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Uplift modeling is an area of machine learning which aims at predicting the causal effect of some action on a given individual. The action may be a medical procedure, marketing campaign, or any other circumstance controlled by the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-23 Michał Sołtys , Szymon Jaroszewicz

There is a need of ensuring machine learning models that are interpretable. Higher interpretability of the model means easier comprehension and explanation of future predictions for end-users. Further, interpretable machine learning models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-17 Gregor Stiglic , Primoz Kocbek , Nino Fijacko , Marinka Zitnik , Katrien Verbert , Leona Cilar

Individual Treatment Effect (ITE) prediction is an important area of research in machine learning which aims at explaining and estimating the causal impact of an action at the granular level. It represents a problem of growing interest in…

A central question in many fields of scientific research is to determine how an outcome would be affected by an action, or to measure the effect of an action (a.k.a treatment effect). In recent years, a need for estimating the heterogeneous…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-24 Weijia Zhang , Jiuyong Li , Lin Liu

Efficiently allocating treatments with a budget constraint constitutes an important challenge across various domains. In marketing, for example, the use of promotions to target potential customers and boost conversions is limited by the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-06 Toon Vanderschueren , Wouter Verbeke , Felipe Moraes , Hugo Manuel Proença

Estimating treatment effects is one of the most challenging and important tasks of data analysts. In many applications, like online marketing and personalized medicine, treatment needs to be allocated to the individuals where it yields a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-19 Björn Bokelmann , Stefan Lessmann

Uplift modeling is aimed at estimating the incremental impact of an action on an individual's behavior, which is useful in various application domains such as targeted marketing (advertisement campaigns) and personalized medicine (medical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-21 Ikko Yamane , Florian Yger , Jamal Atif , Masashi Sugiyama

Randomized experiments have been critical tools of decision making for decades. However, subjects can show significant heterogeneity in response to treatments in many important applications. Therefore it is not enough to simply know which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-09-13 Yan Zhao , Xiao Fang , David Simchi-Levi

In many applications, there is a need to predict the effect of an intervention on different individuals from data. For example, which customers are persuadable by a product promotion? which patients should be treated with a certain type of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-16 Jiuyong Li , Weijia Zhang , Lin Liu , Kui Yu , Thuc Duy Le , Jixue Liu

Uplift modeling is a technique used to predict the effect of a treatment (e.g., discounts) on an individual's response. Although several methods have been proposed for multi-valued treatment, they are extended from binary treatment methods.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-29 Zexu Sun , Xu Chen

Uplift modeling is a rapidly growing approach that utilizes causal inference and machine learning methods to directly estimate the heterogeneous treatment effects, which has been widely applied to various online marketplaces to assist…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-27 Shu Wan , Chen Zheng , Zhonggen Sun , Mengfan Xu , Xiaoqing Yang , Hongtu Zhu , Jiecheng Guo

The use of models, even if efficient, must be accompanied by an understanding at all levels of the process that transforms data (upstream and downstream). Thus, needs increase to define the relationships between individual data and the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-02 Dimitri Delcaillau , Antoine Ly , Alize Papp , Franck Vermet

Estimating causal effects in e-commerce tends to involve costly treatment assignments which can be impractical in large-scale settings. Leveraging machine learning to predict such treatment effects without actual intervention is a standard…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-04 George Panagopoulos , Daniele Malitesta , Fragkiskos D. Malliaros , Jun Pang

Uplift modeling has emerged as a crucial technique for individualized treatment effect estimation, particularly in fields such as marketing and healthcare. Modeling uplift effects in multi-treatment scenarios plays a key role in real-world…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Ruyue Zhang , Xiaopeng Ke , Ming Liu , Fangzhou Shi , Chang Men , Zhengdan Zhu

Increasing the success rate of a process, i.e. the percentage of cases that end in a positive outcome, is a recurrent process improvement goal. At runtime, there are often certain actions (a.k.a. treatments) that workers may execute to lift…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-08 Zahra Dasht Bozorgi , Marlon Dumas , Marcello La Rosa , Artem Polyvyanyy , Mahmoud Shoush , Irene Teinemaa

In this study, we present a novel clinical decision support system and discuss its interpretability-related properties. It combines a decision set of rules with a machine learning scheme to offer global and local interpretability. More…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-16 Francisco Valente , Simão Paredes , Jorge Henriques

Uncovering the heterogeneity of causal effects of policies and business decisions at various levels of granularity provides substantial value to decision makers. This paper develops estimation and inference procedures for multiple treatment…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-09-09 Michael Lechner , Jana Mareckova

Improving user engagement and platform revenue is crucial for online marketing platforms. Uplift modeling is proposed to solve this problem, which applies different treatments (e.g., discounts, bonus) to satisfy corresponding users. Despite…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-02-25 Zexu Sun , Qiyu Han , Minqin Zhu , Hao Gong , Dugang Liu , Chen Ma

Data-driven pricing strategies are becoming increasingly common, where customers are offered a personalized price based on features that are predictive of their valuation of a product. It is desirable for this pricing policy to be simple…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-11 Max Biggs , Wei Sun , Markus Ettl

Today, treatment effect estimation at the individual level is a vital problem in many areas of science and business. For example, in marketing, estimates of the treatment effect are used to select the most efficient promo-mechanics; in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-04 Aleksey Buzmakov , Daria Semenova , Maria Temirkaeva