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We consider statistical inference for a class of dynamic mixed-effect models described by stochastic differential equations whose drift and diffusion coefficients simultaneously depend on fixed- and random-effect parameters. Assuming that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-30 Maud Delattre , Hiroki Masuda

Reduced-order modeling (ROM) commonly refers to the construction, based on a few solutions (referred to as snapshots) of an expensive discretized partial differential equation (PDE), and the subsequent application of low-dimensional…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-05-22 Martin Hess , Alessandro Alla , Annalisa Quaini , Gianluigi Rozza , Max Gunzburger

Rigorous statistical methods, including parameter estimation with accompanying uncertainties, underpin the validity of scientific discovery, especially in the natural sciences. With increasingly complex data models such as deep learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-18 Aurora Grefsrud , Nello Blaser , Trygve Buanes

Ordinary and stochastic differential equations (ODEs and SDEs) are widely used to model continuous-time processes across various scientific fields. While ODEs offer interpretability and simplicity, SDEs incorporate randomness, providing…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-20 Qingchuan Sun , Susanne Ditlevsen

Dynamical systems across the sciences, from electrical circuits to ecological networks, undergo qualitative and often catastrophic changes in behavior, called bifurcations, when their underlying parameters cross a threshold. Existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-22 Noa Moriel , Matthew Ricci , Mor Nitzan

Feedback circuits in biochemical networks which underly cellular signaling pathways are important elements in creating complex behavior. A specific aspect thereof is how stability of equilibrium points depends on model parameters. For…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2007-11-20 Steffen Waldherr , Frank Allgower

The emergence of periodic oscillations is observed in various complex systems in nature and engineering. Thermoacoustic oscillations in systems comprising turbulent reactive flow exemplify such complexity in the engineering context, where…

We study bifurcation behavior in periodic perturbations of two-dimensional symmetric systems exhibiting codimension-two bifurcations with a double eigenvalue when the frequencies of the perturbation terms are small. We transform the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-02-15 Kazuyuki Yagasaki

We study rare events in systems of diffusive fields driven out of equilibrium by the boundaries. We present a numerical technique and use it to calculate the probabilities of rare events in one and two dimensions. Using this technique, we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-09-10 Guy Bunin , Yariv Kafri , Daniel Podolsky

We present a computational framework to investigate steady state distributions and perform stability analysis for random ordinary differential equations driven by parameter uncertainty. Using the nonlinear Rosenzweig McArthur predator prey…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-03-05 Wolfgang Hoegele

Modeling and parameter estimation for neuronal dynamics are often challenging because many parameters can range over orders of magnitude and are difficult to measure experimentally. Moreover, selecting a suitable model complexity requires a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-01-31 J. E. Rubin , B. Krauskopf , H. M. Osinga

Many studies in uncertainty quantification have been carried out under the assumption of an input random field in which a countable number of independent random variables are each uniformly distributed on an interval, with these random…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-03-17 Vesa Kaarnioja , Frances Y. Kuo , Ian H. Sloan

We study the robustness of system estimation to parametric perturbations in system dynamics and initial conditions. We define the problem of sensitivity-based parametric uncertainty quantification in dynamical system estimation. The main…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-09 Ayush Pandey

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are widely used to model dynamical behavior of systems. It is important to perform identifiability analysis prior to estimating unknown parameters in ODEs (a.k.a. inverse problem), because if a system…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-03-11 Xing Qiu , Tao Xu , Babak Soltanalizadeh , Hulin Wu

Uncertain fractional differential equation (UFDE) is a kind of differential equation about uncertain process. As an significant mathematical tool to describe the evolution process of dynamic system, UFDE is better than the ordinary…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-02-27 Chenlei Tian , Jing Cao , Yifu Song , Ting Jin

The first stages of the path instability phenomenon known to affect the buoyancy-driven motion of gas bubbles rising in weakly or moderately viscous liquids are examined thanks to a recently developed numerical tool designed to assess the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-12-21 P. Bonnefis , J. Sierra-Ausin , D. Fabre , J. Magnaudet

There exists a variety of physically interesting situations described by continuous maps that are nondifferentiable on some surface in phase space. Such systems exhibit novel types of bifurcations in which multiple coexisting attractors can…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 Mitrajit Dutta , Helena E. Nusse , Edward Ott , James A. Yorke

The interplay between bifurcations and random switching processes of vector fields is studied. More precisely, we provide a classification of piecewise deterministic Markov processes arising from stochastic switching dynamics near fold,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-01-03 Tobias Hurth , Christian Kuehn

We reexamine the classical linear regression model when the model is subject to two types of uncertainty: (i) some of covariates are either missing or completely inaccessible, and (ii) the variance of the measurement error is undetermined…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-05 Shuzhen Yang , Jianfeng Yao

Oscillatory dynamics are ubiquitous in biological networks. Possible sources of oscillations are well understood in low-dimensional systems, but have not been fully explored in high-dimensional networks. Here we study large networks…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2016-12-21 Célian Bimbard , Erwan Ledoux , Srdjan Ostojic
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