sensors, at which experimental data are collected, so as to minimize the uncertainty in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-11-04 Alen Alexanderian , Noemi Petra , Georg Stadler , Omar Ghattas

Nonlinear differential equations are encountered as models of fluid flow, spiking neurons, and many other systems of interest in the real world. Common features of these systems are that their behaviors are difficult to describe exactly and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-17 Zexin Sun , Mingyu Chen , John Baillieul
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