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Unrecognized patient deterioration can lead to high morbidity and mortality. Most existing deterioration prediction models require a large number of clinical information, typically collected in hospital settings, such as medical images or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-06 Sarmad Mehrdad , Farah E. Shamout , Yao Wang , S. Farokh Atashzar

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has exerted a profound impact on patients with end-stage renal disease relying on kidney dialysis to sustain their lives. Motivated by a request by the U.S. Centers for Medicare & Medicaid…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-02 Wenbo Wu , John D. Kalbfleisch , Jeremy M. G. Taylor , Jian Kang , Kevin He

Introduction: For COVID-19 patients accurate prediction of disease severity and mortality risk would greatly improve care delivery and resource allocation. There are many patient-related factors, such as pre-existing comorbidities that…

COVID-19 has been a public health emergency of international concern since early 2020. Reliable forecasting is critical to diminish the impact of this disease. To date, a large number of different forecasting models have been proposed,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-04 Yun Zhao , Yuqing Wang , Junfeng Liu , Haotian Xia , Zhenni Xu , Qinghang Hong , Zhiyang Zhou , Linda Petzold

Treatment protocols, disease understanding, and viral characteristics changed over the course of the COVID-19 pandemic; as a result, the risks associated with patient comorbidities and biomarkers also changed. We add to the conversation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-17 Benjamin Lengerich , Mark E. Nunnally , Yin Aphinyanaphongs , Rich Caruana

Once integrated into clinical care, patient risk stratification models may perform worse compared to their retrospective performance. To date, it is widely accepted that performance will degrade over time due to changes in care processes…

Based on recent studies, some COVID-19 symptoms can persist for months after infection, leading to what is termed long COVID. Factors such as vaccination timing, patient characteristics, and symptoms during the acute phase of infection may…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-30 Milad Leyli-abadi , Jean-Patrick Brunet , Axel Tahmasebimoradi

Existing prognostic tools mainly focus on predicting the risk of mortality among patients with coronavirus disease 2019. However, clinical evidence suggests that COVID-19 can result in non-mortal complications that affect patient prognosis.…

The rapid spread of COVID-19 cases in recent months has strained hospital resources, making rapid and accurate triage of patients presenting to emergency departments a necessity. Machine learning techniques using clinical data such as chest…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-01-26 Anuroop Sriram , Matthew Muckley , Koustuv Sinha , Farah Shamout , Joelle Pineau , Krzysztof J. Geras , Lea Azour , Yindalon Aphinyanaphongs , Nafissa Yakubova , William Moore

To draw real-world evidence about the comparative effectiveness of multiple time-varying treatments on patient survival, we develop a joint marginal structural survival model and a novel weighting strategy to account for time-varying…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-08 Liangyuan Hu , Jiayi Ji , Himanshu Joshi , Erick Scott , Fan Li

The COVID-19 pandemic has created an urgent need for robust, scalable monitoring tools supporting stratification of high-risk patients. This research aims to develop and validate prediction models, using the UK Biobank, to estimate COVID-19…

The global pandemic caused by COVID-19 affects our lives in all aspects. As of September 11, more than 28 million people have tested positive for COVID-19 infection, and more than 911,000 people have lost their lives in this virus battle.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-29 Yuqi Meng , Qiancheng Sun , Suning Hong , Ying Zhao , Zhixiang Li

With COVID-19 now pervasive, identification of high-risk individuals is crucial. Using data from a major healthcare provider in Southwestern Pennsylvania, we develop survival models predicting severe COVID-19 progression. In this endeavor,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-30 Helen Zhou , Cheng Cheng , Kelly J. Shields , Gursimran Kochhar , Tariq Cheema , Zachary C. Lipton , Jeremy C. Weiss

We develop various AI models to predict hospitalization on a large (over 110$k$) cohort of COVID-19 positive-tested US patients, sourced from March 2020 to February 2021. Models range from Random Forest to Neural Network (NN) and Time…

COVID-19 has challenged health systems to learn how to learn. This paper describes the context, methods and challenges for learning to improve COVID-19 care at one academic health center. Challenges to learning include: (1) choosing a right…

Determinants of COVID-19 clinical severity are commonly assessed by transverse or longitudinal studies of the fatality counts. However, the fatality counts depend both on disease clinical severity and transmissibility, as more infected also…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-02 Sofija Markovic , Andjela Rodic , Igor Salom , Ognjen Milicevic , Magdalena Djordjevic , Marko Djordjevic

The COVID-19 pandemic has caused substantial damage to global health. Even though three years have passed, the world continues to struggle with the virus. Concerns are growing about the impact of COVID-19 on the mental health of infected…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-06-14 Jiageng Wu , Xian Wu , Yining Hua , Shixu Lin , Yefeng Zheng , Jie Yang

The spread of COVID-19 has been greatly impacted by regulatory policies and behavior patterns that vary across counties, states, and countries. Population-level dynamics of COVID-19 can generally be described using a set of ordinary…

Applications · Statistics 2022-04-11 Joshua P. Keller , Tianjian Zhou , Andee Kaplan , G. Brooke Anderson , Wen Zhou

Compartmental models are widely adopted to describe and predict the spreading of infectious diseases. The unknown parameters of such models need to be estimated from the data. Furthermore, when some of the model variables are not…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-01-18 Luca Gallo , Mattia Frasca , Vito Latora , Giovanni Russo

The advent of the COVID-19 pandemic has instigated unprecedented changes in many countries around the globe, putting a significant burden on the health sectors, affecting the macro economic conditions, and altering social interactions…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-23 Dmitry Gordeev , Philipp Singer , Marios Michailidis , Mathias Müller , SriSatish Ambati
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