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Inspired by Minority Games, we constructed a novel individual-level game of adaptive decision-making based on the dilemma of deciding whether to participate in voluntary influenza vaccination programs. The proportion of the population…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Raffaele Vardavas , Romulus Breban , Sally Blower

Seasonal influenza is a significant public health concern in the United States and globally. While influenza vaccines are the single most effective intervention to reduce influenza morbidity and mortality, there is considerable debate…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-01-07 Eric Mooring , Shweta Bansal

We define and analyze an inductive reasoning game of voluntary yearly vaccination in order to establish whether or not a population of individuals acting in their own self-interest would be able to prevent influenza epidemics. We find that…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-05-29 Romulus Breban , Raffaele Vardavas , Sally Blower

The success of a vaccination program is crucially dependent on its adoption by a critical fraction of the population, as the resulting herd immunity prevents future outbreaks of an epidemic. However, the effectiveness of a campaign can…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-07-02 Anupama Sharma , Shakti N. Menon , V. Sasidevan , Sitabhra Sinha

In this work we analyze the evolution of voluntary vaccination in networked populations by entangling the spreading dynamics of an influenza-like disease with an evolutionary framework taking place at the end of each influenza season so…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-09-11 Alessio Cardillo , Catalina Reyes-Suárez , Fernando Naranjo , Jesús Gómez-Gardeñes

Opposition to vaccination has long been a non-negligible public health phenomenon resulted from people's varied perceptions toward vaccination (e.g., vaccine-phobia). This paper investigates the voluntary vaccination behavior of a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-09-04 Liqun Lu , Yanfeng Ouyang

The decision of whether or not to vaccinate is a complex one. It involves the contribution both to a social good -- herd immunity -- and to one's own well being. It is informed by social influence, personal experience, education, and mass…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-02-15 Soya Miyoshi , Marko Jusup , Petter Holme

This paper investigates the effects of vaccination on the dynamics of infectious disease, which is spreading in a population concurrently with awareness. The model considers contributions to the overall awareness from a global information…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2018-05-14 G. O. Agaba , Y. N. Kyrychko , K. B. Blyuss

This work consists of an epidemic model with vaccination coupled with an opinion dynamics. Our objective was to study how disease risk perception can influence opinions about vaccination and therefore the spreading of the disease.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-11-20 Marcelo A. Pires , André L. Oestereich , Nuno Crokidakis

We introduce and discuss a minimal individual-based model for influenza dynamics. The model takes into account the effects of specific immunization against viral strains, but also infectivity randomness and the presence of a short-lived…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-11 Francesca Tria , Michael Laessig , Luca Peliti , Silvio Franz

Background: Globally, influenza is a major cause of morbidity, hospitalization and mortality. Influenza vaccination has shown substantial protective effectiveness in the United States. We investigated state-level patterns of coverage rates…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-03-14 Alice P. Y. Chiu , Duo Yu , Jonathan Dushoff , Daihai He

Voluntary vaccination is essential to protect oneself from infection and suppress the spread of infectious diseases. Voluntary vaccination behavior is influenced by factors such as age and interaction patterns. Differences in health…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-12-11 Yanyi Nie , Tao Lin , Yanbing Liu , Wei Wang

We develop a mechanistic model that classifies individuals both in terms of epidemiological status (SIR) and vaccination attitude (willing or unwilling), with the goal of discovering how disease spread is influenced by changing opinions…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-08-16 Yi Jiang , Kristin M. Kurianski , Jane HyoJin Lee , Yanping Ma , Daniel Cicala , Glenn Ledder

We propose a kinetic model for understanding the link between opinion formation phenomena and epidemic dynamics. The recent pandemic has brought to light that vaccine hesitancy can present different phases and temporal and spatial…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-10-31 Andrea Bondesan , Giuseppe Toscani , Mattia Zanella

We review research papers which use game theory to model the decision making of individuals during an epidemic, attempting to classify the literature and identify the emerging trends in this field. We show that the literature can be…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-02-13 Sheryl L. Chang , Mahendra Piraveenan , Philippa Pattison , Mikhail Prokopenko

Modeling human behavior is essential to accurately predict epidemic spread, with behaviors like vaccine hesitancy complicating control efforts. While epidemic spread is often treated as a simple contagion, vaccine uptake may follow complex…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-12-17 Alfonso de Miguel-Arribas , Alberto Aleta , Yamir Moreno

In this paper we introduce a compartmental epidemic model describing the transmission of the COVID-19 disease in presence of non-mandatory vaccination. The model takes into account the hesitancy and refusal of vaccination. To this aim, we…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-06-23 Bruno Buonomo , Rossella Della Marca , Alberto d'Onofrio , Maria Groppi

Vaccination is crucial for the control of epidemics. Yet it is a social dilemma since non-vaccinators can benefit from the herd immunity created by the vaccinators. Thus the optimum vaccination level is not reached via voluntary vaccination…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-02-06 Yuting Wei , Yaosen Lin , Bin Wu

Often, vaccination programs are carried out based on self-interest rather than being mandatory. Owing to the perceptions about risks associated with vaccines and the `herd immunity' effect, it may provide suboptimal vaccination coverage for…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-07-20 Hai-Feng Zhang , Zhi-Xi Wu , Xiao-Ke Xu , Michael Small , Bing-Hong Wang

The topic of finding effective strategy to halt virus in complex network is of current interest. We propose an immunization strategy for seasonal epidemics that occur periodically. Based on the local information of the infection status from…

Applications · Statistics 2015-06-22 Shu Yan , Shaoting Tang , Sen Pei , Shijin Jiang , Zhiming Zheng
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