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We propose an efficient transfer Bayesian optimization method, which finds the maximum of an expensive-to-evaluate black-box function by using data on related optimization tasks. Our method uses auxiliary information that represents the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-18 Tomoharu Iwata , Takuma Otsuka

In this paper, models of the blood glucose (BG) dynamics in people with Type 1 diabetes (T1D) in response to moderate intensity aerobic activity are derived from physiology-based first principles and system identification experiments. We…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-07-18 Mehrad Jaloli , Marzia Cescon

A Bayesian optimization algorithm for the nurse scheduling problem is presented, which involves choosing a suitable scheduling rule from a set for each nurses assignment. Unlike our previous work that used Gas to implement implicit…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2010-07-05 Jingpeng Li , Uwe Aickelin

Estimation of the response probability distributions of computer simulators in the presence of randomness is a crucial task in many fields. However, achieving this task with guaranteed accuracy remains an open computational challenge,…

Computation · Statistics 2024-09-04 Chao Dang , Marcos A. Valdebenito , Nataly A. Manque , Jun Xu , Matthias G. R. Faes

Objectives: Metabolic Bariatric Surgery (MBS) is a critical intervention for patients living with obesity and related health issues. Accurate classification and prediction of patient outcomes are vital for optimizing treatment strategies.…

Diabetes is a prevalent chronic condition that compromises the health of millions of people worldwide. Minimally invasive methods are needed to prevent and control diabetes but most devices for measuring glucose levels are invasive and not…

In this paper, we propose a model of the dynamics of the blood glucose level during an Oral Glucose Tolerance Test (OGTT). This dynamic includes the action of insulin and glucagon in the glucose homeostasis process as the reaction of an…

Applications · Statistics 2021-05-12 Hugo Flores-Arguedas , Marcos A. Capistrán

We consider chance constrained optimization where it is sought to optimize a function while complying with constraints, both of which are affected by uncertainties. The high computational cost of realistic simulations strongly limits the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-18 Julien Pelamatti , Rodolphe Le Riche , Céline Helbert , Christophette Blanchet-Scalliet

Previous likelihood-based linear modeling of nutritional data has been limited by the availability of software that allows flexible error structures in the data. We demonstrate the use of a Bayesian modeling approach to the analysis of such…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Andrew Lawson , Daniela Nitcheva

Tuberculosis remains a significant global health challenge, with millions of new cases reported annually. Recent studies suggest that expanding the accessibility of TB intervention programs can lead to a substantial decrease in both TB…

The conventional method of glucose measurement such as pricking blood from the body is prevalent which brings pain and trauma. Invasive methods of measurement sometimes raise the risk of blood infection to the patient. Sometimes, some of…

Medical Physics · Physics 2023-08-24 Prateek Jain , Amit Joshi , Saraju Mohanty

The rising rates of diabetes necessitate innovative methods for its management. Continuous glucose monitors (CGM) are small medical devices that measure blood glucose levels at regular intervals providing insights into daily patterns of…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-10 Renat Sergazinov , Elizabeth Chun , Valeriya Rogovchenko , Nathaniel Fernandes , Nicholas Kasman , Irina Gaynanova

Background and objective: Hybrid automated insulin delivery (hAID) systems represent the most advanced therapy for type 1 diabetes (T1D). Current systems rely on linear or linearized models of glucose homeostasis, which may compromise…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-08 Vihangkumar V. Naik , Eleonora Manzoni , Clara Escorihuela-Altaba , Jose Garcia-Tirado

Bayesian optimization is an effective methodology for the global optimization of functions with expensive evaluations. It relies on querying a distribution over functions defined by a relatively cheap surrogate model. An accurate model for…

Diabetes, a chronic condition that impairs how the body turns food into energy, i.e. blood glucose, affects 38 million people in the US alone. The standard treatment is to supplement carbohydrate intake with an artificial pancreas, i.e. a…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-08-26 Ashok Khanna , Olivier Francon , Risto Miikkulainen

Data-driven risk analysis involves the inference of probability distributions from measured or simulated data. In the case of a highly reliable system, such as the electricity grid, the amount of relevant data is often exceedingly limited,…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-11 Simon H. Tindemans , Goran Strbac

Bayesian estimation is increasingly popular for performing model based inference to support policymaking. These data are often collected from surveys under informative sampling designs where subject inclusion probabilities are designed to…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-13 Luis G. Leon-Novelo , Terrance D. Savitsky

People with type 1 diabetes (T1D) lack the ability to produce the insulin their bodies need. As a result, they must continually make decisions about how much insulin to self-administer to adequately control their blood glucose levels.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-22 Ian Fox , Joyce Lee , Rodica Pop-Busui , Jenna Wiens

The declining response rates in probability surveys along with the widespread availability of unstructured data has led to growing research into non-probability samples. Existing robust approaches are not well-developed for non-Gaussian…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-29 Ali Rafei , Michael R. Elliott , Carol A. C. Flannagan

Bayesian Optimization using Gaussian Processes is a popular approach to deal with the optimization of expensive black-box functions. However, because of the a priori on the stationarity of the covariance matrix of classic Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-10 Ali Hebbal , Loic Brevault , Mathieu Balesdent , El-Ghazali Talbi , Nouredine Melab
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