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Since Hobson's seminal paper [D. Hobson: Robust hedging of the lookback option. In: Finance Stoch. (1998)] the connection between model-independent pricing and the Skorokhod embedding problem has been a driving force in robust finance. We…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-15 Mathias Beiglböck , Alexander M. G. Cox , Martin Huesmann , Nicolas Perkowski , David J. Prömel

We consider pricing weather derivatives for use as protection against weather extremes. The method described utilizes results from spatial statistics and extreme value theory to first model extremes in the weather as a max-stable process,…

Applications · Statistics 2011-09-21 Robert J. Erhardt , Richard L. Smith

In a continuous-time model with multiple assets described by c\`{a}dl\`{a}g processes, this paper characterizes superhedging prices, absence of arbitrage, and utility maximizing strategies, under general frictions that make execution prices…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-22 Paolo Guasoni , Miklós Rásonyi

A new method for stochastic control based on neural networks and using randomisation of discrete random variables is proposed and applied to optimal stopping time problems. The method models directly the policy and does not need the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-11 Thomas Deschatre , Joseph Mikael

We derive upper and lower bounds on the expectation of $f(\mathbf{S})$ under dependence uncertainty, i.e. when the marginal distributions of the random vector $\mathbf{S}=(S_1,\dots,S_d)$ are known but their dependence structure is…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-19 Thibaut Lux , Antonis Papapantoleon

We present a numerically efficient approach for learning a risk-neutral measure for paths of simulated spot and option prices up to a finite horizon under convex transaction costs and convex trading constraints. This approach can then be…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-15 Hans Buehler , Phillip Murray , Mikko S. Pakkanen , Ben Wood

In this paper we present a theoretical framework for determining dynamic ask and bid prices of derivatives using the theory of dynamic coherent acceptability indices in discrete time. We prove a version of the First Fundamental Theorem of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-06-13 Tomasz R. Bielecki , Igor Cialenco , Ismail Iyigunler , Rodrigo Rodriguez

We introduce a deterministic dealer model which implements most of the empirical laws, such as fat tails in the price change distributions, long term memory of volatility and non-Poissonian intervals. We also clarify the causality between…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Kenta Yamada , Hideki Takayasu , Misako Takayasu

In this paper, we investigate risk minimization problem of derivatives based on non-tradable underlyings by means of dynamic g-expectations which are slight different from conditional g-expectations. In this framework, inspired by [1] and…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-08-13 Tianxiao Wang

This paper studies pricing derivatives in an age-dependent semi-Markov modulated market. We consider a financial market where the asset price dynamics follow a regime switching geometric Brownian motion model in which the coefficients…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-10-21 Milan Kumar Das , Anindya Goswami , Tanmay S. Patankar

In this paper we propose a deep recurrent architecture for the probabilistic modelling of high-frequency market prices, important for the risk management of automated trading systems. Our proposed architecture incorporates probabilistic…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-06 Ye-Sheen Lim , Denise Gorse

This paper presents a new model for pricing financial derivatives subject to collateralization. It allows for collateral arrangements adhering to bankruptcy laws. As such, the model can back out the market price of a collateralized…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-31 Tim Xiao

We develop a theoretical trading conditioning model subject to price volatility and return information in terms of market psychological behavior, based on analytical transaction volume-price probability wave distributions in which we use…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2010-02-09 Leilei Shi , Yiwen Wang , Ding Chen , Liyan Han , Yan Piao , Chengling Gou

We present a new model for credit index derivatives, in the top-down approach. This model has a dynamic loss intensity process with volatility and jumps and can include counterparty risk. It handles CDS, CDO tranches, Nth-to-default and…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-10 Louis Paulot

Perpetual American options are financial instruments that can be readily exercised and do not mature. In this paper we study in detail the problem of pricing this kind of derivatives, for the most popular flavour, within a framework in…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2009-07-09 Miquel Montero

This paper studies the problem of maximizing expected utility from terminal wealth combining a static position in derivative securities, which we assume can be traded only at time zero, with a traditional dynamic trading strategy in stocks.…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-10-09 Pietro Siorpaes

Optimal control models for limit order trading often assume that the underlying asset price is a Brownian motion since they deal with relatively short time scales. The resulting optimal bid and ask limit order prices tend to track the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-15 Saran Ahuja , George Papanicolaou , Weiluo Ren , Tzu-Wei Yang

The Foreign Exchange (Forex) is a large decentralized market, on which trading analysis and algorithmic trading are popular. Research efforts have been focusing on proof of efficiency of certain technical indicators. We demonstrate,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-06-01 Nikolay Ivanov , Qiben Yan

A variance swap is a derivative with a path-dependent payoff which allows investors to take positions on the future variability of an asset. In the idealised setting of a continuously monitored variance swap written on an asset with…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2011-05-16 David Hobson , Martin Klimmek

We study the pricing and hedging of European spread options on correlated assets when, in contrast to the standard framework and consistent with imperfect liquidity markets, the trading in the stock market has a direct impact on stocks…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-05 Kevin Shuai Zhang , Traian Pirvu
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