Related papers: On the relationship between a Gamma distributed pr…
In this paper, we consider the problem of distributed parameter estimation in sensor networks. Each sensor makes successive observations of an unknown $d$-dimensional parameter, which might be subject to Gaussian random noises. The sensors…
When inferring parameters from a Gaussian-distributed data set by computing a likelihood, a covariance matrix is needed that describes the data errors and their correlations. If the covariance matrix is not known a priori, it may be…
Latent factor models are widely used to discover and adjust for hidden variation in modern applications. However, most methods do not fully account for uncertainty in the latent factors, which can lead to miscalibrated inferences such as…
Accurate comparisons between theoretical models and experimental data are critical for scientific progress. However, inferred physical model parameters can vary significantly with the chosen physics model, highlighting the importance of…
Dynamic factor models are often estimated by point-estimation methods, disregarding parameter uncertainty. We propose a method accounting for parameter uncertainty by means of posterior approximation, using variational inference. Our…
This paper develops methods of distributed Bayesian hypothesis tests for fault detection and diagnosis that are based on belief propagation and optimization in graphical models. The main challenges in developing distributed statistical…
Model inadequacy and measurement uncertainty are two of the most confounding aspects of inference and prediction in quantitative sciences. The process of scientific inference (the inverse problem) and prediction (the forward problem)…
The article considers parameter estimation constructing such as quasi-maximum likelyhood estimation and one step estimation in statistical models generated by solution of stochastic differential equation. It has been developed a software…
Bayesian analyses require that all variable model parameters are given a prior probability distribution. This can pose a challenge for analyses where multiple experiments are combined if these experiments use different parametrisations for…
Recently, combinations of generative and Bayesian machine learning have been introduced in particle physics for both fast detector simulation and inference tasks. These neural networks aim to quantify the uncertainty on the generated…
Hyper-differential sensitivity analysis with respect to model discrepancy was recently developed to enable uncertainty quantification for optimization problems. The approach consists of two primary steps: (i) Bayesian calibration of the…
Let $X$ have a Generalized Poisson distribution with mean $kb$, where $b$ is a known constant in the unit interval and $k$ is a discrete, non-negative parameter. We show that if an uninformative uniform prior for $k$ is assumed, then the…
This paper considers the problem of making statistical inferences about a parameter when a narrow interval centred at a given value of the parameter is considered special, which is interpreted as meaning that there is a substantial degree…
This paper offers a qualitative insight into the convergence of Bayesian parameter inference in a setup which mimics the modeling of the spread of a disease with associated disease measurements. Specifically, we are interested in the…
The paper considers the classical Goodness of Fit test. It suggests to use the Gamma distribution for the approximation of the distribution of the Pearson statistics with unknown parameters estimated from raw data. The parameters of these…
In this paper we review recently developed methods for nonparametric Bayesian inference for one-dimensional diffusion models. We discuss different possible prior distributions, computational issues, and asymptotic results.
We give an overview over the usefulness of the concept of equivariance and invariance in the design of experiments for generalized linear models. In contrast to linear models here pairs of transformations have to be considered which act…
This paper discusses regularized estimators in the multivariate statistical model as tools naturally arising within a Bayesian framework. First, a link is established between Bayesian estimation and inference under parameter rounding…
The main object of this paper is to present some general concepts of Bayesian inference and more specifically the estimation of the hyperparameters in inverse problems. We consider a general linear situation where we are given some data…
The analysis of diffusion processes in real-world propagation scenarios often involves estimating variables that are not directly observed. These hidden variables include parental relationships, the strengths of connections between nodes,…