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The estimation of large covariance matrices has a high dimensional bias. Correcting for this bias can be reformulated via the tool of Free Probability Theory as a free deconvolution. The goal of this work is a computational and statistical…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-10 Reda Chhaibi , Fabrice Gamboa , Slim Kammoun , Mauricio Velasco

In this paper, we study the estimation of partially linear models for spatial data distributed over complex domains. We use bivariate splines over triangulations to represent the nonparametric component on an irregular two-dimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-03 Li Wang , Guannan Wang , Min-Jun Lai , Lei Gao

We propose a fast penalized spline method for bivariate smoothing. Univariate P-spline smoothers (Eilers and Marx, 1996) are applied simultaneously along both coordinates. The new smoother has a sandwich form which suggested the name…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-05-30 Luo Xiao , Yingxing Li , David Ruppert

This work studies the multi-task functional linear regression models where both the covariates and the unknown regression coefficients (called slope functions) are curves. For slope function estimation, we employ penalized splines to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-02 Shiyuan He , Hanxuan Ye , Kejun He

In the current era of vast data and transparent machine learning, it is essential for techniques to operate at a large scale while providing a clear mathematical comprehension of the internal workings of the method. Although there already…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-05 David Rügamer

We propose a multidimensional smoothing spline algorithm in the context of manifold learning. We generalize the bending energy penalty of thin-plate splines to a quadratic form on the Sobolev space of a flat manifold, based on the Frobenius…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-13 Juno Kim

Simple exponential smoothing is widely used in forecasting economic time series. This is because it is quick to compute and it generally delivers accurate forecasts. On the other hand, its multivariate version has received little attention…

Computation · Statistics 2021-03-17 Federico Poloni , Giacomo Sbrana

Kalman filtering and smoothing are the foundational mechanisms for efficient inference in Gauss-Markov models. However, their time and memory complexities scale prohibitively with the size of the state space. This is particularly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-13 Marvin Pförtner , Jonathan Wenger , Jon Cockayne , Philipp Hennig

Markov-switching models are powerful tools that allow capturing complex patterns from time series data driven by latent states. Recent work has highlighted the benefits of estimating components of these models nonparametrically, enhancing…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-19 Jan-Ole Koslik

Penalized spline regression is a popular method for scatterplot smoothing, but there has long been a debate on how to construct confidence intervals for penalized spline fits. Due to the penalty, the fitted smooth curve is a biased estimate…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-06 Ning Dai

High-dimensional variable selection, with many more covariates than observations, is widely documented in standard regression models, but there are still few tools to address it in non-linear mixed-effects models where data are collected…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-08 Marion Naveau , Guillaume Kon Kam King , Renaud Rincent , Laure Sansonnet , Maud Delattre

In spite of the recent surge of interest in quantile regression, joint estimation of linear quantile planes remains a great challenge in statistics and econometrics. We propose a novel parametrization that characterizes any collection of…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-07-14 Yun Yang , Surya Tokdar

The smoothing spline is one of the most popular curve-fitting methods, partly because of empirical evidence supporting its effectiveness and partly because of its elegant mathematical formulation. However, there are two obstacles that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-09-11 Yu Ryan Yue , Daniel Simpson , Finn Lindgren , Håvard Rue

We consider the problem of estimating high-dimensional covariance matrices of $K$-populations or classes in the setting where the sample sizes are comparable to the data dimension. We propose estimating each class covariance matrix as a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-08 Elias Raninen , David E. Tyler , Esa Ollila

In state space models, smoothing refers to the task of estimating a latent stochastic process given noisy measurements related to the process. We propose an unbiased estimator of smoothing expectations. The lack-of-bias property has…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-07 Pierre E. Jacob , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön

Covariance regression offers an effective way to model the large covariance matrix with the auxiliary similarity matrices. In this work, we propose a sparse covariance regression (SCR) approach to handle the potentially high-dimensional…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-17 Yuan Gao , Zhiyuan Zhang , Zhanrui Cai , Xuening Zhu , Tao Zou , Hansheng Wang

The multivariate adaptive regression spline (MARS) is one of the popular estimation methods for nonparametric multivariate regressions. However, as MARS is based on marginal splines, to incorporate interactions of covariates, products of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-06 Yu Liu , Degui Li , Yingcun Xia

Modern technologies are producing a wealth of data with complex structures. For instance, in two-dimensional digital imaging, flow cytometry, and electroencephalography, matrix type covariates frequently arise when measurements are obtained…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-10-22 Hua Zhou , Lexin Li

This is an expos\'e on the use of O'Sullivan penalised splines in contemporary semiparametric regression, including mixed model and Bayesian formulations. O'Sullivan penalised splines are similar to P-splines, but have an advantage of being…

Methodology · Statistics 2007-07-03 M. P. Wand , J. T. Ormerod

We propose a novel method to model nonlinear regression problems by adapting the principle of penalization to Partial Least Squares (PLS). Starting with a generalized additive model, we expand the additive component of each variable in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-08-13 Nicole Kraemer , Anne-Laure Boulesteix , Gerhard Tutz