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The rapid spread of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) has severely impacted almost all countries around the world. It not only has caused a tremendous burden on health-care providers to bear, but it has also brought severe impacts on the…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-08-18 Shayan Fazeli , Babak Moatamed , Majid Sarrafzadeh

Causal machine learning (ML) recovers graphical structures that inform us about potential cause-and-effect relationships. Most progress has focused on cross-sectional data with no explicit time order, whereas recovering causal structures…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Bruno Petrungaro , Anthony C. Constantinou

We analyse the economics and epidemiology of different scenarios for a phased restart of the UK economy. Our economic model is designed to address the unique features of the COVID-19 pandemic. Social distancing measures affect both supply…

General Economics · Economics 2020-05-22 Anton Pichler , Marco Pangallo , R. Maria del Rio-Chanona , François Lafond , J. Doyne Farmer

A common challenge in data analysis is uncovering relationships between predictors and responses in problems involving large numbers of both. When the number of predictors and responses is limited, visual approaches are particularly…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-29 Gabriel McCoy , German Valencia , Ursula Laa

Today, huge amounts of data are being collected with spatial and temporal components from sources such as meteorological, satellite imagery etc. Efficient visualisation as well as discovery of useful knowledge from these datasets is…

Databases · Computer Science 2017-03-31 Nhien-An Le-Khac , Martin Bue , Michael Whelan , Tahar Kechadi

Diverse non-pharmacological interventions (NPIs), serving as the primary approach for COVID-19 control prior to pharmaceutical interventions, showed heterogeneous spatiotemporal effects on pandemic management. Investigating the dynamic…

Applications · Statistics 2023-12-25 Binbin Lin , Yimin Dai , Lei Zou , Ning Ning

In time-series analyses, particularly for finance, generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH) models are widely applied statistical tools for modelling volatility clusters (i.e., periods of increased or decreased…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-24 Philipp Otto , Wolfgang Schmid

Developing technology and changing lifestyles have made online grocery delivery applications an indispensable part of urban life. Since the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic, the demand for such applications has dramatically increased,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-19 Aysun Bozanta , Sean Berry , Mucahit Cevik , Beste Bulut , Deniz Yigit , Fahrettin F. Gonen , Ayşe Başar

The COVID-19 pandemic has demonstrated the increasing need of policymakers for timely estimates of macroeconomic variables. A prior UNCTAD research paper examined the suitability of long short-term memory artificial neural networks (LSTM)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-23 Daniel Hopp

We introduce a heterogeneous spatiotemporal GARCH model for geostatistical data or processes on networks, e.g., for modelling and predicting financial return volatility across firms in a latent spatial framework. The model combines…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-29 Atika Aouri , Philipp Otto

Machine learning models are currently being deployed in a variety of real-world applications where model predictions are used to make decisions about healthcare, bank loans, and numerous other critical tasks. As the deployment of artificial…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2019-10-07 Yuxin Ma , Tiankai Xie , Jundong Li , Ross Maciejewski

Mathematical models in ecology and epidemiology must be consistent with observed data in order to generate reliable knowledge and evidence-based policy. Metapopulation systems, which consist of a network of connected sub-populations, pose…

Applications · Statistics 2024-02-07 Jifan Li , Edward L. Ionides , Aaron A. King , Mercedes Pascual , Ning Ning

Financial inclusion ensures that individuals have access to financial products and services that meet their needs. As a key contributing factor to economic growth and investment opportunity, financial inclusion increases consumer spending…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-20 Tristan Bester , Benjamin Rosman

In this study, we propose a novel application of spatiotemporal clustering in the environmental sciences, with a particular focus on regionalised time series of greenhouse gases (GHGs) emissions from a range of economic sectors. Utilising a…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-18 Caterina Morelli , Paolo Maranzano , Philipp Otto

The Covid-19 pandemic introduces new challenges and constraints for return to work business planning. We describe a space allocation problem that incorporates social distancing constraints while optimising the number of available safe…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2021-05-12 Michael Barry , Claudio Gambella , Fabio Lorenzi , John Sheehan , Joern Ploennigs

Deep multi-view clustering seeks to utilize the abundant information from multiple views to improve clustering performance. However, most of the existing clustering methods often neglect to fully mine multi-view structural information and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-03-17 Jinrong Cui , Xiaohuang Wu , Haitao Zhang , Chongjie Dong , Jie Wen

This paper describes an approach to simultaneously identify clusters and estimate cluster-specific regression parameters from the given data. Such an approach can be useful in learning the relationship between input and output when the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-02 Udai Nagpal , Krishan Nagpal

Based on evidence gathered from a newly built large macroeconomic data set for the UK, labeled UK-MD and comparable to similar datasets for the US and Canada, it seems the most promising avenue for forecasting during the pandemic is to…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-03-02 Philippe Goulet Coulombe , Massimiliano Marcellino , Dalibor Stevanovic

What is the impact of COVID-19 on South Africa? This paper envisages assisting researchers and decision-makers in battling the COVID-19 pandemic focusing on South Africa. This paper focuses on the spread of the disease by applying heatmap…

In time-series analyses, particularly for finance, generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH) models are widely applied statistical tools for modelling volatility clusters (i.e., periods of increased or decreased…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-20 Philipp Otto , Wolfgang Schmid