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The new coronavirus known as COVID-19 is spread world-wide since December 2019. Without any vaccination or medicine, the means of controlling it are limited to quarantine and social distancing. Here we study the spatio-temporal propagation…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-12-02 Bnaya Gross , Zhiguo Zheng , Shiyan Liu , Xiaoqi Chen , Alon Sela , Jianxin Li , Daqing Li , Shlomo Havlin

A number of models in mathematical epidemiology have been developed to account for control measures such as vaccination or quarantine. However, COVID-19 has brought unprecedented social distancing measures, with a challenge on how to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-07 Magdalena Djordjevic , Andjela Rodic , Igor Salom , Dusan Zigic , Ognjen Milicevic , Bojana Ilic , Marko Djordjevic

Governments around the world have implemented preventive measures against the spread of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19). In this study, we consider a multivariate discrete-time Markov model to analyze the propagation of COVID-19 across…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-18 Tatsushi Oka , Wei Wei , Dan Zhu

Revealing spatiotemporal evolution regularity in the spatial diffusion of epidemics is helpful for preventing and controlling the spread of epidemics. Based on the real-time COVID-19 datasets by prefecture-level cities, this paper is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-08-09 Yuqing Long , Yanguang Chen , Yajing Li

Studying the spatiotemporal differences in coronavirus disease (COVID-19) between social groups such as healthcare workers (HCWs) and patients can aid in formulating epidemic containment policies. Most previous studies of the spatiotemporal…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-02-09 Peixiao Wang , Xinyan Zhu , Wei Guo , Hui Ren , Tao Hu

This paper introduces a novel approach to spatio-temporal data analysis using metric geometry to study the propagation of COVID-19 across the United States. Using a geodesic Wasserstein metric, we analyse discrepancies between the density…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-11-08 Nick James , Max Menzies , Howard Bondell

We propose a compartmental mathematical model for the spread of the COVID-19 disease with special focus on the transmissibility of super-spreaders individuals. We compute the basic reproduction number threshold, we study the local stability…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-05 Faical Ndairou , Ivan Area , Juan J. Nieto , Delfim F. M. Torres

On 11th Jan 2020, the first COVID-19 related death was confirmed in Wuhan, Hubei. The Chinese government responded to the outbreak with a lockdown that impacted most residents of Hubei province and lasted for almost three months. At the…

General Economics · Economics 2025-05-19 Darija Barak , Edoardo Gallo , Ke Rong , Ke Tang , Wei Du

Currently, the global situation of COVID-19 is aggravating, pressingly calling for efficient control and prevention measures. Understanding spreading pattern of COVID-19 has been widely recognized as a vital step for implementing…

The COVID-19, the disease caused by the novel coronavirus 2019 (SARS-CoV-2), has caused graving woes across the globe since first reported in the epicenter Wuhan, Hubei, China, December 2019. The spread of COVID-19 in China has been…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-04-27 Xingru Chen , Feng Fu

Since the outbreak of COVID-19, many data analyses have been done. Some of them are based on the classical epidemiological approach that assumes an exponential growth, but a few studies report that a power-law scaling may provide a better…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-02-26 Ming Li , Jie Chen , Youjin Deng

Official freely available data about the number of infected at the finest possible level of spatial areal aggregation (Italian provinces) are used to model the spatio-temporal distribution of COVID-19 infections at local level. Data time…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-23 Diego Giuliani , Maria Michela Dickson , Giuseppe Espa , Flavio Santi

Raw data on the cumulative number of deaths at a country level generally indicate a spatially variable distribution of the incidence of COVID-19 disease. An important issue is to determine whether this spatial pattern is a consequence of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-21 Lionel Roques , Olivier Bonnefon , Virgile Baudrot , Samuel Soubeyrand , Henri Berestycki

The declaration of COVID-19 as a pandemic has largely amplified the spread of related information on social media, such as Twitter, Facebook, and WeChat.Unlike the previous studies which focused on how to detect the misinformation or fake…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-07-09 Xiu-Xiu Zhan , Kaiyue Zhang , Lun Ge , Junming Huang , Zinan Zhang , Lu Wei , Gui-Quan Sun , Chuang Liu , Zi-Ke Zhang

The outbreak of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) is an ongoing pandemic affecting over 200 countries and regions. Inference about the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 can provide important insights into the speed of disease spread and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-06 Tianjian Zhou , Yuan Ji

In this work we propose a novel space-dependent multiscale model for the spread of infectious diseases in a two-dimensional spatial context on realistic geographical scenarios. The model couples a system of kinetic transport equations…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-12-21 Walter Boscheri , Giacomo Dimarco , Lorenzo Pareschi

Standard epidemiological models for COVID-19 employ variants of compartment (SIR) models at local scales, implicitly assuming spatially uniform local mixing. Here, we examine the effect of employing more geographically detailed diffusion…

A comprehensive retrospective analysis of public health interventions, such as large scale testing, quarantining, and contact tracing, can help identify mechanisms most effective in mitigating COVID-19. We investigate China based SARS-CoV-2…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Zhou Yang , Edward Dougherty , Chen Zhang , Zhenhe Pan , Fang Jin

A timely understanding of the spatiotemporal pattern and development trend of COVID-19 is critical for timely prevention and control. However, the under-reporting of cases is widespread in fields associated with public health. It is also…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-01-15 Peixiao Wang , Tao Hu , Hongqiang Liu , Xinyan Zhu

Exploring the spatio-temporal variations of COVID-19 transmission and its potential determinants could provide a deeper understanding of the dynamics of disease spread. This study aims to investigate the spatio-temporal spread of COVID-19…

Applications · Statistics 2023-08-21 Xueqing Yin , John M. Aiken , Richard Harris , Jonathan L. Bamber
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