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We present general principles for the design and analysis of unbiased Monte Carlo estimators in a wide range of settings. Our estimators posses finite work-normalized variance under mild regularity conditions. We apply our estimators to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-23 Jose H. Blanchet , Peter W. Glynn , Yanan Pei

Unbiased estimators are introduced for averaged Bregman divergences which generalize Stein's Unbiased (Predictive) Risk Estimator, and the minimization of these estimators is proposed as a regularization parameter selection method for…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-11-22 Elias S. Helou , Sandra A. Santos , Lucas E. A. Simões

Before new clinical measurement methods are implemented in clinical practice, it must be confirmed whether their results are equivalent to those of existing methods. The agreement of the trend between these methods is evaluated using the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-01 Mayu Hiraishi , Kensuke Tanioka , Toshio Shimokawa

The effect of measurement errors in discriminant analysis is investigated. Given observations $Z=X+\epsilon$, where $\epsilon$ denotes a random noise, the goal is to predict the density of $X$ among two possible candidates $f$ and $g$. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-13 Sébastien Loustau , Clément Marteau

It is a common phenomenon that for high-dimensional and nonparametric statistical models, rate-optimal estimators balance squared bias and variance. Although this balancing is widely observed, little is known whether methods exist that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-21 Alexis Derumigny , Johannes Schmidt-Hieber

Shrinkage estimation usually reduces variance at the cost of bias. But when we care only about some parameters of a model, I show that we can reduce variance without incurring bias if we have additional information about the distribution of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-01 Jann Spiess

We study the problem of variance estimation in general graph-structured problems. First, we develop a linear time estimator for the homoscedastic case that can consistently estimate the variance in general graphs. We show that our estimator…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-20 Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla

We propose a new \textit{quadratic programming-based} method of approximating a nonstandard density using a multivariate Gaussian density. Such nonstandard densities usually arise while developing posterior samplers for unobserved…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-02-14 Abhishek K. Umrawal , Joshua C. C. Chan

Conformal risk control (CRC) provides distribution-free guarantees for controlling the expected loss at a user-specified level. Existing theory typically assumes that the loss decreases monotonically with a tuning parameter that governs the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-21 Tareq Aldirawi , Yun Li , Wenge Guo

Pairwise comparison matrices are increasingly used in settings where some pairs are missing. However, there exist few inconsistency indices for similar incomplete data sets and no reasonable measure has an associated threshold. This paper…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-03 Kolos Csaba Ágoston , László Csató

While Robust Model Predictive Control considers the worst-case system uncertainty, Stochastic Model Predictive Control, using chance constraints, provides less conservative solutions by allowing a certain constraint violation probability…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-06-17 Tim Brüdigam , Victor Gaßmann , Dirk Wollherr , Marion Leibold

Some classical uncertainty quantification problems require the estimation of multiple expectations. Estimating all of them accurately is crucial and can have a major impact on the analysis to perform, and standard existing Monte Carlo…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-02 Julien Demange-Chryst , François Bachoc , Jérôme Morio

We consider the estimation of quadratic functionals in a Gaussian sequence model where the eigenvalues are supposed to be unknown and accessible through noisy observations only. Imposing smoothness assumptions both on the signal and the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-16 Martin Kroll

Phase I distribution-free runs- and patterns-type control charts are proposed for monitoring the unknown target value (or location parameter) for both continuous and discrete individual observations. Our approach maintains the nominal…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-18 Tung-Lung Wu

In Statistical Process Control, control charts are often used to detect undesirable behavior of sequentially observed quality characteristics. Designing a control chart with desirably low False Alarm Rate (FAR) and detection delay ($ARL_1$)…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-07 Takayuki Iguchi , Andrés F. Barrientos , Eric Chicken , Debajyoti Sinha

We present a new approach to parametric robust controller design, where we compute controllers of arbitrary order and structure which minimize the worst-case $H_\infty$ norm over a pre-specified set of uncertain parameters. At the core of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-14 P. Apkarian , M. N. Dao , D. Noll

Approximate inference in complex probabilistic models such as deep Gaussian processes requires the optimisation of doubly stochastic objective functions. These objectives incorporate randomness both from mini-batch subsampling of the data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-26 Ayman Boustati , Sattar Vakili , James Hensman , ST John

High-gain nonlinear observers occur in the nonlinear automatic control theory and are in standard usage in chemical engineering processes. We apply such a type of analysis in the context of a very simple one-gene regulation circuit. In…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2007-07-16 L. A. Torres , V. Ibarra-Junquera , P. Escalante-Minakata , H. C. Rosu

The practice of uncertainty quantification (UQ) validation, notably in machine learning for the physico-chemical sciences, rests on several graphical methods (scattering plots, calibration curves, reliability diagrams and confidence curves)…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2023-03-31 Pascal Pernot

This paper consider an MMLE (Modified Maximum Likelihood Estimation) based scheme to estimate software reliability using exponential distribution. The MMLE is one of the generalized frameworks of software reliability models of Non…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2011-11-09 R. Satya Prasad , Bandla Sreenivasa Rao , R. R. L. Kantam
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