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Using a Bayesian approach we compare anecdotal tsunami runup observations from the 29 December 1820 Flores Sea earthquake with close to 200,000 tsunami simulations to determine the most probable earthquake parameters causing the tsunami.…

Tidal stress is a globally acting perturbation driven primarily by the gravitational forcing of the Moon and the Sun. Understanding how tidal stresses can trigger seismic events is essential for constraining tectonic environments that are…

The persistent increases in spin-down rate offsets seen to accompany glitches in the Crab and other pulsars suggest increases in the spin-down torque. We interpret these offsets as due to starquakes occurring as the star spins down and the…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-10-30 Bennett Link , Lucia M. Franco , Richard I. Epstein

An attempt to construct a phenomenological theory of earthquakes is being undertaken by a small research team, which includes the author. We have only taken the first steps towards goal, but the results already obtained convincingly…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-10-31 A. V. Guglielmi

Seeing the Earth crust as crisscrossed by faults filled with fluid at close to lithostatic pressures, we develop a model in which its elastic modulii are different in net tension versus compression. In constrast with standard nonlinear…

Geophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 G. Ouillon , D. Sornette

Universal shape profiles in a variety of systems contain crucial information on the underlying dynamics. We develop such shape profiles for earthquakes as a stronger test of theory against observations. The earthquake analysis shows good…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Amit P. Mehta , Karin A. Dahmen , Yehuda Ben-Zion

We argue that the word ``critical'' in the title is not purely literary. Based on our and other previous work on nonlinear complex dynamical systems, we summarize present evidence, on the Oct. 1929, Oct. 1987, Oct. 1987 Hong-Kong, Aug. 1998…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Anders Johansen , Didier Sornette

We investigate whether or not the decadal and multi-decadal climate oscillations have an astronomical origin. Several global surface temperature records since 1850 and records deduced from the orbits of the planets present very similar…

Geophysics · Physics 2010-05-31 Nicola Scafetta

Fundamentally related to the UV divergence problem in Physics, conventional wisdom in seismology is that the smallest earthquakes, which are numerous and often go undetected, dominate the triggering of major earthquakes, making the…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-05-12 Shyam Nandan , Guy Ouillon , Didier Sornette

The impinging solar wind and its magnetic field perturbed the Earth's magnetosphere and create magnetic storms and substorms. The Earth's magnetosphere expands (contracts) during periods of southward (northward) IMF. It is shown that these…

Space Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 E. P. Savov

The equilibrium rotation rate of a planet is determined by the sum of torques acting on its solid body. For planets with atmospheres, the dominant torques are usually the gravitational tide, which acts to slow the planet's rotation rate,…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2024-10-07 Andrea M. Salazar , Robin Wordsworth

In this brief report we discuss how continuous changes on the physical parameters that determine the weather conditions may lead to long term climate variability. This variability of the weather patterns are a response to continuous random…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2022-09-21 Orfeu Bertolami

We show that interaction with a gas disk may produce young planetary systems with closely-spaced orbits, stabilized by mean-motion resonances between neighbors. On longer timescales, after the gas is gone, interaction with a remnant…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 Edward W. Thommes , Geoffrey Bryden , Yanqin Wu , Frederic A. Rasio

We apply Laplace's tidal theory to the evolution of lunar and solar tides on the geologic timescale of Earth's rotation and focus on the tidal resonance. We study the global tide in the mid-ocean far away from continents. On the short…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2021-03-31 Xing Wei

General thermodynamic theory of metastable states is used in this short note to try to understand better atmospheric instabilities. It is shown that not only cooling of a cloud can lead to rain, but heating also, especially when there are…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2012-04-06 Yuri Kornyushin

The driving concept behind one of the most successful statistical forecasting models, the ETAS model, has been that the seismicity is driven by spontaneously occurring background earthquakes that cascade into multitudes of triggered…

Geophysics · Physics 2019-05-22 Shyam Nandan , Guy Ouillon , Didier Sornette

This article reviews atmospheric changes associated with 44 solar eclipses, beginning with the first quantitative results available, from 1834 (earlier qualitative, accounts also exist). Eclipse meteorology attracted relatively few…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-08-23 Karen Aplin , Chris Scott , Suzanne Gray

Based on the geodynamics, an earthquake does not take place until the momentum-energy excess a faulting threshold value of rock due to the movement of the fluid layer under the rock layer and the transport and accumulation of the momentum.…

General Physics · Physics 2008-02-05 Yi-Fang Chang

We investigate the possibility that the Moon's formation impact was triggered by an early dynamical instability of the giant planets. We consider the well-studied "jumping Jupiter" hypothesis for the solar system's instability, where…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2021-08-11 Sandro R. DeSouza , Fernando Roig , David Nesvorný

Instabilities and strong dynamical interactions between multiple giant planets have been proposed as a possible explanation for the surprising orbital properties of extrasolar planetary systems. In particular, dynamical instabilities seem…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 Eric B. Ford , Frederic A. Rasio , Kenneth Yu