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Forecasting and decision-making are generally modeled as two sequential steps with no feedback, following an open-loop approach. In this paper, we present application-driven learning, a new closed-loop framework in which the processes of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-09 Joaquim Dias Garcia , Alexandre Street , Tito Homem-de-Mello , Francisco D. Muñoz

In this paper we wish to tackle stochastic programs affected by ambiguity about the probability law that governs their uncertain parameters. Using optimal transport theory, we construct an ambiguity set that exploits the knowledge about the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-15 Adrián Esteban-Pérez , Juan M. Morales

While machine learning can myopically reinforce social inequalities, it may also be used to dynamically seek equitable outcomes. In this paper, we formalize long-term fairness in the context of online reinforcement learning. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-02 Tongxin Yin , Reilly Raab , Mingyan Liu , Yang Liu

This work focuses on the dynamic hedging of financial derivatives, where a reinforcement learning algorithm is designed to minimize the variance of the delta hedging process. In contrast to previous research in this area, we apply…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-21 Cong Zheng , Jiafa He , Can Yang

Stochastic choice-based discrete planning is a broad class of decision-making problems characterized by a sequential decision-making process involving a planner and a group of customers. The firm or planner first decides a subset of options…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-09-20 Jiajie Zhang , Yun Hui Lin , Gerardo Berbeglia

Probabilistic forecasting, i.e. estimating the probability distribution of a time series' future given its past, is a key enabler for optimizing business processes. In retail businesses, for example, forecasting demand is crucial for having…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-02-25 David Salinas , Valentin Flunkert , Jan Gasthaus

We develop a deep learning algorithm for constructing globally accurate approximations to functional rational expectations equilibria of dynamic stochastic economies in the sequence space. We use deep neural networks to parameterize key…

General Economics · Economics 2026-03-17 Marlon Azinovic-Yang , Jan Žemlička

We derive an efficient stochastic algorithm for inverse problems that present an unknown linear forcing term and a set of nonlinear parameters to be recovered. It is assumed that the data is noisy and that the linear part of the problem is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-09-17 Darko Volkov

Reinforcement learning (RL) has shown promise in solving various combinatorial optimization problems. However, conventional RL faces challenges when dealing with complex, real-world constraints, especially when action space feasibility is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Jaike van Twiller , Yossiri Adulyasak , Erick Delage , Djordje Grbic , Rune Møller Jensen

Dynamic task allocation is an essential requirement for multi-robot systems operating in unknown dynamic environments. It allows robots to change their behavior in response to environmental changes or actions of other robots in order to…

Robotics · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Kristina Lerman , Chris Jones , Aram Galstyan , Maja J Mataric

E-grocery retailing enables ordering products online to be delivered at a future time slot chosen by the customer. This emerging field of business provides retailers with large and comprehensive new data sets, yet creates several challenges…

General Economics · Economics 2024-04-08 David Winkelmann , Matthias Ulrich , Michael Römer , Roland Langrock , Hermann Jahnke

The properties of the normal distribution under linear transformation, as well the easy way to compute the covariance matrix of marginals and conditionals, offer a unique opportunity to get an insight about several aspects of uncertainties…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-02-12 Giulio D'Agostini

We propose a parallel algorithm for the numerical solution of a class of second order semi-linear equations coming from stochastic optimal control problems, by means of a dynamic domain decomposition technique. The new method is an…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-02-11 Simone Cacace , Maurizio Falcone

Order statistics play a fundamental role in statistical procedures such as risk estimation, outlier detection, and multiple hypothesis testing as well as in the analyses of mechanism design, queues, load balancing, and various other…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-11-23 Rigel Galgana , Amy Greenwald , Takehiro Oyakawa

The problem of statistical inference for open chaotic systems measured with error is complicated by the interaction of the uncertainty introduced by chaos, and the various sources of random or external variation. Here a method of…

Applications · Statistics 2024-03-11 Michael LuValle

A key challenge in satisficing planning is to use multiple heuristics within one heuristic search. An aggregation of multiple heuristic estimates, for example by taking the maximum, has the disadvantage that bad estimates of a single…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-04-13 David Speck , André Biedenkapp , Frank Hutter , Robert Mattmüller , Marius Lindauer

We propose a multiscale approach for predicting quantities in dynamical systems which is explicitly structured to extract information in both fine-to-coarse and coarse-to-fine directions. We envision this method being generally applicable…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-12-30 Karl Otness , Laure Zanna , Joan Bruna

We revisit the structure learning problem for dynamic Bayesian networks and propose a method that simultaneously estimates contemporaneous (intra-slice) and time-lagged (inter-slice) relationships between variables in a time-series. Our…

Time-varying stochastic optimization problems frequently arise in machine learning practice (e.g. gradual domain shift, object tracking, strategic classification). Although most problems are solved in discrete time, the underlying process…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-24 Subha Maity , Debarghya Mukherjee , Moulinath Banerjee , Yuekai Sun

Differential equations (DE) constrained optimization plays a critical role in numerous scientific and engineering fields, including energy systems, aerospace engineering, ecology, and finance, where optimal configurations or control…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-03 Vincenzo Di Vito , Mostafa Mohammadian , Kyri Baker , Ferdinando Fioretto