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The key issue in importance sampling is the choice of the alternative sampling distribution, which is often chosen from the exponential tilt family of the underlying distribution. However, when the problem exhibits certain kind of…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-15 Hui Wang , Xiang Zhou

We consider the problem of upper bounding the expected log-likelihood sub-optimality of the maximum likelihood estimate (MLE), or a conjugate maximum a posteriori (MAP) for an exponential family, in a non-asymptotic way. Surprisingly, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-15 Rémi Le Priol , Frederik Kunstner , Damien Scieur , Simon Lacoste-Julien

In this paper, we introduce a new class of distributions by compounding the exponentiated extended Weibull family and power series family. This distribution contains several lifetime models such as the complementary extended Weibull-power…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2015-03-31 Saeid Tahmasebi , Ali Akbar Jafari

We prove the large deviation principle (LDP) for posterior distributions arising from subfamilies of full exponential families, allowing misspecification of the model. Moreover, motivated by the so-called inverse Sanov Theorem (see e.g.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-17 Claudio Macci , Mauro Piccioni

A new class of distributions, called Generalized One Parameter Polynomial Exponential-G family of distributions is proposed for modelling lifetime data. An account of the structural and reliability properties of the new class is presented.…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-11 Sudhansu S. Maiti , Sukanta Pramanik

While standard estimation assumes that all datapoints are from probability distribution of the same fixed parameters $\theta$, we will focus on maximum likelihood (ML) adaptive estimation for nonstationary time series: separately estimating…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-24 Jarek Duda

Triangular distributions are a well-known class of distributions that are often used as elementary example of a probability model. In the past, enumeration and order statistic-based methods have been suggested for the maximum likelihood…

Computation · Statistics 2016-02-16 Hien D Nguyen , Geoffrey J McLachlan

This paper shows how to evolve numerically the maximum entropy probability distributions for a given set of constraints, which is a variational calculus problem. An evolutionary algorithm can obtain approximations to some well-known…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-07 Raul Rojas

Kappa distributions are widely used in space plasma physics to model velocity distribution functions with heavy tails. Parameter estimation in these distributions is, however, complicated by the fact that the kappa distribution does not…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-25 Leonardo Herrera-Fuenzalida , Sergio Davis

For a parametric model of distributions, the closest distribution in the model to the true distribution located outside the model is considered. Measuring the closeness between two distributions with the Kullback-Leibler (K-L) divergence,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-14 Yo Sheena

We study exponential families of distributions that are multivariate totally positive of order 2 (MTP2), show that these are convex exponential families, and derive conditions for existence of the MLE. Quadratic exponential familes of MTP2…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-15 Steffen Lauritzen , Caroline Uhler , Piotr Zwiernik

Inspired by applications to theories of coding and communication in networks of nervous tissue, we study maximum entropy distributions on weighted graphs with a given expected degree sequence. These distributions are characterized by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-18 Christopher Hillar , Andre Wibisono

Assuming an exponential power distribution is one way to deal with outliers in regression and clustering, which can increase the robustness of the analysis. Gaussian distribution is a special case of an exponential distribution. And an…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-22 Xiao Chen

We study a general factor analysis framework where the $n$-by-$p$ data matrix is assumed to follow a general exponential family distribution entry-wise. While this model framework has been proposed before, we here further relax its…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-02 Liang Wang , Luis Carvalho

Representing networks in a low dimensional latent space is a crucial task with many interesting applications in graph learning problems, such as link prediction and node classification. A widely applied network representation learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-21 Abdulkadir Çelikkanat , Fragkiskos D. Malliaros

Mixtures of generalized normal distributions (MGND) have gained popularity for modelling datasets with complex statistical behaviours. However, the estimation of the shape parameter within the maximum likelihood framework is quite complex,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-03 Pierdomenico Duttilo , Stefano Antonio Gattone

Variational inference for latent variable models is prevalent in various machine learning problems, typically solved by maximizing the Evidence Lower Bound (ELBO) of the true data likelihood with respect to a variational distribution.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-11 Guoqing Zheng , Yiming Yang , Jaime Carbonell

Exponential family plays an important role in information geometry. In arXiv:1811.01394, we introduced a method to construct an exponential family $\mathcal{P}=\{p_\theta\}_{\theta\in\Theta}$ on a homogeneous space $G/H$ from a pair…

Representation Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-10 Koichi Tojo , Taro Yoshino

The Boltzmann-Gibbs probability distribution, seen as a statistical model, belongs to the exponential family. Recently, the latter concept has been generalized. The q-exponential family has been shown to be relevant for the statistical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-14 Jan Naudts

Distributed learning of probabilistic models from multiple data repositories with minimum communication is increasingly important. We study a simple communication-efficient learning framework that first calculates the local maximum…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-10-13 Qiang Liu , Alexander Ihler