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We establish the asymptotic validity of the bootstrap-based IVX estimator proposed by Phillips and Magdalinos (2009) for the predictive regression model parameter based on a local-to-unity specification of the autoregressive coefficient…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-07-28 Christis Katsouris

Granger-causality in the frequency domain is an emerging tool to analyze the causal relationship between two time series. We propose a bootstrap test on unconditional and conditional Granger-causality spectra, as well as on their…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-07 Matteo Farné , Angela Montanari

In this paper we propose a new test of heteroscedasticity for parametric regression models and partial linear regression models in high dimensional settings. When the dimension of covariates is large, existing tests of heteroscedasticity…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-09 Falong Tan , Xuejun Jiang , Xu Guo , Lixing Zhu

Fitting sparse models to high-dimensional time series is an important area of statistical inference. In this paper we consider sparse vector autoregressive models and develop appropriate bootstrap methods to infer properties of such…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-25 J. Krampe , J-P. Kreiss , E. Paparoditis

Bootstrapping is often applied to get confidence limits for semiparametric inference of a target parameter in the presence of nuisance parameters. Bootstrapping with replacement can be computationally expensive and problematic when…

When we use simulation to evaluate the performance of a stochastic system, the simulation often contains input distributions estimated from real-world data; therefore, there is both simulation and input uncertainty in the performance…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-10 Wei Xie , Barry L. Nelson , Russell R. Barton

A model-free bootstrap procedure for a general class of stationary time series is introduced. The theoretical framework is established, showing asymptotic validity of bootstrap confidence intervals for many statistics of interest. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-01 Yiren Wang , Dimitris N. Politis

New goodness-of-fit tests for Markovian models in time series analysis are developed which are based on the difference between a fully nonparametric estimate of the one-step transition distribution function of the observed process and that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Michael H. Neumann , Efstathios Paparoditis

We study non-stationary single-item, periodic-review inventory control problems in which the demand distribution is unknown and may change over time. We analyze how demand non-stationarity affects learning performance across inventory…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-06 Nele H. Amiri , Sean R. Sinclair , Maximiliano Udenio

In a spatial-temporal model, structural change and/or spatial heterogeneity can easily affect estimation of parameters. Following the spatial-temporal model in [1], we develop a nonparametric procedure for test-ing the presence of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-07 Ruby Anne E. Lemence , Erniel B. Barrios

Split-plot or repeated measures designs are frequently used for planning experiments in the life or social sciences. Typical examples include the comparison of different treatments over time, where both factors may possess an additional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-13 Maria Umlauft , Marius Placzek , Frank Konietschke , Markus Pauly

A fixed-design residual bootstrap method is proposed for the two-step estimator of Francq and Zako\"ian (2015) associated with the conditional Value-at-Risk. The bootstrap's consistency is proven for a general class of volatility models and…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-08-16 Eric Beutner , Alexander Heinemann , Stephan Smeekes

A multiplier bootstrap procedure for construction of likelihood-based confidence sets is considered for finite samples and a possible model misspecification. Theoretical results justify the bootstrap validity for a small or moderate sample…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-18 Vladimir Spokoiny , Mayya Zhilova

We present a new method, Non-Stationary Forward Flux Sampling, that allows efficient simulation of rare events in both stationary and non-stationary stochastic systems. The method uses stochastic branching and pruning to achieve uniform…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-03 Nils B. Becker , Rosalind J. Allen , Pieter Rein ten Wolde

A nonparametric procedure to estimate the conditional probability that a nonstationary geostatistical process exceeds a certain threshold value is proposed. The method consists of a bootstrap algorithm that combines conditional simulation…

We consider infinite-dimensional Hilbert space-valued random variables that are assumed to be temporal dependent in a broad sense. We prove a central limit theorem for the moving block bootstrap and for the tapered block bootstrap, and show…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-24 Dimitrios Pilavakis , Efstathios Paparoditis , Theofanis Sapatinas

In Markov-chain Monte Carlo simulations, estimating statistical errors or confidence intervals of numerically obtained values is an essential task. In this paper, we review several methods for error estimation, such as simple empirical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-12-23 Yoshihiko Nishikawa , Jun Takahashi , Takashi Takahashi

In many life science experiments or medical studies, subjects are repeatedly observed and measurements are collected in factorial designs with multivariate data. The analysis of such multivariate data is typically based on multivariate…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-24 Lubna Amro , Frank Konietschke , Markus Pauly

In recent years, bootstrap methods have drawn attention for their ability to approximate the laws of "max statistics" in high-dimensional problems. A leading example of such a statistic is the coordinate-wise maximum of a sample average of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-23 Miles E. Lopes , Zhenhua Lin , Hans-Georg Mueller

We consider a non-stationary variant of a sequential stochastic optimization problem, in which the underlying cost functions may change along the horizon. We propose a measure, termed variation budget, that controls the extent of said…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-07 O. Besbes , Y. Gur , A. Zeevi
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