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Recent years have seen increasing efforts to forecast infectious disease burdens, with a primary goal being to help public health workers make informed policy decisions. However, there has only been limited discussion of how predominant…

Applications · Statistics 2024-03-06 Aaron Gerding , Nicholas G. Reich , Benjamin Rogers , Evan L. Ray

Given observations from a circular random variable contaminated by an additive measurement error, we consider the problem of minimax optimal goodness-of-fit testing in a non-asymptotic framework. We propose direct and indirect testing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-14 Sandra Schluttenhofer , Jan Johannes

Pandemics can bring a range of devastating consequences to public health and the world economy. Identifying the most effective control strategies has been the imperative task all around the world. Various public health control strategies…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-29 Zhe Xu , Xiaoming Duan

Severe acute respiratory disease SARS-CoV-2 has had a found impact on public health systems and healthcare emergency response especially with respect to making decisions on the most effective measures to be taken at any given time. As…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-19 Charithea Stylianides , Kleanthis Malialis , Panayiotis Kolios

The effective control of the COVID-19 pandemic is one the most challenging issues of nowadays. The design of optimal control policies is perplexed from a variety of social, political, economical and epidemiological factors. Here, based on…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-03-16 Antonis Armaou , Bryce Katch , Lucia Russo , Constantinos Siettos

We consider a behavioral-feedback SIR epidemic model, in which the infection rate depends in feedback on the fractions of susceptible and infected agents, respectively. The considered model allows one to account for endogenous adaptation…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-11 Martina Alutto , Leonardo Cianfanelli , Giacomo Como , Fabio Fagnani , Francesca Parise

The COVID-19 pandemic highlighted the critical role of human behavior in influencing infectious disease transmission and the need for models capturing this complex dynamic. We present an agent-based model integrating an epidemiological…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-12-07 Konstantinos Mitsopoulos , Lawrence Baker , Christian Lebiere , Peter Pirolli , Mark Orr , Raffaele Vardavas

Background: Rapid testing for an infection is paramount during a pandemic to prevent continued viral spread and excess morbidity and mortality. This study aimed to determine whether alternative testing strategies based on sample pooling can…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-01-27 Timo de Wolff , Dirk Pflüger , Michael Rehme , Janin Heuer , Martin-Immanuel Bittner

After a brief review of recent advances in sequential analysis involving sequential generalized likelihood ratio tests, we discuss their use in psychometric testing and extend the asymptotic optimality theory of these sequential tests to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-08 Jay Bartroff , Matthew Finkelman , Tze Leung Lai

COVID-19 has resulted in a public health global crisis. The pandemic control necessitates epidemic models that capture the trends and impacts on infectious individuals. Many exciting models can implement this but they lack practical…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-04-13 Ou Deng , Kiichi Tago , Qun Jin

We propose a tractable epidemic model that includes containment measures. In the absence of containment measures, the epidemics spread exponentially fast whenever the infectivity rate is positive, $\lambda>0$. The containment measures are…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-10-29 Ginestra Bianconi , Pavel L. Krapivsky

The study in group testing aims to develop strategies to identify a small set of defective items among a large population using a few pooled tests. The established techniques have been highly beneficial in a broad spectrum of applications…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-01-23 Venkata Gandikota , Nikita Polyanskii , Haodong Yang

Epidemiological compartmental models are useful for understanding infectious disease propagation and directing public health policy decisions. Calibration of these models is an important step in offering accurate forecasts of disease…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-12 Nikunj Gupta , Anh Mai , Azza Abouzied , Dennis Shasha

Testing is an important part of tackling the COVID-19 pandemic. Availability of testing is a bottleneck due to constrained resources and effective prioritization of individuals is necessary. Here, we discuss the impact of different…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-30 Hagit Grushka-Cohen , Raphael Cohen , Bracha Shapira , Jacob Moran-Gilad , Lior Rokach

The problem of multi-hypothesis testing with controlled sensing of observations is considered. The distribution of observations collected under each control is assumed to follow a single-parameter exponential family distribution. The goal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-29 Aditya Deshmukh , Srikrishna Bhashyam , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

Although modeling studies are focused on the control of SIR-based systems describing epidemic data sets (particularly the COVID-19), few of them present a formal dynamic characterization in terms of equilibrium sets and stability. Such…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-03 A. H. González , A. L. Anderson , A. Ferramosca , E. A. Hernandez-Vargas

The standard paradigm for confirmatory clinical trials is to compare experimental treatments with a control, for example the standard of care or a placebo. However, it is not always the case that a suitable control exists. Efficient…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-29 Thomas Burnett , Thomas Jaki

Timely and rapid diagnoses are core to informing on optimum interventions that curb the spread of COVID-19. The use of medical images such as chest X-rays and CTs has been advocated to supplement the Reverse-Transcription Polymerase Chain…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-31 Ogechukwu Ukwandu , Hanan Hindy , Elochukwu Ukwandu

Mathematical models are instrumental to forecast the spread of pathogens and to evaluate the effectiveness of non-pharmaceutical measures. A plethora of optimal strategies has been recently developed to minimize either the infected peak…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-11-11 J. Sereno , A. L. Anderson , A. Ferramosca , E. A. Hernandez-Vargas , A. H. Gonzalez

In this paper, we study the dynamics of epidemic processes taking place in adaptive networks of arbitrary topology. We focus our study on the adaptive susceptible-infected-susceptible (ASIS) model, where healthy individuals are allowed to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-06-29 Masaki Ogura , Victor M. Preciado