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Applying probability-related knowledge to accurately explore and exploit the inherent uncertainty of wind power output is one of the key issues that need to be solved urgently in the development of smart grid. This letter develops an…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-08-19 Libao Shi , Yang Pan , Yixin Ni

In this paper we study a broad class of distribution functions which is defined by means of reflected generalized beta distribution. This class includes that of Beta-generated distribution as a special case. In particular, we use this class…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-20 Ibrahim Elbatal , Francesca Condino , Filippo Domma

In this article, we consider the estimation of unknown parameters of Weibull distribution when the lifetime data are observed in the presence of progressively type-I hybrid censoring scheme. The Newton-Raphson algorithm,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-12 Yasin Asar , R. Arabi Belaghi

Ensemble model output statistics (EMOS) is a statistical tool for post-processing forecast ensembles of weather variables obtained from multiple runs of numerical weather prediction models in order to produce calibrated predictive…

Applications · Statistics 2016-03-31 Sándor Baran , Sebastian Lerch

Low-fidelity wake models are used for wind farm design and control optimization. To generalize to a wind farm model, individually-modeled wakes are commonly superimposed using approximate superposition models. Wake models parameterize…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-06-22 Michael J. LoCascio , Catherine Gorle , Michael F. Howland

The Median Based Unit Weibull is a new 2 parameter unit Weibull distribution defined on the unit interval (0,1). Estimation of the parameters using MLE encountered some problems like large variance. Using generalized method of moments…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-30 Iman Mohamed Attia

In this paper a new distribution is proposed. This new model provides more flexibility to modeling data with upside-down bathtub hazard rate function. A significant account of mathematical properties of the new distribution is presented.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-28 Pedro L. Ramos , Francisco Louzada , Taciana K. O. Shimizu , Aline O. Luiz

In order to reach the supply/demand balance, electricity providers need to predict the demand and production of electricity at different time scales. This implies the need of modeling weather variables such as temperature, wind speed, solar…

Applications · Statistics 2017-10-24 Augustin Touron

The extensive penetration of wind farms (WFs) presents challenges to the operation of distribution networks (DNs). Building a probability distribution of the aggregated wind power forecast error is of great value for decision making.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-12-19 Mengshuo Jia , Chen Shen , Zhiwen Wang

Accurately representing surface weather at the sub-kilometer scale is crucial for optimal decision-making in a wide range of applications. This motivates the use of statistical techniques to provide accurate and calibrated probabilistic…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-11-15 Francesco Zanetta , Daniele Nerini , Matteo Buzzi , Henry Moss

This paper presents a unified and novel estimation framework for the Weibull, Gamma, and Log-normal distributions based on arbitrary-order moment pairs. Traditional estimation techniques, such as Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-06 Kang Liu

The Kumaraswamy Inverse Weibull distribution has the ability to model failure rates that have unimodal shapes and are quite common in reliability and biological studies. The three-parameter Kumaraswamy Inverse Weibull distribution with…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-21 Felipe R. S. de Gusmão , Vera L. D. Tomazella , Ricardo S. Ehlers

Probabilistic wind power forecasting approaches have significantly advanced in recent decades. However, forecasters often assume data completeness and overlook the challenge of missing values resulting from sensor failures, network…

Applications · Statistics 2024-04-25 Honglin Wen

The Weibull function is widely used to describe skew distributions observed in nature. However, the origin of this ubiquity is not always obvious to explain. In the present paper, we consider the well-known Galton-Watson branching process…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-27 Junghyo Jo , Jean-Yves Fortin , M. Y. Choi

Accurate prediction of wind power is essential for the grid integration of this intermittent renewable source and aiding grid planners in forecasting available wind capacity. Spatial differences lead to discrepancies in climatological data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-21 Md Saiful Islam Sajol , Md Shazid Islam , A S M Jahid Hasan , Md Saydur Rahman , Jubair Yusuf

.Stochastic models based on random diffusivities, such as the diffusing-diffusivity approach, are popular concepts for the description of non-Gaussian diffusion in heterogeneous media. Studies of these models typically focus on the moments…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-08-26 V. Sposini , D. S. Grebenkov , R. Metzler , G. Oshanin , F. Seno

This paper presents a new methodology for generating continuous statistical distributions, integrating the exponentiated odds ratio within the framework of survival analysis. This new method enhances the flexibility and adaptability of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-28 Xinyu Chen , Yuanqi Xie , Achraf Cohen , Shusen Pu

Using the recently perfected sea-boson method, we compute the momentum distribution of the one-band Hubbard model in one and two spatial dimensions. We compute the asymptotic features of the momentum distribution explicitly away from half…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2007-05-23 Girish S. Setlur

Birnbaum-Saunders models have been widely used to model positively skewed data. In this paper, we introduce a bivariate Birnbaum-Saunders distribution which has the means as parameters. We present some properties of the univariate and…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-01 Helton Saulo , Jeremias Leão , Roberto Vila , Victor Leiva , Vera Tomazella

Many physical datasets are generated by collections of instruments that make measurements at regular time intervals. For such regular monitoring data, we extend the framework of half-spectral covariance functions to the case of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-23 Christopher J. Geoga , Mihai Anitescu , Michael L. Stein