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The COVID-19 pandemic has emphasized the need for a robust understanding of epidemic models. Current models of epidemics are classified as either mechanistic or non-mechanistic: mechanistic models make explicit assumptions on the dynamics…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-14 Arnab Sarker , Ali Jadbabaie , Devavrat Shah

Because of the rapid spread of COVID-19 to almost every part of the globe, huge volumes of data and case studies have been made available, providing researchers with a unique opportunity to find trends and make discoveries like never…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-20 Sarwan Ali , Yijing Zhou , Murray Patterson

This document analyzes the role of data-driven methodologies in Covid-19 pandemic. We provide a SWOT analysis and a roadmap that goes from the access to data sources to the final decision-making step. We aim to review the available…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-11 Teodoro Alamo , D. G. Reina , Pablo Millán

The Covid-19 outbreak, beyond its tragic effects, has changed to an unprecedented extent almost every aspect of human activity throughout the world. At the same time, the pandemic has stimulated enormous amount of research by scientists…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2020-04-22 Konstantinos Georgiou , Nikolaos Mittas , Lefteris Angelis , Alexander Chatzigeorgiou

Recent pandemics triggered the development of a number of mathematical models and computational tools apt at curbing the socio-economic impact of these and future pandemics. The need to acquire solid estimates from the data led to the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-07-31 Bruno Buonomo , Alessandra D'Alise , Rossella Della Marca , Francesco Sannino

As machine learning models are increasingly employed to assist human decision-makers, it becomes critical to communicate the uncertainty associated with these model predictions. However, the majority of work on uncertainty has focused on…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-07-29 Daniel D'souza , Zach Nussbaum , Chirag Agarwal , Sara Hooker

Seasonal influenza is a sometimes surprisingly impactful disease, causing thousands of deaths per year along with much additional morbidity. Timely knowledge of the outbreak state is valuable for managing an effective response. The current…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-01 Reid Priedhorsky , Ashlynn R. Daughton , Martha Barnard , Fiona O'Connell , Dave Osthus

We present a machine learning-based methodology capable of providing real-time ("nowcast") and forecast estimates of influenza activity in the US by leveraging data from multiple data sources including: Google searches, Twitter microblogs,…

Applications · Statistics 2016-02-17 Mauricio Santillana , Andre T. Nguyen , Mark Dredze , Michael J. Paul , John S. Brownstein

How do we most effectively treat a disease or condition? Ideally, we could consult a database of evidence gleaned from clinical trials to answer such questions. Unfortunately, no such database exists; clinical trial results are instead…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-05-15 Jay DeYoung , Eric Lehman , Ben Nye , Iain J. Marshall , Byron C. Wallace

We propose information-directed sampling -- a new approach to online optimization problems in which a decision-maker must balance between exploration and exploitation while learning from partial feedback. Each action is sampled in a manner…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-07-10 Daniel Russo , Benjamin Van Roy

The evolution of social media platforms have empowered everyone to access information easily. Social media users can easily share information with the rest of the world. This may sometimes encourage spread of fake news, which can result in…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-02-03 Tathagata Raha , Vijayasaradhi Indurthi , Aayush Upadhyaya , Jeevesh Kataria , Pramud Bommakanti , Vikram Keswani , Vasudeva Varma

We present a foundation model-derived method to identify highly informative tokens and events in electronic health records. Our approach considers incoming data in the entire context of a patient's hospitalization and so can flag anomalous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-31 Michael C. Burkhart , Bashar Ramadan , Luke Solo , William F. Parker , Brett K. Beaulieu-Jones

The rise of social media has ignited an unprecedented circulation of false information in our society. It is even more evident in times of crises, such as the COVID-19 pandemic. Fact-checking efforts have expanded greatly and have been…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-12-22 Wilson Ceron , Mathias-Felipe de-Lima-Santos , Marcos G. Quiles

Recent advances in artificial intelligence (AI) - particularly generative AI - present new opportunities to accelerate, or even automate, epidemiological research. Unlike disciplines based on physical experimentation, a sizable fraction of…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-07-22 David Bann , Ed Lowther , Liam Wright , Yevgeniya Kovalchuk

In many application domains, time series are monitored to detect extreme events like technical faults, natural disasters, or disease outbreaks. Unfortunately, it is often non-trivial to select both a time series that is informative about…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-01 Erik Scharwächter , Emmanuel Müller

The COVID-19 pandemic has dramatically changed how healthcare is delivered to patients, how patients interact with healthcare providers, and how healthcare information is disseminated to both healthcare providers and patients. Analytical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-22 Michele Bennett , Jaya Balusu , Karin Hayes , Ewa J. Kleczyk

Tracking Twitter for public health has shown great potential. However, most recent work has been focused on correlating Twitter messages to influenza rates, a disease that exhibits a marked seasonal pattern. In the presence of sudden…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2012-03-08 Ernesto Diaz-Aviles , Avaré Stewart , Edward Velasco , Kerstin Denecke , Wolfgang Nejdl

Infodemics are a threat to public health, arising from multiple interacting phenomena occurring both online and offline. The continuous feedback loops between the digital information ecosystem and offline contingencies make infodemics…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-02-03 Edoardo Loru , Marco Delmastro , Francesco Gesualdo , Matteo Cinelli

Epidemic models describe the evolution of a communicable disease over time. These models are often modified to include the effects of interventions (control measures) such as vaccination, social distancing, school closings etc. Many such…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-27 Heejong Bong , Valérie Ventura , Larry Wasserman

The recent global outbreak of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) has spread to all corners of the globe. The international travel ban, panic buying, and the need for self-quarantine are among the many other social challenges brought about…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-12-20 Ankita Agarwal , Preetham Salehundam , Swati Padhee , William L. Romine , Tanvi Banerjee