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Finding the parameters of a latent variable causal model is central to causal inference and causal identification. In this article, we show that existing graphical structures that are used in causal inference are not stable under…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-03 Mehrzad Saremi

Markov networks are popular models for discrete multivariate systems where the dependence structure of the variables is specified by an undirected graph. To allow for more expressive dependence structures, several generalizations of Markov…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-30 Johan Pensar , Henrik Nyman , Jukka Corander

We consider the problem of inferring the causal structure from observational data, especially when the structure is sparse. This type of problem is usually formulated as an inference of a directed acyclic graph (DAG) model. The linear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-21 Kazuharu Harada , Hironori Fujisawa

Sampling conditional distributions is a fundamental task for Bayesian inference and density estimation. Generative models, such as normalizing flows and generative adversarial networks, characterize conditional distributions by learning a…

We introduce a constructive framework to learn effective Langevin equations from stationary time series. Unlike conventional approaches that require iterative calibration to match target statistics, our construction guarantees the observed…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-02-16 Ludovico Theo Giorgini

The paradigm of linear structural equation modeling readily allows one to incorporate causal feedback loops in the model specification. These appear as directed cycles in the common graphical representation of the models. However, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-16 Mathias Drton , Marina Garrote-López , Niko Nikov , Elina Robeva , Y. Samuel Wang

Extremal graphical models are sparse statistical models for multivariate extreme events. The underlying graph encodes conditional independencies and enables a visual interpretation of the complex extremal dependence structure. For the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-18 Sebastian Engelke , Stanislav Volgushev

Properties of data are frequently seen to vary depending on the sampled situations, which usually changes along a time evolution or owing to environmental effects. One way to analyze such data is to find invariances, or representative…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-09-26 Satoshi Hara , Takashi Washio

Several approaches to graphically representing context-specific relations among jointly distributed categorical variables have been proposed, along with structure learning algorithms. While existing optimization-based methods have limited…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-17 Felix Leopoldo Rios , Alex Markham , Liam Solus

The time-evolving precision matrix of a piecewise-constant Gaussian graphical model encodes the dynamic conditional dependency structure of a multivariate time-series. Traditionally, graphical models are estimated under the assumption that…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-01 Alexander J. Gibberd , James D. B. Nelson

We introduce Ising-H\"usler-Reiss processes, a new class of multivariate L\'evy processes that allows for sparse modeling of the path-wise conditional independence structure between marginal stable processes with different stability…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-13 Florian Brück , Sebastian Engelke , Stanislav Volgushev

We consider the problem of estimating the marginal independence structure of a Bayesian network from observational data, learning an undirected graph we call the unconditional dependence graph. We show that unconditional dependence graphs…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-22 Danai Deligeorgaki , Alex Markham , Pratik Misra , Liam Solus

An inductive probabilistic classification rule must generally obey the principles of Bayesian predictive inference, such that all observed and unobserved stochastic quantities are jointly modeled and the parameter uncertainty is fully…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-25 Henrik Nyman , Jie Xiong , Johan Pensar , Jukka Corander

In recent years, causal modelling has been used widely to improve generalization and to provide interpretability in machine learning models. To determine cause-effect relationships in the absence of a randomized trial, we can model causal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-03 Rohan Giriraj , Sinnu Susan Thomas

A Bayesian network is a probabilistic graphical model that consists of a directed acyclic graph (DAG), where each node is a random variable and attached to each node is a conditional probability distribution (CPD). A Bayesian network can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-04 Charupriya Sharma , Zhenyu A. Liao , James Cussens , Peter van Beek

Gaussian state space models have been used for decades as generative models of sequential data. They admit an intuitive probabilistic interpretation, have a simple functional form, and enjoy widespread adoption. We introduce a unified…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-12-06 Rahul G. Krishnan , Uri Shalit , David Sontag

In this paper, we focus on learning sparse graphs with a core-periphery structure. We propose a generative model for data associated with core-periphery structured networks to model the dependence of node attributes on core scores of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-11 Sravanthi Gurugubelli , Sundeep Prabhakar Chepuri

In undirected graphical models, learning the graph structure and learning the functions that relate the predictive variables (features) to the responses given the structure are two topics that have been widely investigated in machine…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-03-19 Shilin Ding

Bayesian networks have been used as a mechanism to represent the joint distribution of multiple random variables in a flexible yet interpretable manner. One major challenge in learning the structure of a Bayesian network is how to model…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-06 Wanchuang Zhu , Ngoc Lan Chi Nguyen

Learning the Markov network structure from data is a problem that has received considerable attention in machine learning, and in many other application fields. This work focuses on a particular approach for this purpose called…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-07-16 Alejandro Edera , Federico Schlüter , Facundo Bromberg
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