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Justifying draconian measures during the Covid-19 pandemic was difficult not only because of the restriction of individual rights, but also because of its economic impact. The objective of this work is to present a machine learning approach…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-30 Santiago Cortes , Yullys M. Quintero

A novel unsupervised learning method is proposed in this paper for biclustering large-dimensional matrix-valued time series based on an entirely new latent two-way factor structure. Each block cluster is characterized by its own row and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-11 Yong He , Xiaoyang Ma , Xingheng Wang , Yalin Wang

Financial time series forecasting faces a fundamental challenge: predicting optimal asset allocations requires understanding regime-dependent correlation structures that transform during crisis periods. Existing graph-based spatio-temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-27 Zan Li , Rui Fan

Regional disaster resilience quantifies the changing nature of physical risks to inform policy instruments ranging from local immediate recovery to international sustainable development. While many existing state-of-practice methods have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-19 Joshua Dimasaka , Christian Geiß , Emily So

The rapid evolution of the transportation cybersecurity ecosystem, encompassing cybersecurity, automotive, and transportation and logistics sectors, will lead to the formation of distinct spatial clusters and visitor flow patterns across…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-05-15 Yuhao Wang , Kailai Wang , Songhua Hu , Yunpeng , Zhang , Gino Lim , Pengyu Zhu

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) global pandemic poses the threat of overwhelming healthcare systems with unprecedented demands for intensive care resources. Managing these demands cannot be effectively conducted without a nationwide…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-29 Zhaozhi Qian , Ahmed M. Alaa , Mihaela van der Schaar

Since the outbreak of COVID-19, it has rapidly evolved into a sudden and major public health emergency globally. With the variants of COVID-19, the difficulty of pandemic control continues to increase, which has brought significant costs to…

Applications · Statistics 2022-08-26 Yufei Wang , Mingzhuang Hua , Xuewu Chen , Wendong Chen , Long Cheng

Large-scale longitudinal molecular profiling is now firmly established in biomedical research, prompted by the need to uncover coordinated biomarker trajectories reflecting the dynamics of underlying biological mechanisms and characterise…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-24 Salima Jaoua , Daniel Temko , Hélène Ruffieux

Spatial crowdsourcing (SC) engages large worker pools for location-based tasks, attracting growing research interest. However, prior SC task allocation approaches exhibit limitations in computational efficiency, balanced matching, and…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2023-10-20 Kun Li , Shengling Wang , Hongwei Shi , Xiuzhen Cheng , Minghui Xu

Sustaining regular and infectious care during an infectious outbreak requires adequate management support for capacity allocation for regular and infectious patients. During the COVID-19 pandemic, hospitals faced severe challenges,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-10-17 Stef Baas , Sander Dijkstra , Richard J. Boucherie , Anne Zander

The clustering of bounded data presents unique challenges in statistical analysis due to the constraints imposed on the data values. This paper introduces a novel method for model-based clustering specifically designed for bounded data.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-16 Luca Scrucca

Modeling and simulations of pandemic dynamics play an essential role in understanding and addressing the spreading of highly infectious diseases such as COVID-19. In this work, we propose a novel deep learning architecture named…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-16 Viet Bach Nguyen , Truong Son Hy , Long Tran-Thanh , Nhung Nghiem

A job usually involves the application of several complementary or synergistic skills to perform its required tasks. Such relationships are implicitly recognised by employers in the skills they demand when recruiting new employees. Here we…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-06-11 Zhaolu Liu , Jonathan M. Clarke , Bertha Rohenkohl , Mauricio Barahona

Backtest is a way of financial risk evaluation which helps to analyze how our trading algorithm would work in markets with past time frame. The high volatility situation has always been a critical situation which creates challenges for…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-20 S. M. Masrur Ahmed

We propose a novel model-based clustering approach for samples of time series. We assume as a unique commonality that two observations belong to the same group if structural changes in their behaviours happen at the same time. We resort to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-15 Riccardo Corradin , Luca Danese , Wasiur R. KhudaBukhsh , Andrea Ongaro

Policy targets are being set increasingly for social and economic variables in the UK. This approach requires that reasonably successful ex ante forecasts can be made. We propose a general methodology for assessing the extent to which this…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Paul Ormerod , Laurence Smith

A multiple objective space-time forecasting approach is presented involving cyclical curve log-regression, and multivariate time series spatial residual correlation analysis. Specifically, the mean quadratic loss function is minimized in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-30 A. Torres-Signes , M. P. Frías , M. D. Ruiz-Medina

This paper introduces a Bayesian vector autoregression (BVAR) with stochastic volatility-in-mean and time-varying skewness. Unlike previous approaches, the proposed model allows both volatility and skewness to directly affect macroeconomic…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-10 Leonardo N. Ferreira , Haroon Mumtaz , Ana Skoblar

I develop a nonparametric framework for identifying spatial boundaries of treatment effects without imposing parametric functional form restrictions. The method employs local linear regression with data-driven bandwidth selection to…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-28 Tatsuru Kikuchi

This paper tackles the problem of human action recognition, defined as classifying which action is displayed in a trimmed sequence, from skeletal data. Albeit state-of-the-art approaches designed for this application are all supervised, in…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-07-22 Giancarlo Paoletti , Jacopo Cavazza , Cigdem Beyan , Alessio Del Bue