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Machine learning improves predictive accuracy in insurance pricing but exacerbates trade-offs between competing fairness criteria across different discrimination measures, challenging regulators and insurers to reconcile profitability with…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-01 Tim J. Boonen , Xinyue Fan , Zixiao Quan

We study the application of dynamic pricing to insurance. We view this as an online revenue management problem where the insurance company looks to set prices to optimize the long-run revenue from selling a new insurance product. We develop…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-07-12 Yuqing Zhang , Neil Walton

Predictive modeling in healthcare continues to be an active actuarial research topic as more insurance companies aim to maximize the potential of Machine Learning approaches to increase their productivity and efficiency. In this paper, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-27 Ugochukwu Orji , Elochukwu Ukwandu

Usage-based insurance (UBI) uses telematics to align premiums with risk and encourage safe driving. However, deploying these programs is challenging due to heavy-tailed claim costs, nonstationary driver behavior, and limited incentive…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-11 Qinyang He , Yonatan Mintz

In the literature, insurance and reinsurance pricing is typically determined by a premium principle, characterized by a risk measure that reflects the policy seller's risk attitude. Building on the work of Meyers (1980) and Chen et al.…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-08 Ziyue Shi , David Landriault , Fangda Liu

When faced with a new customer, many factors contribute to an insurance firm's decision of what offer to make to that customer. In addition to the expected cost of providing the insurance, the firm must consider the other offers likely to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-05 Edward James Young , Alistair Rogers , Elliott Tong , James Jordon

In a context of constant increase in competition and heightened regulatory pressure, accuracy, actuarial precision, as well as transparency and understanding of the tariff, are key issues in non-life insurance. Traditionally used…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-28 Markéta Krùpovà , Nabil Rachdi , Quentin Guibert

With the rise of emerging risks, model uncertainty poses a fundamental challenge in the insurance industry, making robust pricing a first-order question. This paper investigates how insurers' robustness preferences shape competitive…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-20 Shunzhi Pang

This paper presents a novel approach to optimizing profit margins in non-life insurance markets through a gradient descent-based method, targeting three key objectives: 1) maximizing profit margins, 2) ensuring conversion rates, and 3)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-17 Vincent Grari , Marcin Detyniecki

In this paper we study the pricing and hedging of nonreplicable contingent claims, such as long-term insurance contracts like variable annuities. Our approach is based on the benchmark-neutral pricing framework of Platen (2024), which…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-25 Michael Schmutz , Eckhard Platen , Thorsten Schmidt

It has become standard practice in the non-life insurance industry to employ Generalized Linear Models (GLMs) for insurance pricing. However, these GLMs traditionally work only with a priori characteristics of policyholders, while nowadays…

Applications · Statistics 2021-01-26 Robert Matthijs Verschuren

Accurately predicting customer churn using large scale time-series data is a common problem facing many business domains. The creation of model features across various time windows for training and testing can be particularly challenging…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-13 Bryan Gregory

This contribution is concerned with price optimisation of the new business for a non-life product. Due to high competition in the insurance market, non-life insurers are interested in increasing their conversion rates on new business based…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-11-22 Maissa Tamraz , Yaming Yang

We study robust versions of pricing problems where customers choose products according to a generalized extreme value (GEV) choice model, and the choice parameters are not known exactly but lie in an uncertainty set. We show that, when the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-10-19 Tien Mai , Patrick Jaillet

In continuous-choice settings, consumers decide not only on whether to purchase a product, but also on how much to purchase. Thus, firms optimize a full price schedule rather than a single price point. This paper provides a methodology to…

General Economics · Economics 2024-08-13 Soheil Ghili , Russ Yoon

Pricing actuaries typically operate within the framework of generalized linear models (GLMs). With the upswing of data analytics, our study puts focus on machine learning methods to develop full tariff plans built from both the frequency…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-04 Roel Henckaerts , Marie-Pier Côté , Katrien Antonio , Roel Verbelen

Traditional insurance pricing relies on risk-based principles that ensure actuarial fairness and solvency but do not explicitly account for policyholders' price sensitivity. We formulate insurance pricing as a decision-making problem and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-29 Sascha Günther , Dimitri Semenovich , Mario V. Wüthrich

In lending, where prices are specific to both customers and products, having a well-functioning personalized pricing policy in place is essential to effective business making. Typically, such a policy must be derived from observational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-08 Christopher Bockel-Rickermann , Sam Verboven , Tim Verdonck , Wouter Verbeke

The property and casualty (P&C) insurance industry faces challenges in developing claim predictive models due to the highly right-skewed distribution of positive claims with excess zeros. To address this, actuarial science researchers have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-19 Banghee So

Customer loyalty is crucial for internet services since retaining users of a service to ensure the staying time of the service is of significance for increasing revenue. It demands the retention of customers to be high enough to meet the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-10-20 Junhua Chen , Wei Zeng , Ge Fan , Junmin Shao
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