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The problem of maximum-likelihood (ML) estimation of discrete tree-structured distributions is considered. Chow and Liu established that ML-estimation reduces to the construction of a maximum-weight spanning tree using the empirical mutual…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-15 Vincent Y. F. Tan , Animashree Anandkumar , Lang Tong , Alan S. Willsky

Maximum likelihood estimators are used extensively to estimate unknown parameters of stochastic trait evolution models on phylogenetic trees. Although the MLE has been proven to converge to the true value in the independent-sample case, we…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-11-26 Lam Si Tung Ho , Vu Dinh , Frederick A. Matsen , Marc A. Suchard

The simple Galton--Watson process describes populations where individuals live one season and are then replaced by a random number of children. It can also be viewed as a way of generating random trees, each vertex being an individual of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-11-17 Peter Jagers , Serik Sagitov

When randomized ensembles such as bagging or random forests are used for binary classification, the prediction error of the ensemble tends to decrease and stabilize as the number of classifiers increases. However, the precise relationship…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-01 Miles E. Lopes

We consider a population model where individuals behave independently from each other and whose genealogy is described by a chronological tree called splitting tree. The individuals have i.i.d. (non-exponential) lifetime durations and give…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-20 Mathieu Richard

We calculate the probability distribution of repetitions of ancestors in a genealogical tree for simple neutral models of a closed population with sexual reproduction and non-overlapping generations. Each ancestor at generation g in the…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 B. Derrida , S. C. Manrubia , D. H. Zanette

Given $n \in \mathbb{N}$ and $\mu \in \mathbb{R}$, a $\textit{$\mu$-height-biased tree of size $n$}$ is a random plane tree $\mathbf{\mathbf{T}}_n$ with $n$ vertices with law given by $\mathbb{P}(\mathbf{T}=t) \propto e^{-\mu h(t)}$, where…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-22 Louigi Addario-Berry , Benoît Corsini , Neeladri Maitra , Meltem Ünel

We discuss various forms of convergence of the vicinity of a uniformly at random selected vertex in random simply generated trees, as the size tends to infinity. For the standard case of a critical Galton-Watson tree conditioned to be large…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-09 Benedikt Stufler

We consider the time evolution of the supercritical Galton-Watson model of branching particles with extra parameter (mass). In the moment of the division the mass of the particle (which is growing linearly after the birth) is divided in…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-20 Gregory Derfel , Yaqin Feng , Stanislav Molchanov

We consider the probability that a spanning tree chosen uniformly at random from a graph can be partitioned into a fixed number $k$ of trees of equal size by removing $k-1$ edges. In that case, the spanning tree is called {\em splittable}.…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2026-02-25 David Gillman , Jacob Platnick , Dana Randall

We consider Galton-Watson trees with Geom$(p)$ offspring distribution. We let $T_{\infty}(p)$ denote such a tree conditioned on being infinite. We prove that for any $1/2\leq p_1 <p_2 \leq 1$, there exists a coupling between…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-27 Erik I. Broman

We introduce generalizations of Aldous' Brownian Continuous Random Tree as scaling limits for multicritical models of discrete trees. These discrete models involve trees with fine-tuned vertex-dependent weights ensuring a k-th root…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 J. Bouttier , P. Di Francesco , E. Guitter

We prove polynomial upper and lower bounds on the expected size of the maximum agreement subtree of two random binary phylogenetic trees under both the uniform distribution and Yule-Harding distribution. This positively answers a question…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-09-01 Daniel Irving Bernstein , Lam Si Tung Ho , Colby Long , Mike Steel , Katherine St. John , Seth Sullivant

Consider a population evolving as a critical continuous-time Galton-Watson (GW) tree. Conditional on the population surviving until a large time $T$, sample $k$ individuals uniformly at random (without replacement) from amongst those alive…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-07 Simon C. Harris , Samuel G. G. Johnston , Juan Carlos Pardo

A permutation $\boldsymbol w$ gives rise to a graph $G_{\boldsymbol w}$; the vertices of $G_{\boldsymbol w}$ are the letters in the permutation and the edges of $G_{\boldsymbol w}$ are the inversions of $\boldsymbol w$. We find that the…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2016-01-22 Huseyin Acan , Pawel Hitczenko

A branching process in random environment $(Z_n, n \in \N)$ is a generalization of Galton Watson processes where at each generation the reproduction law is picked randomly. In this paper we give several results which belong to the class of…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-15 Vincent Bansaye , Julien Berestycki

We analyze variational inference for highly symmetric graphical models such as those arising from first-order probabilistic models. We first show that for these graphical models, the tree-reweighted variational objective lends itself to a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-06-23 Hung Hai Bui , Tuyen N. Huynh , David Sontag

We study a model of random $\mathcal{R}$-enriched trees that is based on weights on the $\mathcal{R}$-structures and allows for a unified treatment of a large family of random discrete structures. We establish distributional limits…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-12 Benedikt Stufler

From a sample of spectra of 439 white dwarfs (WDs) from the ESO-VLT Supernova-Ia Progenitor surveY (SPY), we measure the maximal changes in radial-velocity (DRVmax) between epochs (generally two epochs, separated by up to 470d), and model…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2017-01-25 Dan Maoz , Na'ama Hallakoun

We study the long-term behavior of weighted multi-type branching processes, focusing on extending classical laws of large numbers and martingale convergence to settings with infinitely many weighted particles, arbitrary type spaces and…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-09 Denis Villemonais , Nicolas Zalduendo