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Patients with Type I Diabetes (T1D) must take insulin injections to prevent the serious long term effects of hyperglycemia - high blood glucose (BG). Patients must also be careful not to inject too much insulin because this could induce…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-01 Neil C. Borle , Edmond A. Ryan , Russell Greiner

In the U.S., over a third of adults are pre-diabetic, with 80\% unaware of their status. This underlines the need for better glucose monitoring to prevent type 2 diabetes and related heart diseases. Existing wearable glucose monitors are…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-26 Yidong Zhu , Nadia B Aimandi , Mohammad Arif Ul Alam

The Glycemic Index (GI) is a tool for classifying carbohydrates based on their impact on postprandial glycemia, useful for diabetes prevention and management. This study applies a mathematical model for a data driven simulation of the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-04-02 Fabio Credali , Maria Teresa Venuti , Daniele Boffi , Paola Rossi

We present the design and \textit{in-silico} evaluation of a closed-loop insulin delivery algorithm to treat type 1 diabetes (T1D) consisting in a data-driven multi-step-ahead blood glucose (BG) predictor integrated into a Linear…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-07-25 Eleonora Maria Aiello , Mehrad Jaloli , Marzia Cescon

Modern epidemiological analytics increasingly use machine learning models that offer strong prediction but often lack calibrated uncertainty. Bayesian methods provide principled uncertainty quantification, yet are viewed as difficult to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-18 Debashis Chatterjee

Standard objective functions used during the training of neural-network-based predictive models do not consider clinical criteria, leading to models that are not necessarily clinically acceptable. In this study, we look at this problem from…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-09-24 Maxime De Bois , Mounîm A. El Yacoubi , Mehdi Ammi

Randomized clinical trials are considered the gold standard for estimating causal effects. Nevertheless, in studies that are aimed at examining adverse effects of interventions, such trials are often impractical because of ethical and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-20 Anthony D. Scotina , Andrew R. Zullo , Robert J. Smith , Roee Gutman

Modeling the dynamics of probability distributions from time-dependent data samples is a fundamental problem in many fields, including digital health. The goal is to analyze how the distribution of a biomarker, such as glucose, changes over…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-18 Antonio Álvarez-López , Marcos Matabuena

Sustained high levels of blood glucose in type 2 diabetes (T2DM) can have disastrous long-term health consequences. An essential component of clinical interventions for T2DM is monitoring dietary intake to keep plasma glucose levels within…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-06-24 Zepeng Huo , Bobak J. Mortazavi , Theodora Chaspari , Nicolaas Deutz , Laura Ruebush , Ricardo Gutierrez-Osuna

The Glucose-Insulin-Glucagon nonlinear model [1-4] accurately describes how the body responds to exogenously supplied insulin and glucagon in patients affected by Type I diabetes. Based on this model, we design infusion rates of either…

Tissues and Organs · Quantitative Biology 2019-06-19 Afroza Shirin , Fabio Della Rossa , Isaac Klickstein , John Russell , Francesco Sorrentino

Blood glucose simulation allows the effectiveness of type 1 diabetes (T1D) management strategies to be evaluated without patient harm. Deep learning algorithms provide a promising avenue for extending simulator capabilities; however, these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-24 Harry Emerson , Ryan McConville , Matthew Guy

Optimization via simulation (OvS) procedures that assume the simulation inputs are generated from the real-world distributions are subject to the risk of selecting a suboptimal solution when the distributions are substituted with input…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-20 Eunhye Song

Describing dynamic medical systems using machine learning is a challenging topic with a wide range of applications. In this work, the possibility of modeling the blood glucose level of diabetic patients purely on the basis of measured data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-10 David Jödicke , Daniel Parra , Gabriel Kronberger , Stephan Winkler

Controller tuning and parameter optimization are crucial in system design to improve closed-loop system performance. Bayesian optimization has been established as an efficient model-free controller tuning and adaptation method. However,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-04-24 Christopher König , Raamadaas Krishnadas , Efe C. Balta , Alisa Rupenyan

Reliable optimal control is challenging when the dynamics of a nonlinear system are unknown and only infrequent, noisy output measurements are available. This work addresses this setting of limited sensing by formulating a Bayesian prior…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-21 Robert Lefringhausen , Theodor Springer , Sandra Hirche

Bayesian optimization is proposed for automatic learning of optimal controller parameters from experimental data. A probabilistic description (a Gaussian process) is used to model the unknown function from controller parameters to a…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-01-24 Matthias Neumann-Brosig , Alonso Marco , Dieter Schwarzmann , Sebastian Trimpe

Control of blood glucose is essential for diabetes management. Current digital therapeutic approaches for subjects with Type 1 diabetes mellitus (T1DM) such as the artificial pancreas and insulin bolus calculators leverage machine learning…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-02-27 Kezhi Li , John Daniels , Chengyuan Liu , Pau Herrero , Pantelis Georgiou

We propose a practical Bayesian optimization method using Gaussian process regression, of which the marginal likelihood is maximized where the number of model selection steps is guided by a pre-defined threshold. Since Bayesian optimization…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-19 Jungtaek Kim , Seungjin Choi

Gaussian processes are the model of choice in Bayesian optimization and active learning. Yet, they are highly dependent on cleverly chosen hyperparameters to reach their full potential, and little effort is devoted to finding good…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-16 Carl Hvarfner , Erik Hellsten , Frank Hutter , Luigi Nardi

In this paper, a novel robust tracking control scheme for a general class of discrete-time nonlinear systems affected by unknown bounded uncertainty is presented. By solving a parameterized optimal tracking control problem subject to the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-12-08 Alexandros Tanzanakis , John Lygeros