Related papers: A tutorial on spatiotemporal partially observed Ma…
Spatial spread of infectious diseases among populations via the mobility of humans is highly stochastic and heterogeneous. Accurate forecast/mining of the spread process is often hard to be achieved by using statistical or mechanical…
Understanding the heterogeneity over spatial locations is an important problem that has been widely studied in many applications such as economics and environmental science. In this paper, we focus on regression models for spatial panel…
There exists a wide variety of works on the dynamics of large populations ranging from simple heuristic modeling to those based on advanced computer supported methods. Their interconnections, however, remain mostly vague, which…
Complex behaviour in many systems arises from the stochastic interactions of spatially distributed particles or agents. Stochastic reaction-diffusion processes are widely used to model such behaviour in disciplines ranging from biology to…
Macroscopic dynamical descriptions of complex physical systems are crucial for understanding and controlling material behavior. With the growing availability of data and compute, machine learning has become a promising alternative to…
We propose a probabilistic framework for developing computational models of biological neural systems. In this framework, physiological recordings are viewed as discrete-time partial observations of an underlying continuous-time stochastic…
Real-world dynamical systems often consist of multiple stochastic subsystems that interact with each other. Modeling and forecasting the behavior of such dynamics are generally not easy, due to the inherent hardness in understanding the…
The goal of this paper is to establish a general framework for dynamic behaviors of coupled fractional-order stochastic dynamic systems of particles by using star-coupled models. In particular, the general mechanics on the dynamic behaviors…
Stochastic approximation is a framework unifying many random iterative algorithms occurring in a diverse range of applications. The stability of the process is often difficult to verify in practical applications and the process may even be…
The main subject of the thesis is the study of stationary nonequilibrium states trough the use of microscopic stochastic models that encode the physical interaction in the rules of Markovian dynamics for particles configurations. These…
We study the long-time dynamics in non-Markovian single-population stochastic models, where one or more reactions are modelled as a stochastic process with a fat-tailed non-exponential distribution of waiting times, mimicking long-term…
Complex systems may often be characterized by their hierarchical dynamics. In this paper do we present a method and an operational algorithm that automatically infer this property in a broad range of systems; discrete stochastic processes.…
Dynamic heterogeneity has often been modeled by assuming that a single-particle observable, fluctuating at a molecular scale, is influenced by its coupling to environmental variables fluctuating on a second, perhaps slower, time scale.…
Stochastic Process Model has many applications in analysis of longitudinal biodemographic data. Such data contain various physiological variables (sometimes known as covariates). It also can potentially contain genetic information available…
In modern spatial statistics, the structure of data that is collected has become more heterogeneous. Depending on the type of spatial data, different modeling strategies for spatial data are used. For example, a kriging approach for…
Many spatio-temporal data record the time of birth and death of individuals, along with their spatial trajectories during their lifetime, whether through continuous-time observations or discrete-time observations. Natural applications…
We propose a simple model for sample space reducing (SSR) stochastic process, where the dynamical variable denoting the size of the state space is continuous. In general, one can view the model as a multiplicative stochastic process, with a…
Consider the global optimisation of a function $U$ defined on a finite set $V$ endowed with an irreducible and reversible Markov generator.By integration, we extend $U$ to the set $\mathcal{P}(V)$ of probability distributions on $V$ and we…
In an ecological context, panel data arise when time series measurements are made on a collection of ecological processes. Each process may correspond to a spatial location for field data, or to an experimental ecosystem in a designed…
It is well established that gene expression can be modeled as a Markovian stochastic process and hence proper observables might be subjected to large fluctuations and rare events. Since dynamics is often more than statics, one can work with…