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The problem of detecting change points in the parameters of a linear regression model with errors and covariates exhibiting heteroscedasticity is considered. Asymptotic results for weighted functionals of the cumulative sum (CUSUM)…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-28 Lajos Horvath , Gregory Rice , Yuqian Zhao

Change point analysis is concerned with detecting and locating structure breaks in the underlying model of a sequence of observations ordered by time, space or other variables. A widely adopted approach for change point analysis is to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-10 Xingchi Li , Xianyang Zhang

Change point detection algorithms have numerous applications in fields of scientific and economic importance. We consider the problem of change point detection on compositional multivariate data (each sample is a probability mass function),…

Applications · Statistics 2019-01-16 Prabuchandran K. J. , Nitin Singh , Pankaj Dayama , Vinayaka Pandit

A common approach to detect multiple changepoints is to minimise a measure of data fit plus a penalty that is linear in the number of changepoints. This paper shows that the general finite sample behaviour of such a method can be related to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-15 Chao Zheng , Idris A. Eckley , Paul Fearnhead

Change point detection for time series analysis is a difficult and important problem in applied statistics, for which a variety of approaches have been developed in the past several decades. Here, the Wasserstein metric is employed as a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-03 David Gentile , Joshua Huang , James M. Murphy

We introduce a framework for online changepoint detection and simultaneous model learning which is applicable to highly parametrized models, such as deep neural networks. It is based on detecting changepoints across time by sequentially…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-08 Michalis K. Titsias , Jakub Sygnowski , Yutian Chen

We propose a computationally and statistically efficient procedure for segmenting univariate data under piecewise linearity. The proposed moving sum (MOSUM) methodology detects multiple change points where the underlying signal undergoes…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-25 Joonpyo Kim , Hee-Seok Oh , Haeran Cho

This paper studies the unsupervised change point detection problem in time series of networks using the Separable Temporal Exponential-family Random Graph Model (STERGM). Inherently, dynamic network patterns are complex due to dyadic and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-01 Yik Lun Kei , Hangjian Li , Yanzhen Chen , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla

It is important to identify the change point of a system's health status, which usually signifies an incipient fault under development. The One-Class Support Vector Machine (OC-SVM) is a popular machine learning model for anomaly detection…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-19 Baihong Jin , Yuxin Chen , Dan Li , Kameshwar Poolla , Alberto Sangiovanni-Vincentelli

Vector Auto-Regressive (VAR) models capture lead-lag temporal dynamics of multivariate time series data. They have been widely used in macroeconomics, financial econometrics, neuroscience and functional genomics. In many applications, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-15 Peiliang Bai , Yue Bai , Abolfazl Safikhani , George Michailidis

In many change point problems it is reasonable to assume that compared to a benchmark at a given time point $t_0$ the properties of the observed stochastic process change gradually over time for $t >t_0$. Often, these gradual changes are…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-23 Patrick Bastian , Holger Dette

Statistical change point (CP) detection methods typically rely on likelihood-based inference and ignore contextual information about plausible CP locations beyond the observed sequence. Although informative priors provide a natural way to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-05 Jonathon Jacobs , Shanshan Chen

We review recent developments in detecting and estimating multiple change-points in time series models with exogenous and endogenous regressors, panel data models, and factor models. This review differs from others in multiple ways: (1) it…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-31 Otilia Boldea , Alastair R. Hall

We propose the first Bayesian methods for detecting change points in high-dimensional mean and covariance structures. These methods are constructed using pairwise Bayes factors, leveraging modularization to identify significant changes in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-25 Jaehoon Kim , Kyoungjae Lee , Lizhen Lin

We investigate sequential change point estimation and detection in univariate nonparametric settings, where a stream of independent observations from sub-Gaussian distributions with a common variance factor and piecewise-constant but…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-16 Yi Yu , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , Daren Wang , Alessandro Rinaldo

Many systems of interacting elements can be conceptualized as networks, where network nodes represent the elements and network ties represent interactions between the elements. In systems where the underlying network evolves in time, it is…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-05 Ian Barnett , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

We study multiple change-points detection using multi-samples tests based on U-statistics for absolutely regular observations. Our results extend those of Ngatchou-Wandji et al. (2022) concerned with the study of one single changepoint. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-25 Joseph Ngatchou-Wandji , Echarif Elharfaoui , Michel Harel

In this work, we introduce CPLASS (Continuous Piecewise-Linear Approximation via Stochastic Search), an algorithm for detecting changes in velocity within multidimensional data. The one-dimensional version of this problem is known as the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-15 Linh Do , Dat Do , Keisha J. Cook , Scott A. McKinley

Changepoints are essential for homogenizing categorical time series and analyzing their trends and variations. The original total cloud cover in Canada was recorded hourly in tenths (or eighths), exhibiting inherent seasonality and serial…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-21 Mo Li , QiQi Lu , XiaoLan Wang

Changepoint detection is commonly formulated by minimizing the sum of in-sample losses to quantify the model's overall fit. However, for flexible modeling procedures -- especially those involving high-dimensional parameter spaces or…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-05 Chengde Qian , Guanghui Wang , Zhaojun Wang , Changliang Zou