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In scientific disciplines such as neuroimaging, climatology, and cosmology it is useful to study the uncertainty of excursion sets of imaging data. While the case of imaging data obtained from a single study condition has already been…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-12 Thomas J. Maullin-Sapey , Fabian J. E. Telschow

In this paper, we introduce a one-dimensional model of particles performing independent random walks, where only pairs of particles can produce offspring ("cooperative branching"), and particles that land on an occupied site merge with the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-29 Anja Sturm , Jan M. Swart

We consider a general branching population where the lifetimes of individuals are i.i.d.\ with arbitrary distribution and where each individual gives birth to new individuals at Poisson times independently from each other. In addition, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-26 Benoit Henry

Consider a one-dimensional stepping stone model with colonies of size $M$ and per-generation migration probability $\nu$, or a voter model on $\mathbb{Z}$ in which interactions occur over a distance of order $K$. Sample one individual at…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-01-28 Richard Durrett , Mateo Restrepo

Given $iid$ observations from an unknown absolute continuous distribution defined on some domain $\Omega$, we propose a nonparametric method to learn a piecewise constant function to approximate the underlying probability density function.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-13 Dangna Li , Kun Yang , Wing Hung Wong

Reconstructing past population size from present day genetic data is a major goal of population genetics. Recent empirical studies infer population size history using coalescent-based models applied to a small number of individuals. Here we…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-09-30 Junhyong Kim , Elchanan Mossel , Miklós Z. Rácz , Nathan Ross

Sweepstakes reproduction may be generated by chance matching of reproduction with favorable environmental conditions. Gene genealogies generated by sweepstakes reproduction are in the domain of attraction of multiple-merger coalescents…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-15 Bjarki Eldon

We derive an exact and efficient Bayesian regression algorithm for piecewise constant functions of unknown segment number, boundary location, and levels. It works for any noise and segment level prior, e.g. Cauchy which can handle outliers.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Marcus Hutter

We propose a novel approach for change-point detection and parameter learning in multivariate non-stationary time series exhibiting oscillatory behaviour. We approximate the process through a piecewise function defined by a sum of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-02 Nicolas Bianco , Lorenzo Cappello

In this article, we focus on Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson processes with linear-fractional offspring distributions. At a fixed generation, we consider a sample of the individuals alive, drawn in two different ways: either through Bernoulli…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-24 Natalia Cardona-Tobón , Sandra Palau

We study the existence of densities for distributions of piecewise deterministic Markov processes. We also obtain relationships between invariant densities of the continuous time process and that of the process observed at jump times. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-03 Piotr Gwiżdż , Marta Tyran-Kamińska

We study a class of high-frequency path functionals for diffusions with singular thresholds or boundaries, where the process exhibits either (i) skweness, oscillating coefficients, and stickiness, or (ii) sticky reflection. The functionals…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-16 Alexis Anagnostakis , Sara Mazzonetto

The sparse regression problem, also known as best subset selection problem, can be cast as follows: Given a set $S$ of $n$ points in $\mathbb{R}^d$, a point $y\in \mathbb{R}^d$, and an integer $2 \leq k \leq d$, find an affine combination…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-01-01 Jean Cardinal , Aurélien Ooms

We give a highly efficient "semi-agnostic" algorithm for learning univariate probability distributions that are well approximated by piecewise polynomial density functions. Let $p$ be an arbitrary distribution over an interval $I$ which is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-05-15 Siu-On Chan , Ilias Diakonikolas , Rocco A. Servedio , Xiaorui Sun

The high energy physics unfolding problem is an important statistical inverse problem in data analysis at the Large Hadron Collider (LHC) at CERN. The goal of unfolding is to make nonparametric inferences about a particle spectrum from…

Applications · Statistics 2017-06-09 Mikael Kuusela , Philip B. Stark

In this paper, we study the convergence rate of the gradient (or steepest descent) method with fixed step lengths for finding a stationary point of an $L$-smooth function. We establish a new convergence rate, and show that the bound may be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-10-08 Hadi Abbaszadehpeivasti , Etienne de Klerk , Moslem Zamani

Sparse functional/longitudinal data have attracted widespread interest due to the prevalence of such data in social and life sciences. A prominent scenario where such data are routinely encountered are accelerated longitudinal studies,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-24 Yidong Zhou , Hans-Georg Müller

Although the applications of Non-Homogeneous Poisson Processes to model and study the threshold overshoots of interest in different time series of measurements have proven to provide good results, they needed to be complemented with an…

Applications · Statistics 2023-09-15 Biviana Marcela Suárez-Sierra , Arrigo Coen , Carlos Alberto Taimal

We formulate a fractional master equation in continuous time with random transition probabilities across the population of random walkers such that the effective underlying random walk exhibits ensemble self-reinforcement. The population…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-03-29 Sergei Fedotov , Daniel Han

We outline an efficient method for the reconstruction of a probability density function from the knowledge of its infinite sequence of ordinary moments. The approximate density is obtained resorting to maximum entropy technique, under the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Pierluigi Novi Inverardi , Alberto Petri , Giorgio Pontuale , Aldo Tagliani