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COVID-19 is an infectious respiratory disease that the World Health Organization has declared a pandemic. Although a global phenomenon, there is the need to react locally with swift and informed actions, as some of the essential plans are…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-06-16 Dagoberto Pulido , Daniela Basurto , Mayra Cándido , Joaquin Salas

Currently, Brazil has one of the fastest increasing COVID-19 epidemics in the world, that has caused at least 94 thousand confirmed deaths until now. The city of Sao Paulo is particularly vulnerable because it is the most populous in the…

During outbreaks of emerging infectious diseases, internationally connected cities often experience large and early outbreaks, while rural regions follow after some delay. This hierarchical structure of disease spread is influenced…

Since December 2019, the world has been witnessing the gigantic effect of an unprecedented global pandemic called Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) - COVID-19. So far, 38,619,674 confirmed cases and 1,093,522…

Raw data on the cumulative number of deaths at a country level generally indicate a spatially variable distribution of the incidence of COVID-19 disease. An important issue is to determine whether this spatial pattern is a consequence of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-21 Lionel Roques , Olivier Bonnefon , Virgile Baudrot , Samuel Soubeyrand , Henri Berestycki

Disadvantaged groups around the world have suffered and endured higher mortality during the current COVID-19 pandemic. This contrast disparity suggests that socioeconomic and health-related factors may drive inequality in disease outcome.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-23 Behzad Javaheri

Actually, after one year it is recognized that the evolution of COVID-19 is different in each country or region around the world. In this paper, we do a revision to the date about COVID-19 evolution in Mexico, we explain where the main…

The demographic factors have a substantial impact on the overall casualties caused by the COVID-19. In this study, the spatial association between the key demographic variables and COVID-19 cases and deaths were analyzed using the spatial…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-12 Srikanta Sannigrahi , Francesco Pilla , Bidroha Basu , Arunima Sarkar Basu

Information of 1.6 million patients identified as SARS-CoV-2 positive in Mexico is used to understand the relationship between comorbidities, symptoms, hospitalizations and deaths due to the COVID-19 disease. Using the presence or absence…

Applications · Statistics 2024-06-17 Carlos E. Rodríguez , Ramsés H. Mena

This paper applies multiple machine learning (ML) algorithms to a dataset of de-identified COVID-19 patients provided by the COVID-19 Research Database. The dataset consists of 20,878 COVID-positive patients, among which 9,177 patients died…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-02 Redoan Rahman , Jooyeong Kang , Justin F Rousseau , Ying Ding

The availability of cellphone geolocation data provides a remarkable opportunity to study human mobility patterns and how these patterns are affected by the recent pandemic. Two simple centrality metrics allow us to measure two different…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-08-16 Oscar Fontanelli , Dulce I. Valdivia , Guillermo Romero , Oliver Medina , Wentian Li , Maribel Hernández-Rosales

Based on the comprehensive national death registry of Mexico spanning from 1998 to 2022 a point and interval estimation method for the excess mortality in Mexico during the years 2020-2022 is proposed based on illness-induced deaths only,…

Applications · Statistics 2023-12-12 Andreu Comas-García , Arturo Erdely

Mexico, like the rest of the world, is currently facing the The COVID-19 pandemic. Given the size of its territory, the efforts to contain the disease have involved both national and regional measures. For this work, the curves of daily new…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-06-23 Guillermo de Anda-Jáuregui

In this work, we study the pandemic course in the United States by considering national and state levels data. We propose and compare multiple time-series prediction techniques which incorporate auxiliary variables. One type of approach is…

The COVID-19 pandemic has impacted the national systems of population movement around the world. Existing work has focused on countries of the Global North and restricted to the immediate effects of COVID-19 data during 2020. Data have…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-11-06 Francisco Rowe , Carmen Cabrera-Arnau , Miguel González-Leonardo , Andrea Nasuto , Ruth Neville

We present an interpretable high-resolution spatio-temporal model to estimate COVID-19 deaths together with confirmed cases one-week ahead of the current time, at the county-level and weekly aggregated, in the United States. A notable…

Applications · Statistics 2021-08-24 Shixiang Zhu , Alexander Bukharin , Liyan Xie , Mauricio Santillana , Shihao Yang , Yao Xie

I present three types of applications of generalized additive models (GAMs) to COVID-19 mortality rates in the US for the purpose of advancing methods to document inequities with respect to which communities suffered disproportionate…

Applications · Statistics 2022-12-01 Christian Testa

The current outbreak of COVID-19 has called renewed attention to the need for sound statistical analysis for monitoring mortality patterns and trends over time. Excess mortality has been suggested as the most appropriate indicator to…

Applications · Statistics 2020-10-13 Patrizio Vanella , Ugofilippo Basellini , Berit Lange

A multiple objective space-time forecasting approach is presented involving cyclical curve log-regression, and multivariate time series spatial residual correlation analysis. Specifically, the mean quadratic loss function is minimized in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-30 A. Torres-Signes , M. P. Frías , M. D. Ruiz-Medina

Over the past two decades there has been a number of global outbreaks of viral diseases. This has accelerated the efforts to model and forecast the disease spreading, in order to find ways to confine the spreading regionally and between…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-22 Rafael A. Barrio , Kimmo K. Kaski , Gudmundur G. Haraldsson , Thor Aspelund , Tzipe Govezensky
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