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Nonparametric identification and maximum likelihood estimation for finite-state hidden Markov models are investigated. We obtain identification of the parameters as well as the order of the Markov chain if the transition probability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-01 Grigory Alexandrovich , Hajo Holzmann , Anna Leister

Semiparametric exponential family proposed by Ning et al. (2017) is an extension of the parametric exponential family to the case with a nonparametric base measure function. Such a distribution family has potential application in some areas…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-01 Lu Lin , Lili Liu , Xia Cui

$\ell_1$ optimization is a well known heuristic often employed for solving various forms of sparse linear problems. In this paper we look at its a variant that we refer to as the \emph{partial} $\ell_1$ and discuss its mathematical…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-12-23 Mihailo Stojnic

The exponential family of random graphs represents an important and challenging class of network models. Despite their flexibility, conventionally used exponential random graphs have one shortcoming. They cannot directly model weighted…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-15 Mei Yin

Recently much attention has been paid to deep generative models, since they have been used to great success for variational inference, generation of complex data types, and more. In most all of these settings, the goal has been to find a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-19 Sean R. Bittner , John P. Cunningham

Recently, (Blanchet, Kang, and Murhy 2016, and Blanchet, and Kang 2017) showed that several machine learning algorithms, such as square-root Lasso, Support Vector Machines, and regularized logistic regression, among many others, can be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-25 Jose Blanchet , Yang Kang , Fan Zhang , Karthyek Murthy

In this paper, we study the maximum likelihood estimation of the parameters of the multivariate and matrix variate symmetric Laplace distributions through group actions. The multivariate and matrix variate symmetric Laplace distributions…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-31 Pooja Yadav , Tanuja Srivastava

Maximum-likelihood exponent maps have been studied as a technique to increase the understanding and improve the fit of power-law exponents to experimental and numerical simulation data, especially when they exhibit both upper and lower…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-07-02 Jordi Baró , Eduard Vives

The evidence lower bound (ELBO) is one of the most central objectives for probabilistic unsupervised learning. For the ELBOs of several generative models and model classes, we here prove convergence to entropy sums. As one result, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-17 Jan Warnken , Dmytro Velychko , Simon Damm , Asja Fischer , Jörg Lücke

Recent advances have revealed that the rate of convergence of the expected test error in deep supervised learning decays as a function of the intrinsic dimension and not the dimension $d$ of the input space. Existing literature defines this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-16 Saptarshi Chakraborty , Peter L. Bartlett

We develop the method of Maximum Entropy (ME) as a technique to generate approximations to probability distributions. The central results consist in (a) justifying the use of relative entropy as the uniquely natural criterion to select a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-07-24 Chih-Yuan Tseng , Ariel Caticha

Mixtures of linear mixed models (MLMMs) are useful for clustering grouped data and can be estimated by likelihood maximization through the EM algorithm. The conventional approach to determining a suitable number of components is to compare…

Applications · Statistics 2014-05-26 Siew Li Tan , David J. Nott

In this paper, we introduce a new distribution generated by Lindley random variable which offers a more flexible model for modelling lifetime data. Various statistical properties like distribution function, survival function, moments,…

Applications · Statistics 2016-11-25 Deepesh Bhati , Mohd. Aamir Malik

In a regular full exponential family, the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) need not exist in the traditional sense. However, the MLE may exist in the completion of the exponential family. Existing algorithms for finding the MLE in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-30 Daniel J. Eck , Charles J. Geyer

Time Series Forecasting (TSF) is a widely researched topic with broad applications in weather forecasting, traffic control, and stock price prediction. Extreme values in time series often significantly impact human and natural systems, but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-12 Jincheng Wang , Yue Gao

In this work some advances in the theory of curvature of two-dimensional probability manifolds corresponding to families of distributions are proposed. It is proved that location-scale distributions are hyperbolic in the Information…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-24 Giuseppe Giacopelli , Andrea De Gaetano

Mixed Poisson distributions provide a flexible approach to the analysis of count data with overdispersion, zero inflation, or heavy tails. Since the Poisson mean must be nonnegative, the mixing distribution is typically assumed to have…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-20 F. William Townes

Combining discrete probability distributions and combinatorial optimization problems with neural network components has numerous applications but poses several challenges. We propose Implicit Maximum Likelihood Estimation (I-MLE), a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-28 Mathias Niepert , Pasquale Minervini , Luca Franceschi

Robust estimation under multivariate normal (MVN) mixture model is always a computational challenge. A recently proposed maximum pseudo \b{eta}-likelihood estimator aims to estimate the unknown parameters of a MVN mixture model in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-14 Soumya Chakraborty , Ayanendranath Basu , Abhik Ghosh

Score matching is an alternative to maximum likelihood (ML) for estimating a probability distribution parametrized up to a constant of proportionality. By fitting the ''score'' of the distribution, it sidesteps the need to compute this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-06 Chirag Pabbaraju , Dhruv Rohatgi , Anish Sevekari , Holden Lee , Ankur Moitra , Andrej Risteski