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Related papers: Predictive Analysis of Chikungunya

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The success of deep learning techniques over the last decades has opened up a new avenue of research for weather forecasting. Here, we take the novel approach of using a neural network to predict full probability density functions at each…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-05 Mariana Clare , Omar Jamil , Cyril Morcrette

With emerging prevalence beyond traditionally endemic regions, the global burden of dengue disease is forecasted to be one of the fastest growing. With limited direct treatment or vaccination currently available, prevention through vector…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2024-07-02 Zi Iun Lai , Wai Kit Fung , Enquan Chew

According to the Center of Disease Control (CDC), the Opioid epidemic has claimed more than 72,000 lives in the US in 2017 alone. In spite of various efforts at the local, state and federal level, the impact of the epidemic is becoming…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-06-24 Sandipan Choudhuri , Kaustav Basu , Kevin Thomas , Arunabha Sen

Influenza is a contagious respiratory illness that causes significant human morbidity and mortality, affecting 5-15% of the population in a typical epidemic season. Human influenza epidemics are caused by types A and B, with roughly 25% of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-10-14 Yidan Pan , Michael W. Deem

In the domain of time series analysis, particularly in event detection tasks, current methodologies predominantly rely on segmentation-based approaches, which predict the class label for each individual timesteps and use the changepoints of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-08-26 Clark Peng , Tolga Dinçer

Dengue fever is a virulent disease spreading over 100 tropical and subtropical countries in Africa, the Americas, and Asia. This arboviral disease affects around 400 million people globally, severely distressing the healthcare systems. The…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-01-25 Madhurima Panja , Tanujit Chakraborty , Sk Shahid Nadim , Indrajit Ghosh , Uttam Kumar , Nan Liu

In today's world,the risk of emerging and re-emerging epidemics have increased.The recent advancement in healthcare technology has made it possible to predict an epidemic outbreak in a region.Early prediction of an epidemic outbreak greatly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-01 Akshara Pramod , JS Abhishek , Suganthi K

Air pollution stands as the fourth leading cause of death globally. While extensive research has been conducted in this domain, most approaches rely on large datasets when it comes to prediction. This limits their applicability in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-10 Mulomba Mukendi Christian , Hyebong Choi

Earthquakes are among the most immediate and deadly natural disasters that humans face. Accurately forecasting the extent of earthquake damage and assessing potential risks can be instrumental in saving numerous lives. In this study, we…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-02-06 Koyu Mizutani , Haruki Mitarai , Kakeru Miyazaki , Soichiro Kumano , Toshihiko Yamasaki

In this paper, we present Pangu-Weather, a deep learning based system for fast and accurate global weather forecast. For this purpose, we establish a data-driven environment by downloading $43$ years of hourly global weather data from the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-11-07 Kaifeng Bi , Lingxi Xie , Hengheng Zhang , Xin Chen , Xiaotao Gu , Qi Tian

In recent years, a study by environmental organizations in the world and Vietnam shows that weather change is quite complex. global warming has become a serious problem in the modern world, which is a concern for scientists. last century,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-29 Nguyen Phuc Tran , Duy Thanh Tran , Thi Thuy Nga Duong

The spread of COVID-19 makes it essential to investigate its prevalence. In such investigation research, as far as we know, the widely-used sampling methods didn't use the information sufficiently about the numbers of the previously…

Applications · Statistics 2022-01-04 Ze Liu , Siyu Yi , Jianghu , Dong , Min-Qian Liu , Yongdao Zhou

Chikungunya virus is a mosquito-borne arbovirus with the potential to establish sustained transmission in subtropical regions like Florida, where climatic and ecological conditions support vector proliferation. In this study, we develop a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-20 Antonio Gondim , Leonardo Schultz , Xi Huo , Shigui Ruan

This paper presents a novel probabilistic approach for assessing the risk of West Nile Disease (WND) spillover to the human population. The assessment has been conducted under two different scenarios: (1) assessment of the onset of…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-25 Saman Hosseini , Lee W. Cohnstaedt , Matin Marjani , Caterina Scoglio

The continuously growing number of COVID-19 cases pressures healthcare services worldwide. Accurate short-term forecasting is thus vital to support country-level policy making. The strategies adopted by countries to combat the pandemic…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-07 Thiago de Paula Oliveira , Rafael de Andrade Moral

Infectious disease forecasts can reduce mortality and morbidity by supporting evidence-based public health decision making. Most epidemic models train on surveillance and structured data (e.g. weather, mobility, media), missing contextual…

With a warming planet, tropical regions are expected to experience the brunt of climate change, with more intense and more volatile rainfall events. Currently, state-of-the-art numerical weather prediction (NWP) models are known to struggle…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-18 Indrajit Kalita , Lucia Vilallonga , Yves Atchade

The Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS (UNAIDS) has developed the Estimation and Projection Package (EPP) for making national estimates and short-term projections of HIV prevalence based on observed prevalence trends at antenatal…

Applications · Statistics 2007-09-14 Leontine Alkema , Adrian E. Raftery , Samuel J. Clark

Objectives: Our research adopts computational techniques to analyze disease outbreaks weekly over a large geographic area while maintaining local-level analysis by incorporating relevant high-spatial resolution cultural and environmental…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-12 Scott Pezanowski , Etien Luc Koua , Joseph C Okeibunor , Abdou Salam Gueye

The emergence and spread of deadly pandemics has repeatedly occurred throughout history, causing widespread infections and loss of life. The rapid spread of pandemics have made governments across the world adopt a range of actions,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-01-15 Marianna Karapitta , Andreas Kasis , Charithea Stylianides , Kleanthis Malialis , Panayiotis Kolios