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We propose new methods for detecting multiple change points in time series, specifically designed for random walk processes, where stationarity and variance changes present challenges. Our approach combines two trend estimation methods: the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-22 Xiyuan Liu

In high-dimensional time series, the component processes are often assembled into a matrix to display their interrelationship. We focus on detecting mean shifts with unknown change point locations in these matrix time series. Series that…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-16 Xinyu Zhang , Kung-Sik Chan

This paper considers the problem of estimating a change point in the covariance matrix in a sequence of high-dimensional vectors, where the dimension is substantially larger than the sample size. A two-stage approach is proposed to…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-31 H. Dette , G. M. Pan , Q. Yang

Change Point Detection (CPD) is a critical task in time series analysis, aiming to identify moments when the underlying data-generating process shifts. Traditional CPD methods often rely on unsupervised techniques, which lack adaptability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-29 Stefano Bertolasi , Diego Carrera , Diego Stucchi , Pasqualina Fragneto , Luigi Amedeo Bianchi

We derive tests of stationarity for univariate time series by combining change-point tests sensitive to changes in the contemporary distribution with tests sensitive to changes in the serial dependence. The proposed approach relies on a…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-21 Axel Bücher , Jean-David Fermanian , Ivan Kojadinovic

Discovering dominant patterns and exploring dynamic behaviors especially critical state transitions and tipping points in high-dimensional time-series data are challenging tasks in study of real-world complex systems, which demand…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-23 Pei Chen , Yaofang Suo , Rui Liu , Luonan Chen

This paper studies methods for testing and estimating change-points in the covariance structure of a high-dimensional linear time series. The assumed framework allows for a large class of multivariate linear processes (including vector…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-14 Ansgar Steland

We consider the problem of change-point estimation of the instantaneous phase of an observed time series. Such change points, or phase shifts, can be markers of information transfer in complex systems; their analysis occurring in geology,…

Applications · Statistics 2014-01-17 William Marshall , Paul Marriott

We extend the principal component analysis (PCA) to second-order stationary vector time series in the sense that we seek for a contemporaneous linear transformation for a $p$-variate time series such that the transformed series is segmented…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-21 Jinyuan Chang , Bin Guo , Qiwei Yao

Topological Data Analysis (TDA) is a rapidly growing field, which studies methods for learning underlying topological structures present in complex data representations. TDA methods have found recent success in extracting useful geometric…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-09 Xiaojun Zheng , Simon Mak , Yao Xie

This paper deals with off-line detection of change points for time series of independent observations, when the number of change points is unknown. We propose a sequential analysis like method with linear time and memory complexity. Our…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-13 Pierre R Bertrand , Mehdi Fhima

In this paper, we introduce two robust, nonparametric methods for multiple change-point detection in the variability of a multivariate sequence of observations. We demonstrate that changes in ranks generated from data depth functions can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-30 Kelly Ramsay , Shoja'eddin Chenouri

The extensive emergence of big data techniques has led to an increasing interest in the development of change-point detection algorithms that can perform well in a multivariate, possibly high-dimensional setting. In the current paper, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-15 Andreas Anastasiou , Angelos Papanastasiou

Change point detection is a crucial aspect of analyzing time series data, as the presence of a change point indicates an abrupt and significant change in the process generating the data. While many algorithms for the problem of change point…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-23 Mario Krause

This article introduces a novel and computationally fast model to study the association between covariates and power spectra of replicated time series. A random covariate-dependent Cram\'{e}r spectral representation and a semiparametric…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-03 Zeda Li , Yuexiao Dong

This paper describes and compares several prominent single and multiple changepoint techniques for time series data. Due to their importance in inferential matters, changepoint research on correlated data has accelerated recently.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-07 Xueheng Shi , Colin Gallagher , Robert Lund , Rebecca Killick

Change point detection in time series aims to identify moments when the probability distribution of time series changes. It is widely applied in many areas, such as human activity sensing and medical science. In the context of multivariate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-15 Shanyun Gao , Raghavendra Addanki , Tong Yu , Ryan A. Rossi , Murat Kocaoglu

We propose a novel approach for change-point detection and parameter learning in multivariate non-stationary time series exhibiting oscillatory behaviour. We approximate the process through a piecewise function defined by a sum of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-02 Nicolas Bianco , Lorenzo Cappello

As a new method for detecting change-points in high-resolution time series, we apply Maximum Mean Discrepancy to the distributions of ordinal patterns in different parts of a time series. The main advantage of this approach is its…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-10-19 Mathieu Sinn , Ali Ghodsi , Karsten Keller

Sequential (online) change-point detection involves continuously monitoring time-series data and triggering an alarm when shifts in the data distribution are detected. We propose an algorithm for real-time identification of alterations in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-16 Yuhan Tian , Abolfazl Safikhani