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Predictions of fatalities from violent conflict on the PRIO-GRID-month (pgm) level are characterized by high levels of uncertainty, limiting their usefulness in practical applications. We discuss the two main sources of uncertainty for this…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-13 Daniel Mittermaier , Tobias Bohne , Martin Hofer , Daniel Racek

Random Forests (RFs) are widely used Machine Learning models in low-power embedded devices, due to their hardware friendly operation and high accuracy on practically relevant tasks. The accuracy of a RF often increases with the number of…

Wildfires have significantly increased in the United States (U.S.), making certain areas harder to live in. This motivates us to jointly analyze active fires and population changes in the U.S. from July 2020 to June 2021. The available data…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-19 Shijie Zhou , Jonathan R. Bradley

This study presents a probabilistic surrogate model for localized wildfire spread based on a conditional flow matching algorithm. The approach models fire progression as a stochastic process by learning the conditional distribution of fire…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Bryan Shaddy , Haitong Qin , Brianna Binder , James Haley , Riya Duddalwar , Kyle Hilburn , Assad Oberai

A novel approach for forest fire detection using image processing technique is proposed. A rule-based color model for fire pixel classification is used. The proposed algorithm uses RGB and YCbCr color space. The advantage of using YCbCr…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-06-10 Vipin V

Forests play a crucial role in Earth's system processes and provide a suite of social and economic ecosystem services, but are significantly impacted by human activities, leading to a pronounced disruption of the equilibrium within…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-11-01 Arthur Ouaknine , Teja Kattenborn , Etienne Laliberté , David Rolnick

Dynamic mean field theory is applied to the problem of forest fires. The starting point is the Monte Carlo simulation in a lattice of million cells. The statistics of the clusters is obtained by means of the Hoshen--Kopelman algorithm. We…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2011-12-13 K. Malarz , S. Kaczanowska , K. Kulakowski

The forests are significant assets for every country. When it gets destroyed, it may negatively impact the environment, and forest fire is one of the primary causes. Fire weather indices are widely used to measure fire danger and are used…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-07-14 Ritesh Chandra , Kumar Abhishek , Sonali Agarwal , Navjot Singh

Wildfires represent an important natural risk causing economic losses, human death and important environmental damage. In recent years, we witness an increase in fire intensity and frequency. Research has been conducted towards the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-03-08 Moulay A. Akhloufi , Nicolas A. Castro , Andy Couturier

The distribution of data points is a key component in machine learning. In most cases, one uses min-max normalization to obtain nodes in $[0,1]$ or Z-score normalization for standard normal distributed data. In this paper, we apply…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-31 Daniel Potts , Michael Schmischke

In recent decades, the intensification of wildfire activity in western Canada has resulted in substantial socio-economic and environmental losses. Accurate wildfire risk prediction is hindered by the intrinsic stochasticity of ignition and…

The prediction of crop yields internationally is a crucial objective in agricultural research. Thus, this study implements 6 regression models (Linear, Tree, Gradient Descent, Gradient Boosting, K Nearest Neighbors, and Random Forest) to…

Since frequent severe droughts are lengthening the dry season in the Amazon Rainforest, it is important to detect wildfires promptly and forecast possible spread for effective suppression response. Current wildfire detection models are not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-09 Christopher Sun

Global wildfire models play a crucial role in anticipating and responding to changing wildfire regimes. JULES-INFERNO is a global vegetation and fire model simulating wildfire emissions and area burnt on a global scale. However, because of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-04 Sibo Cheng , Hector Chassagnon , Matthew Kasoar , Yike Guo , Rossella Arcucci

Global climate models represent small-scale processes such as clouds and convection using quasi-empirical models known as parameterizations, and these parameterizations are a leading cause of uncertainty in climate projections. A promising…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-08-31 Janni Yuval , Paul A. O'Gorman

This research proposes a machine learning-based attack detection model for power systems, specifically targeting smart grids. By utilizing data and logs collected from Phasor Measuring Devices (PMUs), the model aims to learn system…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-10 Diane Tuyizere , Remy Ihabwikuzo

Extreme wildfires are a significant cause of human death and biodiversity destruction within countries that encompass the Mediterranean Basin. Recent worrying trends in wildfire activity (i.e., occurrence and spread) suggest that wildfires…

Applications · Statistics 2023-06-06 Jordan Richards , Raphaël Huser , Emanuele Bevacqua , Jakob Zscheischler

Rear-end collision warning system has a great role to enhance the driving safety. In this system some measures are used to estimate the dangers and the system warns drivers to be more cautious. The real-time processes should be executed in…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-03-10 Fateme Teimouri , Mehdi Ghatee

Most real-world data are scattered across different companies or government organizations, and cannot be easily integrated under data privacy and related regulations such as the European Union's General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-19 Yang Liu , Yingting Liu , Zhijie Liu , Junbo Zhang , Chuishi Meng , Yu Zheng

Over the past decade, the number of wildfire has increased significantly around the world, especially in the State of California. The high-level concentration of greenhouse gas (GHG) emitted by wildfires aggravates global warming that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-23 Sifat Chowdhury , Kai Zhu , Yu Zhang
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