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A Markov chain is considered whose states are orderings of an underlying fixed tree and whose transitions are local "random-to-front" reorderings, driven by a probability distribution on subsets of the leaves. The eigenvalues of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-01-28 Anders Björner

Dynamic Bayesian predictive synthesis is a formal approach to coherently synthesizing multiple predictive distributions into a single distribution. In sequential analysis, the computation of the synthesized predictive distribution has…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-31 Riku Masuda , Kaoru Irie

$\Lambda$-Wright--Fisher processes provide a robust framework to describe the type-frequency evolution of an infinite neutral population. We add a polynomial drift to the corresponding stochastic differential equation to incorporate…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-26 Fernando Cordero , Sebastian Hummel , Emmanuel Schertzer

We introduce a symmetric tridiagonal matrix-valued process ($\beta$-TMP) $H(t)$ whose diagonal entries $H_{k,k}(t)$ evolve independently via an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process starting at the origin and the off-diagonal entries $H_{k,k+1}(t)$…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-05-27 Gernot Akemann , Satya N. Majumdar , Patricia Päßler

The theory of ``Markov-up'' processes is being developed. This is a new class of stochastic processes with ``partial'' markovian features; it could also be called ``one-sided Markov''. Such a behavior may be found in the real world and in…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-01 D. O. Kalikaeva

In this paper we develop a stochastic analysis for marked binomial processes, that can be viewed as the discrete analogues of marked Poisson processes. The starting point is the statement of a chaotic expansion for square-integrable (marked…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-16 Hélène Halconruy

We study algorithms to analyze a particular class of Markov population processes that is often used in epidemiology. More specifically, Markov binomial chains are the model that arises from stochastic time-discretizations of classical…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-06-25 Alejandro Alarcón Gonzalez , Niel Hens , Tim Leys , Guillermo A. Pérez

The Dufresne laws (laws of product of independent random variables with gamma and beta distributions) occur as stationary distribution of certain Markov chains $ X_n $ on $ R$ defined by: \begin{equation} X_n = A_n ( X_{n-1} + B_n )…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-08 Jean-François Chamayou

The multivariate Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process is used in many branches of science and engineering to describe the regression of a system to its stationary mean. Here we present an $O(N)$ Bayesian method to estimate the drift and diffusion…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-08-01 Rajesh Singh , Dipanjan Ghosh , R. Adhikari

We investigate the process of eigenvalues of a symmetric matrix-valued process which upper diagonal entries are independent one-dimensional H\"older continuous Gaussian processes of order gamma in (1/2,1). Using the stochastic calculus with…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-29 David Nualart , Victor Pérez-Abreu

A gamma process dynamic Poisson factor analysis model is proposed to factorize a dynamic count matrix, whose columns are sequentially observed count vectors. The model builds a novel Markov chain that sends the latent gamma random variables…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-12-31 Ayan Acharya , Joydeep Ghosh , Mingyuan Zhou

We introduce a novel multivariate random process producing Bernoulli outputs per dimension, that can possibly formalize binary interactions in various graphical structures and can be used to model opinion dynamics, epidemics, financial and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-12-20 Dimitrios Katselis , Carolyn L. Beck , R. Srikant

The proposal and study of dependent prior processes has been a major research focus in the recent Bayesian nonparametric literature. In this paper, we introduce a flexible class of dependent nonparametric priors, investigate their…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-03 Antonio Lijoi , Bernardo Nipoti , Igor Prünster

We introduce a version of Stein's method of comparison of operators specifically tailored to the problem of bounding the Wasserstein-1 distance between continuous and discrete distributions on the real line. Our approach rests on a new…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-03 Gilles Germain , Yvik Swan

Random walks are a fundamental model in applied mathematics and are a common example of a Markov chain. The limiting stationary distribution of the Markov chain represents the fraction of the time spent in each state during the stochastic…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2018-01-08 Austin R. Benson , David F. Gleich , Lek-Heng Lim

A novel framework for the analysis of observation statistics on time discrete linear evolutions in Banach space is presented. The model differs from traditional models for stochastic processes and, in particular, clearly distinguishes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-24 Ulrich Faigle , Gerhard Gierz

Boolean tensor decomposition approximates data of multi-way binary relationships as product of interpretable low-rank binary factors, following the rules of Boolean algebra. Here, we present its first probabilistic treatment. We facilitate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-15 Tammo Rukat , Chris C. Holmes , Christopher Yau

For general penalized Markov processes with soft killing, we propose a simple criterion ensuring uniform convergence of conditional distributions in Wasserstein distance to a unique quasi-stationary distribution. We give several examples of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-13 Nicolas Champagnat , Edouard Strickler , Denis Villemonais

We present a novel method for computing reachability probabilities of parametric discrete-time Markov chains whose transition probabilities are fractions of polynomials over a set of parameters. Our algorithm is based on two key…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2014-03-28 Nils Jansen , Florian Corzilius , Matthias Volk , Ralf Wimmer , Erika Ábrahám , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Bernd Becker

We introduce a three-parameter random walk with reinforcement, called the $(\theta,\alpha,\beta)$ scheme, which generalizes the linearly edge reinforced random walk to uncountable spaces. The parameter $\beta$ smoothly tunes the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-06-07 Sergio Bacallado , Stefano Favaro , Lorenzo Trippa