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Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) models represent sub-grid processes using parameterizations, which are often complex and a major source of uncertainty in weather forecasting. In this work, we devise a simple machine learning (ML)…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-03-26 Pablo Rozas Larraondo , Luigi J. Renzullo , Inaki Inza , Jose A. Lozano

Accurate and timely estimation of precipitation is critical for issuing hazard warnings (e.g., for flash floods or landslides). Current remotely sensed precipitation products have a few hours of latency, associated with the acquisition and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-20 Mohammad Reza Ehsani , Ariyan Zarei , Hoshin V. Gupta , Kobus Barnard , Ali Behrangi

Due to limited computational resources, medium-range temperature forecasts typically rely on low-resolution numerical weather prediction (NWP) models, which are prone to systematic and random errors. We propose a method that integrates a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-09 Takuya Inoue , Takuya Kawabata

The goal of this study was to improve the post-processing of precipitation forecasts using convolutional neural networks (CNNs). Instead of post-processing forecasts on a per-pixel basis, as is usually done when employing machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-18 Bob de Ruiter

We propose a super-resolution (SR) simulation system that consists of a physics-based meteorological simulation and an SR method based on a deep convolutional neural network (CNN). The CNN is trained using pairs of high-resolution (HR) and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-12-10 Ryo Onishi , Daisuke Sugiyama , Keigo Matsuda

Forecasting global precipitation patterns and, in particular, extreme precipitation events is of critical importance to preparing for and adapting to climate change. Making accurate high-resolution precipitation forecasts using traditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-25 James Duncan , Shashank Subramanian , Peter Harrington

Modeling the risk of extreme weather events in a changing climate is essential for developing effective adaptation and mitigation strategies. Although the available low-resolution climate models capture different scenarios, accurate risk…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-12-06 Anamitra Saha , Sai Ravela

Precipitation nowcasting is of great importance for weather forecast users, for activities ranging from outdoor activities and sports competitions to airport traffic management. In contrast to long-term precipitation forecasts which are…

Deep super-resolution networks for precipitation downscaling achieve strong bulk skill yet systematically under-predict the heavy-tail events that drive flood risk. We demonstrate that the primary obstacle is the loss function, not the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Hamed Najafi , Gareth Lagerwall , Jayantha Obeysekera , Jason Liu

To this day, accurately simulating local-scale precipitation and reliably reproducing its distribution remains a challenging task. The limited horizontal resolution of Global Climate Models is among the primary factors undermining their…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-03-18 Marcello Iotti , Paolo Davini , Jost von Hardenberg , Giuseppe Zappa

We use machine learning to perform super-resolution analysis of grossly under-resolved turbulent flow field data to reconstruct the high-resolution flow field. Two machine-learning models are developed; namely the convolutional neural…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2019-05-08 Kai Fukami , Koji Fukagata , Kunihiko Taira

Learning the fine-scale details of a coastal ocean simulation from a coarse representation is a challenging task. For real-world applications, high-resolution simulations are necessary to advance understanding of many coastal processes,…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-09 Zhi-Song Liu , Markus Büttner , Matthew Scarborough , Eirik Valseth , Vadym Aizinger , Bernhard Kainz , Andreas Rupp

Short-term rainfall forecasting, also known as precipitation nowcasting has become a potentially fundamental technology impacting significant real-world applications ranging from flight safety, rainstorm alerts to farm irrigation timings.…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-10-25 Maitreya Patel , Anery Patel , Dr. Ranendu Ghosh

Accurately forecasting extreme rainfall is notoriously difficult, but is also ever more crucial for society as climate change increases the frequency of such extremes. Global numerical weather prediction models often fail to capture…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-24 Ilan Price , Stephan Rasp

Landslides inflict substantial societal and economic damage, underscoring their global significance as recurrent and destructive natural disasters. Recent landslides in northern parts of India and Nepal have caused significant disruption,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-04-08 Omkar Oak , Rukmini Nazre , Soham Naigaonkar , Suraj Sawant , Himadri Vaidya

While deep-learning downscaling algorithms can generate fine-scale climate projections cost-effectively, it is still unclear how well they will extrapolate to unobserved climates. We assess the extrapolation capabilities of a deterministic…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-12-09 Neelesh Rampal , Peter B. Gibson , Steven Sherwood , Gab Abramowitz

Accurate precipitation estimates at individual locations are crucial for weather forecasting and spatial analysis. This study presents a paradigm shift by leveraging Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) to surpass traditional methods like Kriging…

This study proposes two straightforward yet effective approaches to reduce the required computational time of the training process for time-series modeling through a recurrent neural network (RNN) using multi-time-scale time-series data as…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-11-11 Kei Ishida , Masato Kiyama , Ali Ercan , Motoki Amagasaki , Tongbi Tu

Detecting extreme events in large datasets is a major challenge in climate science research. Current algorithms for extreme event detection are build upon human expertise in defining events based on subjective thresholds of relevant…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-05-05 Yunjie Liu , Evan Racah , Prabhat , Joaquin Correa , Amir Khosrowshahi , David Lavers , Kenneth Kunkel , Michael Wehner , William Collins

Urban downscaling is a link to transfer the knowledge from coarser climate information to city scale assessments. These high-resolution assessments need multiyear climatology of past data and future projections, which are complex and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-09-16 Manmeet Singh , Nachiketa Acharya , Sajad Jamshidi , Junfeng Jiao , Zong-Liang Yang , Marc Coudert , Zach Baumer , Dev Niyogi