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Natural disasters such as hurricanes, wildfires, and winter storms have induced large-scale power outages in the U.S., resulting in tremendous economic and societal impacts. Accurately predicting power outage recovery and impact is key to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-17 Chenghao Duan , Chuanyi Ji

There are numerous geo-climatic and human factors that contribute to the occurrence of natural disasters in the real-world scenario. Besides the study of causes and preconditions of such calamities, post-disaster analysis is essential for…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-05-26 Sukeerthi Mandyam , Shanmuga Priya , Shalini Suresh , Kavitha Srinivasan

This study investigates the spatial patterns and temporal variations in outage duration, intensity, and restoration/recovery following the 2024 Hurricane Beryl in Houston, Texas. This historic blackout caused widespread power disruptions…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-01-23 Xiangpeng Li , Junwei Ma , Ali Mostafavi

Failure, damage spread and recovery crucially underlie many spatially embedded networked systems ranging from transportation structures to the human body. Here we study the interplay between spontaneous damage, induced failure and recovery…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-10-23 Lucas Böttcher , Mirko Lukovic , Jan Nagler , Shlomo Havlin , Hans J. Herrmann

The aim of this paper is to provide qualitative models characterizing interdependencies related failures of two critical infrastructures: the electricity infrastructure and the associated information infrastructure. The interdependencies of…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2010-01-10 Jean-Claude Laprie , Karama Kanoun , Mohamed Kaaniche

We study how firm heterogeneity and market power affect macroeconomic fragility, defined as the probability of long slumps. We propose a theory in which the positive interaction between firm entry, competition and factor supply can give…

General Economics · Economics 2024-05-13 Alessandro Ferrari , Francisco Queirós

Power systems are globally experiencing an unprecedented growth in size and complexity due to the advent of nonconventional generation and consumption technologies. To navigate computational complexity, power system dynamic models are often…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-01 Yue Huang , Dixant B. Sapkota , Manish K. Singh

Recent network research has focused on the cascading failures in a system of interdependent networks and the necessary preconditions for system collapse. An important question that has not been addressed is how to repair a failing system…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-01-27 M. A. Di Muro , C. E. La Rocca , H. E. Stanley , S. Havlin , L. A. Braunstein

Disaster-induced power outages create cascading disruptions across urban lifelines, yet the timed coupling between grid failure and essential service access remains poorly quantified. Focusing on Hurricane Beryl in Houston (2024), this…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-20 Junwei Ma , Bo Li , Xiangpeng Li , Ali Mostafavi

We consider a scenario where a system experiences a disruption, and the states (representing health values) of its components continue to reduce over time, unless they are acted upon by a controller. Given this dynamical setting, we…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2020-04-09 Hemant Gehlot , Shreyas Sundaram , Satish V. Ukkusuri

Disasters are constant threats to humankind, and beyond losses in lives, they cause many implicit yet profound societal issues such as wealth disparity and digital divide. Among those recovery measures in the aftermath of disasters,…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2021-03-22 Jianqing Liu , Shangjia Dong , Thomas Morris

Infrastructure deterioration poses significant challenges for asset management, yet existing approaches rely on population-averaged models that overlook equipment-specific heterogeneity. We present a novel framework that combines Bayesian…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-21 Takato Yasuno

Learning from previously collected datasets of expert data offers the promise of acquiring robotic policies without unsafe and costly online explorations. However, a major challenge is a distributional shift between the states in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-19 Alfredo Reichlin , Giovanni Luca Marchetti , Hang Yin , Ali Ghadirzadeh , Danica Kragic

Electric failures are a problem for customers and grid operators. Identifying causes and localizing the source of failures in the grid is critical. Here, we focus on a specific power grid in the Arctic region of North Norway. First, we…

The recovery of businesses after a disaster is vital to community economic resilience, yet the network dynamics influencing the speed and spillover effects of recovery remain poorly understood. Understanding these dynamics is essential for…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-09-20 Chia-Fu Liu1 , Chia-Wei Hsu , Ali Mostafavi

Distributed storage systems provide large-scale reliable data storage services by spreading redundancy across a large group of storage nodes. In such a large system, node failures take place on a regular basis. When a storage node breaks…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2016-03-17 Yan Wang , Xunrui Yin , Dongsheng Wei , Xin Wang , Yucheng He

Utilities face the challenge of responding to power outages due to storms and ice damage, but most power grids are not equipped with sensors to pinpoint the precise location of the faults causing the outage. Instead, utilities have to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-05-20 Lina Al-Kanj , Warren B. Powell , Belgacem Bouzaiene-Ayari

Preventive control is a crucial strategy for power system operation against impending natural hazards, and its effectiveness fundamentally relies on the realism of scenario generation. While most existing studies employ sequential Monte…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-21 Ziyue Li , Guanglun Zhang , Grant Ruan , Haiwang Zhong , Chongqing Kang

Real-time forecasting is important to the society. It uses continuous data streams to update forecasts for sustained accuracy. But the data source is vulnerable to attacks or accidents and the dynamics of forecasting failure and recovery…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-09-09 Sicheng Wu , Ruo-Qian Wang

Transmission utilities routinely collect detailed outage data, including resilience events in which outages bunch up due to weather. The resilience events and their resilience metrics can readily be extracted from this historical outage…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-01-15 Arslan Ahmad , Ian Dobson , Svetlana Ekisheva , Christopher Claypool , Mark Lauby