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In recent years, studying and predicting alternative mobility (e.g., sharing services) patterns in urban environments has become increasingly important as accurate and timely information on current and future vehicle flows can successfully…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-19 Stefano Fiorini , Michele Ciavotta , Andrea Maurino

Human mobility clustering is an important problem for understanding human mobility behaviors (e.g., work and school commutes). Existing methods typically contain two steps: choosing or learning a mobility representation and applying a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-23 Haoji Hu , Haowen Lin , Yao-Yi Chiang

Rapid urbanization places increasing stress on already burdened transportation systems, resulting in delays and poor levels of service. Billions of spatiotemporal call detail records (CDRs) collected from mobile devices create new…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-03-05 Jameson L. Toole , Serdar Colak , Fahad Alhasoun , Alexandre Evsukoff , Marta C. Gonzalez

This paper presents a new approach to behavioral-social dynamics of human crowds. First order models are derived based on mass conservation at the macroscopic scale, while methods of the kinetic theory are used to model the decisional…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-01-14 Nicola Bellomo , Stefano Berrone , Livio Gibelli , Alexandre Pieri

Accurate forecasting of bus ridership (passengers numbers) is crucial for efficient management and optimization of public transport systems. Traditional forecasting models often fail to capture the unique and localized dynamics of different…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-04 Daniel Azenkot , Michael Fire , Eran Ben Elia

With the progress of the urbanisation process, the urban transportation system is extremely critical to the development of cities and the quality of life of the citizens. Among them, it is one of the most important tasks to judge traffic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-17 Bodong Zhou , Jiahui Liu , Songyi Cui , Yaping Zhao

This study proposes a hybrid model based on Transformers, named MSCMHMST, aimed at addressing key challenges in traffic flow prediction. Traditional single-method approaches show limitations in traffic prediction tasks, whereas hybrid…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-19 Weiyang Geng , Yiming Pan , Zhecong Xing , Dongyu Liu , Rui Liu , Yuan Zhu

Forecasting the flow of crowds is of great importance to traffic management and public safety, and very challenging as it is affected by many complex factors, including spatial dependencies (nearby and distant), temporal dependencies…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-01-11 Junbo Zhang , Yu Zheng , Dekang Qi , Ruiyuan Li , Xiuwen Yi , Tianrui Li

Predicting multiple plausible future trajectories of the nearby vehicles is crucial for the safety of autonomous driving. Recent motion prediction approaches attempt to achieve such multimodal motion prediction by implicitly regularizing…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-03-25 Yicheng Liu , Jinghuai Zhang , Liangji Fang , Qinhong Jiang , Bolei Zhou

Short-term forecasting of passenger flow is critical for transit management and crowd regulation. Spatial dependencies, temporal dependencies, inter-station correlations driven by other latent factors, and exogenous factors bring challenges…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-23 Yuxin He , Lishuai Li , Xinting Zhu , Kwok Leung Tsui

The emergence of congestion is a critical phenomenon in transport systems. Transport is organized along pathways abstracted by links, which connect different nodes as regions to form the network. The modeling of traffic has so far mainly…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-03-23 Zhidong He

As a decisive part in the success of Mobility-as-a-Service (MaaS), spatio-temporal predictive modeling for crowd movements is a challenging task particularly considering scenarios where societal events drive mobility behavior deviated from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-17 Zhaonan Wang , Renhe Jiang , Hao Xue , Flora D. Salim , Xuan Song , Ryosuke Shibasaki

Human mobility has a significant impact on several layers of society, from infrastructural planning and economics to the spread of diseases and crime. Representing the system as a complex network, in which nodes are assigned to regions…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-08-14 Gabriel Spadon , Andre C. P. L. F. de Carvalho , Jose F. Rodrigues-Jr , Luiz G. A. Alves

A multi-modal transport system is acknowledged to have robust failure tolerance and can effectively relieve urban congestion issues. However, estimating the impact of disruptions across multi-transport modes is a challenging problem due to…

If a robot can predict crowds in parts of its environment that are inaccessible to its sensors, then it can plan to avoid them. This paper proposes a fast, online algorithm that learns average crowd densities in different areas. It also…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-10-17 Anoop Aroor , Susan L. Epstein

Traffic forecasting is a fundamental task in transportation research, however the scope of current research has mainly focused on a single data modality of loop detectors. Recently, the advances in Artificial Intelligence and drone…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-29 Weijiang Xiong , Robert Fonod , Alexandre Alahi , Nikolas Geroliminis

Predicting the next visited location of an individual is a key problem in human mobility analysis, as it is required for the personalization and optimization of sustainable transport options. Here, we propose a transformer decoder-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-31 Ye Hong , Henry Martin , Martin Raubal

Predicting how distributions over discrete variables vary over time is a common task in time series forecasting. But whereas most approaches focus on merely predicting the distribution at subsequent time steps, a crucial piece of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-15 Mukul Bhutani , J. Zico Kolter

Safe and computationally efficient local planning for mobile robots in dense, unstructured human crowds remains a fundamental challenge. Moreover, ensuring that robot trajectories are similar to how a human moves will increase the…

Forecasting pedestrians' future motions is essential for autonomous driving systems to safely navigate in urban areas. However, existing prediction algorithms often overly rely on past observed trajectories and tend to fail around abrupt…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-03-07 Dongxu Guo , Taylor Mordan , Alexandre Alahi