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One of the most common anticipated difficulties in applying mainstream maximum likelihood inference upon extreme values is articulated on the scarcity of extreme observations for bringing the extreme value theorem to hold across a series of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-28 Christopher Jeffree , Cláudia Neves

A solution to control for nonresponse bias consists of multiplying the design weights of respondents by the inverse of estimated response probabilities to compensate for the nonrespondents. Maximum likelihood and calibration are two…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-27 Caren Hasler

The difference between a model forecast and actual observations is called forecast bias. This bias is due to either incomplete model assumptions and/or poorly known parameter values and initial/boundary conditions. In this paper we discuss…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2010-11-09 Sean Crowell , S. Lakshmivarahan

Scalar-on-function logistic regression, where the response is a binary outcome and the predictor consists of random curves, has become a general framework to explore a linear relationship between the binary outcome and functional predictor.…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-07 Muge Mutis , Ufuk Beyaztas , Gulhayat Golbasi Simsek , Han Lin Shang

The cost of both generalized least squares (GLS) and Gibbs sampling in a crossed random effects model can easily grow faster than $N^{3/2}$ for $N$ observations. Ghosh et al. (2020) develop a backfitting algorithm that reduces the cost to…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-30 Swarnadip Ghosh , Trevor Hastie , Art B. Owen

We consider high-dimensional binary classification by sparse logistic regression. We propose a model/feature selection procedure based on penalized maximum likelihood with a complexity penalty on the model size and derive the non-asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-20 Felix Abramovich , Vadim Grinshtein

We propose an approach for fitting linear regression models that splits the set of covariates into groups. The optimal split of the variables into groups and the regularized estimation of the regression coefficients are performed by…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-13 Anthony Christidis , Ruben Zamar , Laks V. S. Lakshmanan , Ezequiel Smucler

A new family of minimum distance estimators for binary logistic regression models based on $\phi$-divergence measures is introduced. The so called "pseudo minimum phi-divergence estimator"(PM$\phi$E) family is presented as an extension of…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-09 Elena Castilla , Nirian Martin , Leandro Pardo

Likelihood-based inference, central in modern particle physics data analysis requires the extensive evaluation of a likelihood function that depends on set of parameters defined by the statistical model under consideration. If an analytical…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2024-01-23 César , Jesús-Valls

This manuscript studies a general approach to construct confidence sets for the solution of stochastic optimization, rendering empirical risk minimization as special cases. Statistical inference for stochastic optimization poses significant…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-22 Kenta Takatsu , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

Ordinal data are quite common in applied statistics. Although some model selection and regularization techniques for categorical predictors and ordinal response models have been developed over the past few years, less work has been done…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-26 Aisouda Hoshiyar , Laura H. Gertheiss , Jan Gertheiss

In this article we compare the performances of a logistic regression and a feed forward neural network for credit scoring purposes. Our results show that the logistic regression gives quite good results on the dataset and the neural network…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-23 Matthieu Garcin , Samuel Stephan

A learned generative model often produces biased statistics relative to the underlying data distribution. A standard technique to correct this bias is importance sampling, where samples from the model are weighted by the likelihood ratio…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-05 Aditya Grover , Jiaming Song , Alekh Agarwal , Kenneth Tran , Ashish Kapoor , Eric Horvitz , Stefano Ermon

Modern applications require methods that are computationally feasible on large datasets but also preserve statistical efficiency. Frequently, these two concerns are seen as contradictory: approximation methods that enable computation are…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-11 Darren Homrighausen , Daniel J. McDonald

In this article we present very intuitive, easy to follow, yet mathematically rigorous, approach to the so called data fitting process. Rather than minimizing the distance between measured and simulated data points, we prefer to find such…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-08-07 Marek W. Gutowski

We consider learning methods based on the regularization of a convex empirical risk by a squared Hilbertian norm, a setting that includes linear predictors and non-linear predictors through positive-definite kernels. In order to go beyond…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-19 Ulysse Marteau-Ferey , Dmitrii Ostrovskii , Francis Bach , Alessandro Rudi

Predicting which action (treatment) will lead to a better outcome is a central task in decision support systems. To build a prediction model in real situations, learning from biased observational data is a critical issue due to the lack of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-11 Akira Tanimoto , Tomoya Sakai , Takashi Takenouchi , Hisashi Kashima

We present a new procedure for conducting a sensitivity analysis in matched observational studies. For any candidate test statistic, the approach defines tilted modifications dependent upon the proposed strength of unmeasured confounding.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-14 Colin B. Fogarty

Regression is a fundamental tool in scientific research. Ordinary least squares (OLS), one of the most widely used regression methods, enjoys several desirable properties, including the best linear unbiased estimator (BLUE) property. It is…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-29 Hwiyoung Lee , Shuo Chen

Overlapping asymmetric datasets are common in data science and pose questions of how they can be incorporated together into a predictive analysis. In healthcare datasets there is often a small amount of information that is available for a…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-21 Matthew McTeer , Robin Henderson , Quentin M Anstee , Paolo Missier
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