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We adapted the Reliable Change Index (RCI; Jacobson and Truax, 1991) from clinical psychology to item-level LLM version comparison on 2,000 MMLU-Pro items (K=10 samples at T=0.7). Two within-family pairs were tested: Llama 3 to 3.1 (+1.6…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-01 Jon-Paul Cacioli

We consider one of the most important problems in directional statistics, namely the problem of testing the null hypothesis that the spike direction $\theta$ of a Fisher-von Mises-Langevin distribution on the $p$-dimensional unit…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-05 Davy Paindaveine , Thomas Verdebout

We use numerical simulations of ray tracing through N-body simulations to investigate weak lensing by large-scale structure. These are needed for testing the analytic predictions of two-point correlators, to set error estimates on them and…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 Bhuvnesh Jain , Uros Seljak , Simon White

We investigate multiple testing and variable selection using the Least Angle Regression (LARS) algorithm in high dimensions under the assumption of Gaussian noise. LARS is known to produce a piecewise affine solution path with change points…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-05 J. -M. Azaïs , Y. De Castro

Multivariate linear regressions are widely used statistical tools in many applications to model the associations between multiple related responses and a set of predictors. To infer such associations, it is often of interest to test the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-07 Yinqiu He , Tiefeng Jiang , Jiyang Wen , Gongjun Xu

Change point detection plays a fundamental role in many real-world applications, where the goal is to analyze and monitor the behaviour of a data stream. In this paper, we study change detection in binary streams. To this end, we use a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-24 Nikolaj Tatti

Numerous studies have been devoted to the estimation and inference problems for functional linear models (FLM). However, few works focus on model checking problem that ensures the reliability of results. Limited tests in this area do not…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-07 Enze Shi , Yi Liu , Ke Sun , Lingzhu Li , Linglong Kong

We consider the problem of testing uniformity on high-dimensional unit spheres. We are primarily interested in non-null issues. We show that rotationally symmetric alternatives lead to two Local Asymptotic Normality (LAN) structures. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-04-28 Christine Cutting , Davy Paindaveine , Thomas Verdebout

In this paper we prove the Local Asymptotic Mixed Normality (LAMN) property for the statistical model given by the observation of local means of a diffusion process $X$. Our data are given by $ \int_0^1 X_{\frac{s+i}{n}} \dd \mu (s)$ for…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-09 Arnaud Gloter , Emmanuel Gobet

This paper studies the means-testing problem under weakly correlated Normal setups. Although quite common in genomic applications, test procedures having exact FWER control under such dependence structures are nonexistent. We explore the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-26 Swarnadeep Datta , Monitirtha Dey

We propose a nonparametric procedure to test for changes in correlation matrices at an unknown point in time. The new test requires only mild assumptions on the serial dependence structure and has considerable power in finite samples. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-29 Dominik Wied

We consider here together the inference questions and the change-point problem in Poisson autoregressions (see Tj{\o}stheim, 2012). The conditional mean (or intensity) of the process is involved as a non-linear function of it past values…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-09 Paul Doukhan , William Kengne

This paper introduces a quasi-likelihood ratio testing procedure for diffusion processes observed under nonsynchronous sampling schemes. High-frequency data, particularly in financial econometrics, are often recorded at irregular time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-25 Teppei Ogihara , Futo Ueno

A method for change point detection is proposed. We consider a univariate sequence of independent random variables with piecewise constant expectation and variance, apart from which the distribution may vary periodically. We aim to detect…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-23 Michael Messer

The scan statistic is by far the most popular method for anomaly detection, being popular in syndromic surveillance, signal and image processing, and target detection based on sensor networks, among other applications. The use of the scan…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-28 Ery Arias-Castro , Rui M. Castro , Ervin Tánczos , Meng Wang

A non parametric method based on the empirical likelihood is proposed for detecting the change in the coefficients of high-dimensional linear model where the number of model variables may increase as the sample size increases. This amounts…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-22 Gabriela Ciuperca , Zahraa Salloum

We derive the exact asymptotic distribution of the conditional likelihood-ratio test in instrumental variables regression under weak instrument asymptotics and for multiple endogenous variables. The distribution is conditional on all…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-09-09 Malte Londschien

This paper introduces a unified framework for the detection of a source with a sensor array in the context where the noise variance and the channel between the source and the sensors are unknown at the receiver. The Generalized Maximum…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-06-16 Pascal Bianchi , Merouane Debbah , Mylène Maïda , Jamal Najim

In this paper, we propose corrections to the likelihood ratio test and John's test for sphericity in large-dimensions. New formulas for the limiting parameters in the CLT for linear spectral statistics of sample covariance matrices with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-23 Qinwen Wang , Jianfeng Yao

Taking a multidimensional time-homogeneous dynamical system and adding a randomly perturbed time-dependent deterministic signal to some of its components gives rise to a high-dimensional system of stochastic differential equations which is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-02 Simon Holbach