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Adaptive importance sampling techniques are widely known for the Gaussian setting of Brownian driven diffusions. In this work, we want to extend them to jump processes. Our approach relies on a change of the jump intensity combined with the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-09 Laetitia Badouraly Kassim , Jérôme Lelong , Imane Loumrhari

Without imposing prior distributional knowledge underlying multivariate time series of interest, we propose a nonparametric change-point detection approach to estimate the number of change points and their locations along the temporal axis.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-13 Xiaodong Wang , Fushing Hsieh

Distributed signal-processing algorithms in (wireless) sensor networks often aim to decentralize processing tasks to reduce communication cost and computational complexity or avoid reliance on a single device (i.e., fusion center) for…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-03 Matthias Blochberger , Filip Elvander , Randall Ali , Jan Østergaard , Jesper Jensen , Marc Moonen , Toon van Waterschoot

Diffusions are a fundamental class of models in many fields, including finance, engineering, and biology. Simulating diffusions is challenging as their sample paths are infinite-dimensional and their transition functions are typically…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-11 Paul A. Jenkins , Murray Pollock , Gareth O. Roberts , Michael Sørensen

In this paper, we present a discrete-type approximation scheme to solve continuous-time optimal stopping problems based on fully non-Markovian continuous processes adapted to the Brownian motion filtration. The approximations satisfy…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-24 Dorival Leão , Alberto Ohashi , Francesco Russo

We present an extension of the so-called cumulant crossing method which is used for determination of critical point in Monte Carlo simulations.The new method uses linear combination of several different order-parameter moments and almost…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 M. Itakura

Methods of approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) are increasingly used for analysis of complex models. A major challenge for ABC is over-coming the often inherent problem of high rejection rates in the accept/reject methods based on…

Computation · Statistics 2015-03-27 Fernando V. Bonassi , Mike West

Much recent research has been conducted in the area of Bayesian learning, particularly with regard to the optimization of hyper-parameters via Gaussian process regression. The methodologies rely chiefly on the method of maximizing the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-05-13 James Brofos

Bayesian online algorithms for Sum-Product Networks (SPNs) need to update their posterior distribution after seeing one single additional instance. To do so, they must compute moments of the model parameters under this distribution. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-07 Han Zhao , Geoff Gordon

We consider the bias arising from time discretization when estimating the threshold crossing probability $w(b) := \mathbb{P}(\sup_{t\in[0,1]} B_t > b)$, with $(B_t)_{t\in[0,1]}$ a standard Brownian Motion. We prove that if the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-09 Krzysztof Bisewski , Daan Crommelin , Michel Mandjes

We study the implementation of Automatic Differentiation Variational inference (ADVI) for Bayesian inference on regression models with bridge penalization. The bridge approach uses $\ell_{\alpha}$ norm, with $\alpha \in (0, +\infty)$ to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-08 Carlos Tadeu Pagani Zanini , Helio dos Santos Migon , Ronaldo Dias

We consider penalized regression models under a unified framework where the particular method is determined by the form of the penalty term. We propose a fully Bayesian approach that incorporates both sparse and dense settings and show how…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-25 Ding Xiang , Galin L. Jones

This article is concerned with the Bridge Regression, which is a special family in penalized regression with penalty function $\sum_{j=1}^{p}|\beta_j|^q$ with $q>0$, in a linear model with linear restrictions. The proposed restricted bridge…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-06 Bahadır Yüzbaşı , Mohammad Arashi , Fikri Akdeniz

We show that simple explicit formulas can be obtained for several relevant quantities related to the laws of the uniformly sampled Brownian bridge, Brownian meander and three dimensional Bessel process. To prove such results, we use the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-11 Mathieu Rosenbaum , Marc Yor

We introduce a new framework for efficient sampling from complex probability distributions, using a combination of optimal transport maps and the Metropolis-Hastings rule. The core idea is to use continuous transportation to transform…

Computation · Statistics 2019-06-11 Matthew Parno , Youssef Marzouk

We present a new approach to sample from generic binary distributions, based on an exact Hamiltonian Monte Carlo algorithm applied to a piecewise continuous augmentation of the binary distribution of interest. An extension of this idea to…

Computation · Statistics 2015-10-13 Ari Pakman , Liam Paninski

We propose simple methods for multivariate diffusion bridge simulation, which plays a fundamental role in simulation-based likelihood and Bayesian inference for stochastic differential equations. By a novel application of classical coupling…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-02 Mogens Bladt , Samuel Finch , Michael Sørensen

Non-Gaussian and multimodal distributions are an important part of many recent robust sensor fusion algorithms. In difference to robust cost functions, they are probabilistically founded and have good convergence properties. Since their…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-01-14 Tim Pfeifer , Peter Protzel

We propose an approach to compute the boundary crossing probabilities for a class of diffusion processes which can be expressed as piecewise monotone (not necessarily one-to-one) functionals of a standard Brownian motion. This class…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Liqun Wang , Klaus Pötzelberger

We propose a faster algorithm for individual based simulations for adaptive dynamics based on a simple modification to the standard Gillespie Algorithm for simulating stochastic birth-death processes. We provide an analytical explanation…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-01-29 Vaibhav Madhok
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