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We propose an analytical technique to study large fluctuations and switching from internal noise in complex networks. Using order-disorder kinetics as a generic example, we construct and analyze the most probable, or optimal path of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-09-07 Jason Hindes , Ira B. Schwartz

Restoring power distribution systems after extreme events such as tornadoes presents significant logistical and computational challenges. The complexity arises from the need to coordinate multiple repair crews under uncertainty, manage…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-17 Harshal D. Kaushik , Roshni Anna Jacob , Souma Chowdhury , Jie Zhang

Arrival processes to service systems often display fluctuations that are larger than anticipated under the Poisson assumption, a phenomenon that is referred to as overdispersion. Motivated by this, we analyze a class of discrete stochastic…

We consider traffic flow models at different scales of observation. Starting from the well known hierarchy between microscopic, kinetic and macroscopic scales, we will investigate the propagation of uncertainties through the models using…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-10-13 Elisa Iacomini

Floods are one of nature's most catastrophic calamities which cause irreversible and immense damage to human life, agriculture, infrastructure and socio-economic system. Several studies on flood catastrophe management and flood forecasting…

Uncertainty is an essential consideration for time series forecasting tasks. In this work, we specifically focus on quantifying the uncertainty of traffic forecasting. To achieve this, we develop Deep Spatio-Temporal Uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-12 Weizhu Qian , Dalin Zhang , Yan Zhao , Kai Zheng , James J. Q. Yu

This paper reviews intermodal transportation systems and their role in decarbonizing freight networks from an operations research perspective, analyzing over a decade of studies (2010-2024). We present a chronological analysis of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-18 Madelaine Martinez Ferguson , Aliza Sharmin , Mustafa Can Camur , Xueping Li

Natural disasters are highly complex and unpredictable. However, long-term planning and preparedness activities can help to mitigate the consequences and reduce the damage. For example, in cities with a high risk of flooding, appropriate…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-02-17 Vahid Eghbal Akhlaghi , Ann Melissa Campbell , Ibrahim Demir

We propose a model uncertainty approach to heavy traffic asymptotics that allows for a high level of uncertainty. That is, the uncertainty classes of underlying distributions accommodate disturbances that are of order 1 at the usual…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-13 Rami Atar , Eyal Castiel , Yonatan Shadmi

Urban flooding disrupts traffic networks, affecting the mobility and disrupting access of residents. Since flooding events are predicted to increase due to climate change, and given the criticality of traffic networks, understanding the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-10-04 Akhil Anil Rajput , Sanjay Nayak , Shangjia Dong , Ali Mostafavi

We evaluate the robustness of agents' traffic equilibria in randomized routing games characterized by an uncertain network demand with a possibly unknown probability distribution. Specifically, we extend the so-called hose model by…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-24 Filippo Fabiani

Flood-related risks to people and property are expected to increase in the future due to environmental and demographic changes. It is important to quantify and effectively communicate flood hazards and exposure to inform the design and…

Applications · Statistics 2021-08-27 Sanjib Sharma , Michael Gomez , Klaus Keller , Robert Nicholas , Alfonso Mejia

This study addresses the challenge of efficiently assigning locomotives in large freight rail networks, where operational complexity and power imbalances make cost-effective planning difficult. It presents a strategic optimization framework…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-31 Yunji Kim , Amira Hijazi , Kevin Dalmeijer , Pascal Van Hentenryck

Natural hazards including floods can trigger catastrophic failures in interdependent urban transport network-of-networks (NoNs). Population growth has enhanced transportation demand while urbanization and climate change have intensified…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-12-13 Nishant Yadav , Samrat Chatterjee , Auroop R. Ganguly

In this paper, we study the problem of optimizing the size and mix of a mixed fleet of electric and conventional vehicles owned by firms providing urban freight logistics services. Uncertain customer requests are considered at the strategic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-03 Satya S. Malladi , Jonas M. Christensen , David Ramrez , Allan Larsen , Dario Pacino

We present longitudinal analysis of the evolution of inter-organizational disaster coordination networks during natural disasters. We suggest that social networks are a useful paradigm for exploring this complex phenomenon from both…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-03-31 Alireza Abbasi , Liaquat Hossain , Naim Kapucu

Understanding the spatiotemporal road network accessibility during a hurricane evacuation, the level of ease of residents in an area in reaching evacuation destination sites through the road network, is a critical component of emergency…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-06-26 Yi-Jie Zhu , Yujie Hu , Jennifer M. Collins

Coastal flooding drives considerable risks to many communities, but projections of future flood risks are deeply uncertain. The paucity of observations of extreme events often motivates the use of statistical approaches to model the…

Applications · Statistics 2018-08-01 Tony E. Wong , Alexandra Klufas , Vivek Srikrishnan , Klaus Keller

In this paper, a new routing algorithm based on a flooding method is introduced. Flooding techniques have been used previously, e.g. for broadcasting the routing table in the ARPAnet [1] and other special purpose networks [3][4][5].…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Jaihyung Cho , James Breen

The objective of this study is to predict road flooding risks based on topographic, hydrologic, and temporal precipitation features using machine learning models. Predictive flood monitoring of road network flooding status plays an…