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Among Bayesian methods, Monte-Carlo dropout provides principled tools for evaluating the epistemic uncertainty of neural networks. Its popularity recently led to seminal works that proposed activating the dropout layers only during…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-07 Emanuele Ledda , Giorgio Fumera , Fabio Roli

Estimating predictive uncertainty is crucial for many computer vision tasks, from image classification to autonomous driving systems. Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is an sampling method for performing Bayesian inference. On the other hand,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-03 Diego Vergara , Sergio Hernández , Matias Valdenegro-Toro , Felipe Jorquera

We propose two generic methods for improving semi-supervised learning (SSL). The first integrates weight perturbation (WP) into existing "consistency regularization" (CR) based methods. We implement WP by leveraging variational Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-22 Kien Do , Truyen Tran , Svetha Venkatesh

Domain shifts in the training data are common in practical applications of machine learning; they occur for instance when the data is coming from different sources. Ideally, a ML model should work well independently of these shifts, for…

Dropout is conventionally used during the training phase as regularization method and for quantifying uncertainty in deep learning. We propose to use dropout during training as well as inference steps, and average multiple predictions to…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-07 Mehmet Yigit Avci , Ziyu Li , Qiuyun Fan , Susie Huang , Berkin Bilgic , Qiyuan Tian

Deep learning tools have gained tremendous attention in applied machine learning. However such tools for regression and classification do not capture model uncertainty. In comparison, Bayesian models offer a mathematically grounded…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-10-05 Yarin Gal , Zoubin Ghahramani

In this paper, we introduce a new technique that combines two popular methods to estimate uncertainty in object detection. Quantifying uncertainty is critical in real-world robotic applications. Traditional detection models can be ambiguous…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-06-30 Zongyao Lyu , Nolan B. Gutierrez , William J. Beksi

Spatially referenced datasets have become increasingly prevalent across many fields, largely driven by advances in data collection methods such as satellite remote sensing. In many applications, predictions at unobserved locations are…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-19 Isaac Amouzou , Ben Seiyon Lee

Despite the strong predictive performance achieved by machine learning models across many application domains, assessing their trustworthiness through reliable estimates of predictive confidence remains a critical challenge. This issue…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-25 Abolfazl Mohammadi-Seif , Carlos Soares , Rita P. Ribeiro , Ricardo Baeza-Yates

Effective decision making requires understanding the uncertainty inherent in a prediction. In regression, this uncertainty can be estimated by a variety of methods; however, many of these methods are laborious to tune, generate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-02 Tianhui Zhou , Yitong Li , Yuan Wu , David Carlson

Recently, there has been a significant amount of interest in satellite telemetry anomaly detection (AD) using neural networks (NN). For AD purposes, the current approaches focus on either forecasting or reconstruction of the time series,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-29 Mohammad Amin Maleki Sadr , Yeying Zhu , Peng Hu

As deep learning applications are becoming more and more pervasive in robotics, the question of evaluating the reliability of inferences becomes a central question in the robotics community. This domain, known as predictive uncertainty, has…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-21 Michel Moukari , Loïc Simon , Sylvaine Picard , Frédéric Jurie

Among the various options to estimate uncertainty in deep neural networks, Monte-Carlo dropout is widely popular for its simplicity and effectiveness. However the quality of the uncertainty estimated through this method varies and choices…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-14 Francesco Verdoja , Ville Kyrki

Machine learning (ML) systems are increasingly deployed in high-stakes domains where reliability is paramount. This thesis investigates how uncertainty estimation can enhance the safety and trustworthiness of ML, focusing on selective…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-09 Stephan Rabanser

Current approaches to model-based offline reinforcement learning often incorporate uncertainty-based reward penalization to address the distributional shift problem. These approaches, commonly known as pessimistic value iteration, use Monte…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-17 Abdullah Akgül , Manuel Haußmann , Melih Kandemir

Monte Carlo (MC) dropout is one of the state-of-the-art approaches for uncertainty estimation in neural networks (NNs). It has been interpreted as approximately performing Bayesian inference. Based on previous work on the approximation of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-13 Joachim Sicking , Maram Akila , Tim Wirtz , Sebastian Houben , Asja Fischer

Dropout as regularization has been used extensively to prevent overfitting for training neural networks. During training, units and their connections are randomly dropped, which could be considered as sampling many different submodels from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-28 Zhaoyuan Yang , Arpit Jain

This study introduces the Misclassification Likelihood Matrix (MLM) as a novel tool for quantifying the reliability of neural network predictions under distribution shifts. The MLM is obtained by leveraging softmax outputs and clustering…

It has become critical for deep learning algorithms to quantify their output uncertainties to satisfy reliability constraints and provide accurate results. Uncertainty estimation for regression has received less attention than…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-01-04 Xuanlong Yu , Gianni Franchi , Emanuel Aldea

Uniformity plays an important role in evaluating learned representations, providing insights into self-supervised learning. In our quest for effective uniformity metrics, we pinpoint four principled properties that such metrics should…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-29 Xianghong Fang , Jian Li , Qiang Sun , Benyou Wang