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Motivated by a model of an area-wide integrated pest management, we develop an interacting particle system evolving in a random environment. It is a generalised contact process in which the birth rate takes two possible values, determined…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-27 Kevin Kuoch

In this paper, we derive a precise estimate for the mean extinction time of the contact process with a fixed infection rate on a star graph with $N$ leaves. Specifically, we determine not only the exponential main factor but also the exact…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-05 Younghun Jo

In this paper, we establish the necessary and sufficient criterion for the contact process on Galton-Watson trees (resp. random graphs) to exhibit the phase of extinction (resp. short survival). We prove that the survival threshold…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-22 Shankar Bhamidi , Danny Nam , Oanh Nguyen , Allan Sly

We investigate extreme value theory for physical systems with a global conservation law which describe renewal processes, mass transport models and long-range interacting spin models. As shown previously, a special feature is that the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-11-04 Marc Höll , Wanli Wang , Eli Barkai

In this paper we are concerned with contact processes with random edge weights on rooted regular trees. We assign i.i.d weights on each edge on the tree and assume that an infected vertex infects its healthy neighbor at rate proportional to…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-03 Xiaofeng Xue

We use point processes theory to describe the asymptotic distribution of all upper order statistics for observations collected at renewal times. As a corollary, we obtain limiting theorems for corresponding extremal processes.

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-08 Bojan Basrak , Drago Špoljarić

In this paper we are concerned with contact process with random recovery rates on open clusters of bond percolation on $\mathbb{Z}^d$. Let $\xi$ be a positive random variable, then we assigned i. i. d. copies of $\xi$ on the vertices as the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-26 Xiaofeng Xue

In the present paper, we characterize the behavior of supercritical branching processes in random environment with linear fractional offspring distributions, conditioned on having small, but positive values at some large generation. As it…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-20 Christian Böinghoff

A proof is provided of a strong law of large numbers for a one-dimensional random walk in a dynamic random environment given by a supercritical contact process in equilibrium. The proof is based on a coupling argument that traces the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-27 Frank den Hollander , Renato dos Santos

We consider a general class of contact processes on $\mathbb{Z}^d$ with potentially long-range interactions. By adapting well established renormalization arguments to the long-range setting we extend by now classical results for…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-20 Stein Andreas Bethuelsen , Frank Namugera

We establish explicit exponential convergence estimates for the renewal theorem, in terms of a uniform component of the inter arrival distribution, of its Laplace transform which is assumed finite on a positive interval, and of the Laplace…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-01 J. -B Bardet , A Christen , J Fontbona

We introduce a method to prove metastability of the contact process on Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi graphs and on configuration model graphs. The method relies on uniformly bounding the total infection rate from below, over all sets with a fixed…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-18 Eric Cator , Henk Don

The long-time dynamics of the critical contact process which is brought suddenly out of an uncorrelated initial state undergoes ageing in close analogy with quenched magnetic systems. In particular, we show through Monte Carlo simulations…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Jose J. Ramasco , Malte Henkel , Maria Augusta Santos , Constantino A. da Silva Santos

We study the local persistence probability during non-stationary time evolutions in disordered contact processes with long-range interactions by a combination of the strong-disorder renormalization group (SDRG) method, a phenomenological…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-08-19 Róbert Juhász

We study the contact process on a class of evolving scale-free networks, where each node updates its connections at independent random times. We give a rigorous mathematical proof that there is a transition between a phase where for all…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-03 Emmanuel Jacob , Peter Mörters

The quadratic contact process (QCP) is a natural extension of the well studied linear contact process where infected (1) individuals infect susceptible (0) neighbors at rate $\lambda$ and infected individuals recover ($1 \longrightarrow 0$)…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-06-28 Chris Varghese , Rick Durrett

For a generalized step reinforced random walk, starting from the origin, the first step is taken according to the first element of an innovation sequence. Then in subsequent epochs, it recalls a past epoch with probability proportional to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-12 Aritra Majumdar , Krishanu Maulik

We analyze the properties of the contact process with long-range interactions by the use of a kinetic ensemble in which the total number of particles is strictly conserved. In this ensemble, both annihilation and creation processes are…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 Carlos E. Fiore , Mário J. de Oliveira

The one-dimensional kinetic contact process with parallel update is introduced and studied by Monte Carlo simulations. This process is proposed to describe the plant population replication and epidemic disease spreading among them. The…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-04-22 P. N. Timonin , G. Y. Chitov

Advanced inference techniques allow one to reconstruct the pattern of interaction from high dimensional data sets. We focus here on the statistical properties of inferred models and argue that inference procedures are likely to yield models…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-10-09 Iacopo Mastromatteo , Matteo Marsili