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A computational study of higher-order derivative ratios on a time interval leading to the enstrophy peak is presented in the case of the 3D Taylor-Green vortex, a benchmark problem in the simulation of turbulent flows. The main finding is…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-05-22 Zoran Grujić , Muhammad Mohebujjaman

The influence of climate variability and global warming on the occurrence of tropical cyclones (TC) is a controversial issue. Existing historical databases on the subject are not fully reliable, but a more fundamental hindrance is the lack…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-10-02 Albert Osso , Alvaro Corral , J. E. Llebot

Almost 90% of the major power outages in the US are caused due to hurricanes. Due to the highly uncertain nature of hurricanes in both spatial and temporal dimensions, it is essential to quantify the effect of such hurricanes on a power…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-16 Abodh Poudyal , Vishnu Iyengar , Diego Garcia-Camargo , Anamika Dubey

This paper develops a spatiotemporal probabilistic impact assessment framework to analyze and quantify the compounding effect of hurricanes and storm surges on the bulk power grid. The probabilistic synthetic hurricane tracks are generated…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-12-13 Abodh Poudyal , Charlotte Wertz , Amy Mi Nguyen , Sajjad Uddin Mahmud , Vibha Gunturi , Anamika Dubey

This paper introduces a probabilistic framework to quantify community vulnerability towards power losses due to extreme weather events. To analyze the impact of weather events on the power grid, the wind fields of historical hurricanes from…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-28 Abodh Poudyal , Shishir Lamichhane , Charlotte Wertz , Sajjad Uddin Mahmud , Anamika Dubey

This paper presents a modeling approach for probabilistic estimation of hurricane wind-induced damage to infrastructural assets. In our approach, we employ a Nonhomogeneous Poisson Process (NHPP) model for estimating spatially-varying…

Applications · Statistics 2021-05-11 Derek Chang , Kerry Emanuel , Saurabh Amin

The concept of Maximum Potential Intensity (MPI) is widely used in tropical cyclone research to estimate the minimum central pressure and the maximum velocity of tropical storms from environmental parameters. The MPI pressure derives from…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-01-23 A. M. Makarieva , V. G. Gorshkov , A. V. Nefiodov , A. V. Chikunov , D. Sheil , A. D. Nobre , B. -L. Li

The size of large cliff failures may be described in several ways, for instance considering the horizontal eroded area at the cliff top and the maximum local retreat of the coastline. Field studies suggest that, for large failures, the…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-07-19 Andrea Baldassarri , Bernard Sapoval

The near universal references to the above paper by most of the major US media outlets and blogs since Katrina and Rita made US landfall requires a response from a few of us who study hurricanes. Having been involved with hurricane research…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 William Gray

A statistical physical model of the two basic properties of clusters within a hurricane--their convectivity and rotation--reveals a relationship for the time evolution of a hurricane. Non-doppler data from NEXRAD surface radar imagery, of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-11-28 Bryan Kerman

Threats against power grids continue to increase, as extreme weather conditions and natural disasters (extreme events) become more frequent. Hence, there is a need for the simulation and modeling of power grids to reflect realistic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-09 Sarmad Hanif , Monish Mukherjee , Shiva Poudel , Rohit A Jinsiwale , Min Gyung Yu , Trevor Hardy , Hayden Reeve

Emanuel's concept of Maximum Potential Intensity (E-PI) relates the maximum velocity $V_{\rm max}$ of tropical storms, assumed to be in gradient wind balance, to environmental parameters. Several studies suggested that the unbalanced flow…

We propose a statistical approach to tornadoes modeling for predicting and simulating occurrences of tornadoes and accumulated cost distributions over a time interval. This is achieved by modeling the tornadoes intensity, measured with the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-03-18 Chiara Corini , Guglielmo D'Amico , Filippo Petroni , Flavio Prattico , Raimondo Manca

Credibly assessing the resilience of energy infrastructure in the face of natural disasters is a salient concern facing researchers, government officials, and community members. Here, we explore the influence of the spatial distribution of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-02-11 Benjamin Rachunok , Roshanak Nateghi

Emanuel's concept of maximum potential intensity (E-PI) estimates the maximum velocity of tropical cyclones from environmental parameters. At the point of maximum wind, E-PI's key equation relates proportionally the centrifugal acceleration…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-01-26 Anastassia M. Makarieva , Andrei V. Nefiodov

Numerical climate models are complex and combine a large number of physical processes. They are key tools in quantifying the relative contribution of potential anthropogenic causes (e.g., the current increase in greenhouse gases) on high…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-19 Anna Kiriliouk , Philippe Naveau

Dissipative processes cause collisionless plasmas in many systems to develop nonthermal particle distributions with broad power-law tails. The prevalence of power-law energy distributions in space/astrophysical observations and kinetic…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2022-07-06 Vladimir Zhdankin

The fundamental interaction between tropical cyclones was investigated through a series of water tank experiements by Fujiwhara [20, 21, 22]. However, a complete understanding of tropical cyclones remains an open research challenge although…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2016-08-24 Raymond P Walsh , Jahrul M Alam

Results of direct numerical simulations have been used to show that intensive thermal convection in a horizontal layer and on a hemisphere can be described by the distributed chaos approach. The vorticity and helicity dominated distributed…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-02-22 A. Bershadskii

The physical foundations of the dissipation of energy and the associated heating in weakly collisional plasmas are poorly understood. Here, we compare and contrast several measures that have been used to characterize energy dissipation and…

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