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The ratio of two densities provides a direct characterization of their differences. We consider the two-sample comparison problem by estimating this ratio given i.i.d. observations from two distributions. To this end, we propose additive…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-23 Naoki Awaya , Yuliang Xu , Li Ma

Mixture autoregressive (MAR) models provide a flexible way to model time series with predictive distributions which depend on the recent history of the process and are able to accommodate asymmetry and multimodality. Bayesian inference for…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-22 Davide Ravagli , Georgi N. Boshnakov

We introduce a Bayesian approach for analyzing high-dimensional multinomial data that are referenced over space and time. In particular, the proportions associated with multinomial data are assumed to have a logit link to a latent…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-11 Jonathan R. Bradley , Christopher K. Wikle , Scott H. Holan

Ranking lists are often provided at regular time intervals in a range of applications, including economics, sports, marketing, and politics. Most popular methods for rank-order data postulate a linear specification for the latent scores,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-09 Matteo Iacopini , Eoghan O'Neill , Luca Rossini

Mendelian Randomization (MR) is a popular method in epidemiology and genetics that uses genetic variation as instrumental variables for causal inference. Existing MR methods usually assume most genetic variants are valid instrumental…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-15 Daniel Iong , Qingyuan Zhao , Yang Chen

As the technology for building knowledge based systems has matured, important lessons have been learned about the relationship between the architecture of a system and the nature of the problems it is intended to solve. We are implementing…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-08 Lashon B. Booker , Naveen Hota , Connie Loggia Ramsey

The development of driverless vehicles has spurred the need to predict human driving behavior to facilitate interaction between driverless and human-driven vehicles. Predicting human driving movements can be challenging, and poor prediction…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-16 Yaoyuan Vincent Tan , Carol A. C. Flannagan , Michael R. Elliott

In this work, we address the problem of long-distance navigation for battery electric vehicles (BEVs), where one or more charging sessions are required to reach the intended destination. We consider the availability and performance of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-19 Niklas Åkerblom , Morteza Haghir Chehreghani

Let $\pi$ denote the intractable posterior density that results when the likelihood from a multivariate linear regression model with errors from a scale mixture of normals is combined with the standard non-informative prior. There is a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-12-08 Qian Qin , James P. Hobert

Statistical analysis of microbiome data is challenging. Bayesian multinomial logistic-normal (MLN) models have gained popularity due to their ability to account for the count compositional nature of these data, but existing approaches are…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-27 Tinghua Chen , Michelle Pistner Nixon , Justin D. Silverman

Bayesian Causal Forests (BCF) is a causal inference machine learning model based on a highly flexible non-parametric regression and classification tool called Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART). Motivated by data from the Trends in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-10 Nathan McJames , Andrew Parnell , Yong Chen Goh , Ann O'Shea

We propose a new method for the simultaneous selection and estimation of multivariate sparse additive models with correlated errors. Our method called Covariance Assisted Multivariate Penalized Additive Regression (CoMPAdRe) simultaneously…

Variable selection remains a fundamental challenge in statistics, especially in nonparametric settings where model complexity can obscure interpretability. Bayesian tree ensembles, particularly the popular Bayesian additive regression trees…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-10 Shengbin Ye , Meng Li

Contextual multi-armed bandit (MAB) algorithms have been shown promising for maximizing cumulative rewards in sequential decision tasks such as news article recommendation systems, web page ad placement algorithms, and mobile health.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-01 Gi-Soo Kim , Myunghee Cho Paik

Missing data is a common problem in medical research, and is commonly addressed using multiple imputation. Although traditional imputation methods allow for valid statistical inference when data are missing at random (MAR), their…

Multinomial processing tree (MPT) models are tools for disentangling the contributions of latent cognitive processes in a given experimental paradigm. The present note analyzes MPT models subject to order constraints on subsets of its…

Applications · Statistics 2014-11-11 Karl Christoph Klauer , Henrik Singmann , David Kellen

Several non-linear functions and machine learning methods have been developed for flexible specification of the systematic utility in discrete choice models. However, they lack interpretability, do not ensure monotonicity conditions, and…

Applications · Statistics 2021-12-07 Subodh Dubey , Oded Cats , Serge Hoogendoorn , Prateek Bansal

Multi-Mobile Network Operator (MNO) networking is a promising method to exploit the joint force of multiple available cellular data connections within vehicular networks. By applying anticipatory communication principles, data transmissions…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2019-11-22 Benjamin Sliwa , Christian Wietfeld

Multivariate data that combine binary, categorical, count and continuous outcomes are common in the social and health sciences. We propose a semiparametric Bayesian latent variable model for multivariate data of arbitrary type that does not…

Applications · Statistics 2014-01-14 Jonathan Gruhl , Elena A. Erosheva , Paul K. Crane

Estimation of individualized treatment effects (ITE), also known as conditional average treatment effects (CATE), is an active area of methodology development. However, much less attention has been paid to the quantification of uncertainty…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-08 Daijiro Kabata , Nicholas C. Henderson , Ravi Varadhan