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Related papers: Heterogeneous recovery from large scale power fail…

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The understanding of cascading failures in complex systems has been hindered by the lack of realistic large-scale modeling and analysis that can account for variable system conditions. Here, using the North American power grid, we identify,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-04-23 Yang Yang , Takashi Nishikawa , Adilson E. Motter

In natural phenomena, data distributions often deviate from normality. One can think of cataclysms as a self-explanatory example: events that occur almost never, and at the same time are many standard deviations away from the common…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-16 Nuno Costa , Nuno Moniz

The occurrence of large-scale power outages induced by natural disasters has been on the rise in a changing climate. Such power outages often last extended durations, causing substantial financial losses and socioeconomic impacts to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Chenghao Duan , Chuanyi Ji , Anwar Walid , Scott Ganz

How should one leverage historical data when past observations are not perfectly indicative of the future, e.g., due to the presence of unobserved confounders which one cannot "correct" for? Motivated by this question, we study a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Omar Besbes , Will Ma , Omar Mouchtaki

Recent studies indicate that the effects of inter-annual climate-based variability in power system planning are significant and that long samples of demand & weather data (spanning multiple decades) should be considered. At the same time,…

Applications · Statistics 2019-05-30 Adriaan P Hilbers , David J Brayshaw , Axel Gandy

The interaction between extreme weather events and interdependent critical infrastructure systems involves complex spatiotemporal dynamics. Multi-type emergency decisions within energy-transportation infrastructures significantly influence…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-26 Jiawei Wang , Qinglai Guo , Haotian Zhao , Bin Wang , Hongbin Sun

Federated Unlearning (FU) enables the removal of specific clients' data influence from trained models. However, in non-IID settings, removing clients creates critical side effects: remaining clients with similar data distributions suffer…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-07-29 Jiaqi Shao , Tao Lin , Xiaojin Zhang , Qiang Yang , Bing Luo

Power grid outages cause huge economical and societal costs. Disruptions in the power distribution grid are responsible for a significant fraction of electric power unavailability to customers. The impact of extreme weather conditions,…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-06-30 Yakup Koc , Abhishek Raman , Martijn Warnier , Tarun Kumar

Modern societies crucially depend on the robust supply with electric energy. Blackouts of power grids can thus have far reaching consequences. During a blackout, often the failure of a single infrastructure, such as a critical transmission…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2019-07-10 Martin Rohden , Dirk Witthaut , Marc Timme , Hildegard Meyer-Ortmanns

Natural disasters, such as hurricanes, earthquakes and large wind or ice storms, typically require the repair of a large number of components in electricity distribution networks. Since power cannot be restored before these repairs have…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-03-09 Yushi Tan , Feng Qiu , Arindam K. Das , Daniel S. Kirschen , Payman Arabshahi , Jianhui Wang

Wind and solar power are known to be highly influenced by weather events and may ramp up or down abruptly. Such events in the power production influence not only the availability of energy, but also the stability of the entire power grid.…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-07-20 M. Anvari , G. Lohmann , M. Wächter , P. Milan , E. Lorenz , D. Heinemann , M. Reza Rahimi Tabar , Joachim Peinke

Natural hazards cause disruptions in access to critical facilities, such as grocery stores, impeding residents ability to prepare for and cope with hardships during the disaster and recovery; however, disrupted access to critical facilities…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-10-25 Amir Esmalian , Natalie Coleman , Faxi Yuan , Xin Xiao , Ali Mostafavi

Link failures repeatedly induce large-scale outages in power grids and other supply networks. Yet, it is still not well understood, which links are particularly prone to inducing such outages. Here we analyze how the nature and location of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-04-06 Dirk Witthaut , Martin Rohden , Xiaozhu Zhang , Sarah Hallerberg , Marc Timme

Data are rapidly growing in size and importance for society, a trend motivated by their enabling power. The accumulation of new data, sustained by progress in technology, leads to a boundless expansion of stored data, in some cases with an…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-11-29 Alain de Cheveigné

The advanced operation of future electricity distribution systems is likely to require significant observability of the different parameters of interest (e.g., demand, voltages, currents, etc.). Ensuring completeness of data is, therefore,…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-08-07 Cristian Genes , Iñaki Esnaola , Samir. M. Perlaza , Luis F. Ochoa , Daniel Coca

Short-term forecasting models typically assume the availability of input data (features) when they are deployed and in use. However, equipment failures, disruptions, cyberattacks, may lead to missing features when such models are used…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-30 Akylas Stratigakos , Panagiotis Andrianesis

Robot manipulation is increasingly poised to interact with humans in co-shared workspaces. Despite increasingly robust manipulation and control algorithms, failure modes continue to exist whenever models do not capture the dynamics of the…

Systems with long-range persistence and memory are shown to exhibit different precursory as well as recovery patterns in response to shocks of exogeneous versus endogeneous origins. By endogeneous, we envision either fluctuations resulting…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 D. Sornette , A. Helmstetter

The functioning of interdependent civil infrastructure systems in the aftermath of a disruptive event is critical to the performance and vitality of any modern urban community. Post-event stressors and chaotic circumstances, time…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2018-06-25 Saeed Nozhati , Bruce R. Ellingwood , Hussam Mahmoud , Yugandhar Sarkale , Edwin K. P. Chong , Nathanael Rosenheim

Due to the emergence of new technologies, the whole electricity system is undergoing transformations on a scale and pace never observed before. The decentralization of energy resources and the smart grid have forced utility services to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-02-04 Iacopo Iacopini , Benjamin Schäfer , Elsa Arcaute , Christian Beck , Vito Latora
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