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Related papers: Bootstrapping Non-Stationary Stochastic Volatility

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We introduce a bootstrap procedure for high-frequency statistics of Brownian semistationary processes. More specifically, we focus on a hypothesis test on the roughness of sample paths of Brownian semistationary processes, which uses an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-06 Mikkel Bennedsen , Ulrich Hounyo , Asger Lunde , Mikko S. Pakkanen

The consistency of a bootstrap or resampling scheme is classically validated by weak convergence of conditional laws. However, when working with stochastic processes in the space of bounded functions and their weak convergence in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-05 Axel Bücher , Ivan Kojadinovic

This paper develops valid bootstrap inference methods for the dynamic short panel threshold regression. We show that the standard nonparametric bootstrap is inconsistent for the first-differenced generalized method of moments (GMM)…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-18 Woosik Gong , Myung Hwan Seo

Variational inference is a general approach for approximating complex density functions, such as those arising in latent variable models, popular in machine learning. It has been applied to approximate the maximum likelihood estimator and…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-19 Yen-Chi Chen , Y. Samuel Wang , Elena A. Erosheva

Resampling methods such as the bootstrap have proven invaluable in the field of machine learning. However, the applicability of traditional bootstrap methods is limited when dealing with large streams of dependent data, such as time series…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-28 Nicolai Palm , Thomas Nagler

An important property of statistical estimators is qualitative robustness, that is small changes in the distribution of the data only result in small chances of the distribution of the estimator. Moreover, in practice, the distribution of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-23 Katharina Strohriegl

This article proposes an online bootstrap scheme for nonparametric level estimation in nonstationary time series. Our approach applies to a broad class of level estimators expressible as weighted sample averages over time windows, including…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-02 Thomas Nagler , Tobias Brock , Nicolai Palm

This study examines statistical performance of tests for time-varying properties under misspecified conditional mean and variance. When we test for time-varying properties of the conditional mean in the case in which data have no…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-09-04 Daiki Maki , Yasushi Ota

In modern experimental science, there is a common problem of estimating the coefficients of a linear regression in a context where the variables of interest cannot be observed simultaneously. When there is a categorical variable that is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-10 Polina Arsenteva , Mohamed Amine Benadjaoud , Hervé Cardot

We investigate the behavior of the Generalized Likelihood Ratio Test (GLRT) (Fan, Zhang and Zhang [Ann. Statist. 29 (2001) 153-193]) for time varying coefficient models where the regressors and errors are non-stationary time series and can…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-02-05 Zhou Zhou

The present contribution investigates multivariate bootstrap procedures for general stabilizing statistics, with specific application to topological data analysis. Existing limit theorems for topological statistics prove difficult to use in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-28 Benjamin Roycraft , Johannes Krebs , Wolfgang Polonik

Existing frequency domain methods for bootstrapping time series have a limited range. Consider for instance the class of spectral mean statistics (also called integrated periodograms) which includes many important statistics in time series…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-19 Marco Meyer , Efstathios Paparoditis , Jens-Peter Kreiss

The bootstrap, based on resampling, has, for several decades, been a widely used method for computing confidence intervals for applications where no exact method is available and when sample sizes are not large enough to be able to rely on…

Applications · Statistics 2018-08-27 Chris Gotwalt , Li Xu , Yili Hong , William Q. Meeker

We show that bootstrap methods based on the positivity of probability measures provide a systematic framework for studying both synchronous and asynchronous nonequilibrium stochastic processes on infinite lattices. First, we formulate…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-11-12 Minjae Cho

This paper studies a fixed-design residual bootstrap method for the two-step estimator of Francq and Zako\"ian (2015) associated with the conditional Expected Shortfall. For a general class of volatility models the bootstrap is shown to be…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-11-29 Alexander Heinemann , Sean Telg

This paper proposes a flexible framework for inferring large-scale time-varying and time-lagged correlation networks from multivariate or high-dimensional non-stationary time series with piecewise smooth trends. Built on a novel and unified…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-13 Lujia Bai , Weichi Wu

We propose a bootstrap-based test to detect a mean shift in a sequence of high-dimensional observations with unknown time-varying heteroscedasticity. The proposed test builds on the U-statistic based approach in Wang et al. (2022), targets…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-17 Teng Wu , Stanislav Volgushev , Xiaofeng Shao

The validity of various bootstrapping methods has been proved for the sample mean of strongly mixing data. But in many applications, there appear nonlinear statistics of processes that are not strongly mixing. We investigate the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-07-28 Olimjon Sh. Sharipov , Martin Wendler

The problem of non-stationarity in financial markets is discussed and related to the dynamic nature of price volatility. A new measure is proposed for estimation of the current asset volatility. A simple and illustrative explanation is…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-08 Sergey S. Stepanov

This paper is devoted to testing for the explosive bubble under time-varying non-stationary volatility. Because the limiting distribution of the seminal Phillips et al. (2011) test depends on the variance function and usually requires a…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-11-16 Eiji Kurozumi , Anton Skrobotov , Alexey Tsarev